Colonial Life Arena · at South Carolina · Conference game
Closing line
MSST -1.5✓ SC covered by 9.5
MSST -1.5✓ SC covered by 9.5Closing total151.5Over by 34.5
| MSST | This season | SC |
|---|---|---|
| 13-13 | Record | 11-15 |
| 10-16 | ATS | 12-14 |
| 13-13 | O/U | 14-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSST 76–77 SC · ✓ SC (52%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSST | 39 | 50 | 89 |
| SC | 46 | 51 | 97 |
1st half: MSST 39, SC 46 (SC by 7). The model had SC by 0.3 and a total of 71.7 (actual 85).
Team stats
| MSST | SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-69 45% | Field goals | 31-56 55% |
| 10-33 30% | 3-pointers | 12-24 50% |
| 17-30 57% | Free throws | 23-27 85% |
| 37 15 off | Rebounds | 32 4 off |
| 15 | Assists | 20 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 24 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| MSST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard G | 37 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 4-20 | 2-12 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. G | 29 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Quincy Ballard C | 24 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Achor Achor F | 20 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Jayden Epps G | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5-10 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ja'Borri McGhee G | 28 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Sergej Macura F | 18 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming F | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| King Grace G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Dellquan Warren, Amier Ali, Gai Chol, Cameren Paul, Tee Bartlett, Brandon Walker
| SC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Sharavjamts G | 33 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 6-8 | 1-3 |
| Meechie Johnson G | 28 | 21 | 5 | 9 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Kobe Knox G | 27 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 6-8 | 2-2 |
| Elijah Strong F | 21 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-4 |
| Myles Stute G | 17 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eli Ellis G | 23 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Nordin Kapic F | 17 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| EJ Walker F | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Jordan Butler F | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Grant Polk G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Christ Essandoko F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Abu Yarmah, Cam Scott, Hayden Assemian, Eli Sparkman
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSC -1.5
3 → MSST
CloseMSST -1.5
3 pts toward MSST
Total
Open148.5
▲ 3
Close151.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MSST -115 · SC -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SC -1.5 · closed MSST -1.5 · moved 3 toward MSSTmodel SC -0.5
model SC -0.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 3 upmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSST -1.5 | SC -0.6 | SC +2.1 | W SC covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 153.3 | Over 1.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MSST 76.4 · SC 77 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SC -0.3 | SC -7.0 |
| 1H total | 71.7 | 85 |
| 1H projected score | MSST 35.7 · SC 36 | MSST 39 · SC 46 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSST | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| SC | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
MSST 6–3 SCMSST leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MSST has won the last 2 meetings · MSST 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | MSST 65 @ SC 60 | SC +6.5 | SC W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | SC 50 @ MSST 85 | MSST -10.5 | MSST W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | SC 93 @ MSST 89 | MSST -5.5 | SC W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | MSST 62 @ SC 68 | SC +2.5 | SC W |
| Feb 28, 2022-23 | SC 68 @ MSST 74 | MSST -16.5 | SC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mississippi St
26 games played
Straight up
13-13
50% wins
Against the spread
10-16
38% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs UNA | W 86-62 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 10 | vs ISU | L 80-96 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | vs SELA | W 75-68 | -27.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs KSU | L 77-98 | -2.5 | L −23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNM | L 78-80 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 24 | vs NOLA | W 81-78 | -23.5 | L −20.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMU | L 81-87 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ GT | W 85-73 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 7 | vs SF | L 62-65 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTAH | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 16 | vs LIU | W 87-83 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs MEM | W 71-66 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALST | W 94-56 | -17.