1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Dec 14
  3. NWST @ UTM
NCAAB · Mon, Dec 14

Northwestern State Demons at UT Martin Skyhawks

Kathleen and Tom Elam Center · at UT Martin
#318NWSTN'Western St
@
#341UTMUT Martin
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NWSTThis seasonUTM
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UTM 69–67 · win probability UTM 56%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 135.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UTM has more of the edges

NWST 1, UTM 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UTMBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NWST 26.1%, UTM 37.0%. Defensive: NWST 67.4%, UTM 68.0%
UTMBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: NWST 48.6 and allows 53.0; UTM 48.7 and allows 46.1
NWSTBig
UTM offense vs NWST defense
Offense 352nd of 366 against a defense 236th, on the model’s ratings
UTMSmall
Three-pointers
NWST hits 33.2% and allows 35.5%; UTM hits 30.4% and allows 30.2%. Threes are 33.9% and 47.1% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
NWST has played the 292nd-hardest schedule, UTM the 364th. A record against a soft schedule means less
UTMSmall
NWST offense vs UTM defense
Offense 340th of 366 against a defense 276th, on the model’s ratings
UTMSmall
Home court
UTM at home. This season: UTM 0-0 at home, NWST 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NWST 18.3%, UTM 21.4%. Forced: NWST 16.9%, UTM 20.0%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: NWST 40.1, UTM 37.4. Allowed: NWST 36.3, UTM 35.8
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: NWST plays 65.4 a game (334th fastest), UTM 66.2 (303rd). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NWST 28%, UTM 20%. Transfers in: NWST 2, UTM 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UTM -1.8—
Total—135.5—
Projected score—NWST 66.9 · UTM 68.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUTM -0.9—
1H total63.5—
1H projected scoreNWST 31.3 · UTM 32.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

N'Western St has the better starters

Position by position: N'Western St 2, UT Martin 0, even 3
N'Western StBetterUT Martin
G I. Miles10.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.2 ast Score 57
NWSTBig
G F. Petkovski5.5 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 5
G C. Larry2.6 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.5 ast Score 1
No call
G D. Remagen TR1.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.7 ast Not ranked
F D. Thomas TR5.1 pts · 5.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 20
No call
G E. Moya NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F A. Osojnik TR5.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 22
NWSTSmall
F V. Khryapa2.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 5
F K. Turner3.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.3 ast Score 34
No call
F G. Sulaberidze NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
N'Western StBetterUT Martin
NWST offense340th of 366 · -11.5
UTMSmall
UTM defense276th of 366 · -7.0
NWST defense236th of 366 · -6.2
NWSTSmall
UTM offense352nd of 366 · -13.0
Backcourt-3.7 · 2 players
Even
Backcourt-4.5 · 3 players
Frontcourt-3.2 · 3 players
UTMSmall
Frontcourt-1.8 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestNWST betterUTM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
N'Western St
Guards
I. Miles25 minC. Larry18 minK. SimpsonNewD. BrownNewA. AlmuttarNewB. RemoNew
Forwards
D. Thomas18 min · TRA. Osojnik16 min · TRK. Turner13 minN. OjukwuNewC. KellyNewJ. NesbittNew
UT Martin
Guards
F. Petkovski27 minD. Remagen11 min · TRE. MoyaNewR. ConleyNewS. SavkovNewN. StuknysNew
Forwards
V. Khryapa14 minG. SulaberidzeNewA. BanceviciusNewO. SambeNewG. BubnysNewA. VilkasNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NWSTUTM
Scoring
66.1 #346Points per game67.8 #319
1.01 #315Points per possession1.03 #294
65.4 #334Pace (possessions)66.2 #303
Shooting
48.6 #301Effective FG%48.7 #297
33.2 #2183-point %30.4 #337
33.9 #2983-point attempt rate47.1 #32
40.1 #58Free throw rate37.4 #118
Possessions
18.3 #286Turnover rate21.4 #358
26.1 #321Offensive rebound rate37.0 #17
11.3 #322Assists per game12.9 #222
Defense
72.9 #129Points allowed64.7 #5
1.12 #262Points allowed per possession0.98 #11
53.0 #270Opponent effective FG%46.1 #11
35.5 #278Opponent 3-point %30.2 #9
16.9 #160Turnovers forced20.0 #24
67.4 #286Defensive rebound rate68.0 #259
6.2 #215Steals per game8.3 #27
2.3 #321Blocks per game4.1 #65
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

N'Western St

8-22 in 2025-26 overall · 8-15 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Nicholls47–61
  • L@ UT Rio Grande62–74
  • L@ Texas A&M-CC59–71
  • Wvs Incarnate Word54–49
  • Wvs Hou Christian71–53

A week or more of rest.

UT Martin

19-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-8 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Tennessee St55–68
  • Wvs E Illinois66–63
  • Lvs Tennessee St42–67
  • Wvs Tennessee Tech64–49
  • L@ Little Rock65–67

A week or more of rest.