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 3 | @ TEX | W 101-98 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 7 | vs OU | W 72-53 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ UK | L 68-92 | +10.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs ALA | L 82-97 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 171.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 17 | vs MISS | L 67-68 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | @ TA&M | L 68-88 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 24 | vs VAN | L 56-88 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 159.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ LSU | W 80-66 | +7.5 | W +21.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | @ MIZ | L 79-84 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | vs ARK | L 68-88 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 11 | vs TENN | L 64-73 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 14 | @MISS | W 90-78 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 18 | vs AUB | W 91-85 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUNA
UNAW 86-62
−0.5
10
vsISU
ISUL 80-96
−10.5
15
vsSELA
SELAW 75-68
−20.5
20
vsKSU
KSUL 77-98
−23.5
21
vsUNM
UNML 78-80
−8.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 81-78
−20.5
28
vsSMU
SMUL 81-87
−7.5
3
@GT
GTW 85-73
+10.5
7
vsSF
SFL 62-65
−7.5
13
vsUTAH
UTAHW 82-74
+6.5
16
vsLIU
LIUW 87-83
−12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 71-66
+1.5
29
vsALST
ALSTW 94-56
+20.5
3
@TEX
TEXW 101-98
+12.5
7
vsOU
OUW 72-53
+17.5
10
@UK
UKL 68-92
−13.5
13
vsALA
ALAL 82-97
−10.5
17
vsMISS
MISSL 67-68
−4.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-88
−11.5
24
vsVAN
VANL 56-88
−24.5
28
@LSU
LSUW 80-66
+21.5
31
@MIZ
MIZL 79-84
+1.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 68-88
−14.5
11
vsTENN
TENNL 64-73
−0.5
14
@MISS
MISSW 90-78
+15.5
18
vsAUB
AUBW 91-85
+11.5
covered 10didn’t cover 16avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUNA
UNAW 86-62
−3.5
10
vsISU
ISUL 80-96
+25.5
15
vsSELA
SELAW 75-68
−7.5
20
vsKSU
KSUL 77-98
+10.5
21
vsUNM
UNML 78-80
+6.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 81-78
−1.5
28
vsSMU
SMUL 81-87
+5.5
3
@GT
GTW 85-73
+7.5
7
vsSF
SFL 62-65
−23.5
13
vsUTAH
UTAHW 82-74
+2.5
16
vsLIU
LIUW 87-83
+17.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 71-66
−16.5
29
vsALST
ALSTW 94-56
−4.5
3
@TEX
TEXW 101-98
+41.5
7
vsOU
OUW 72-53
−33.5
10
@UK
UKL 68-92
+7.5
13
vsALA
ALAL 82-97
+7.5
17
vsMISS
MISSL 67-68
−12.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-88
−7.5
24
vsVAN
VANL 56-88
−15.5
28
@LSU
LSUW 80-66
−8.5
31
@MIZ
MIZL 79-84
+16.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 68-88
−7.5
11
vsTENN
TENNL 64-73
−10.5
14
@MISS
MISSW 90-78
+21.5
18
vsAUB
AUBW 91-85
+20.5
over 13under 13avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Carolina
26 games played
Straight up
11-15
42% wins
Against the spread
12-14
46% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-12
54% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs NCAT | W 91-72 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 9 | vs USM | W 83-79 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRES | W 81-61 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs RAD | W 87-58 | -10.5 | W +18.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs BTLR | L 72-79 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs NU | L 77-79 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 28 | vs CHSO | W 74-62 | -17.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs VT | L 83-86 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs STET | W 82-51 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | vs CIT | W 71-55 | -22.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | @ CLEM | L 61-68 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 22 | vs SCST | W 95-70 | -31.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 30 | vs UALB | W 96-67 | -19.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | vsVAN | L 71-83 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 6 | @LSU | W 78-68 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs UGA | L 70-75 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ARK | L 74-108 | +12.5 | L −21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @AUB | L 67-71 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | vsOU | W 85-76 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | @TA&M | L 69-92 | +10.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 28 | vs FLA | L 48-95 | +13.5 | L −33.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 31 | vsLSU | L 87-92 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 3 | @TEX | L 75-84 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | vsMIZ | L 59-78 | +3.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 14 | @ALA | L 75-89 | +17.5 | W +3.5 | 170.5 | U 164 |
| Feb 17 | @FLA | L 62-76 | +23.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsNCAT
NCATW 91-72
−3.5
9
vsUSM
USMW 83-79
−13.5
12
vsPRES
PRESW 81-61
+3.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 87-58
+18.5
21
vsBTLR
BTLRL 72-79
−3.5
23
vsNU
NUL 77-79
+2.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOW 74-62
−5.5
2
vsVT
VTL 83-86
−5.5
6
vsSTET
STETW 82-51
+8.5
13
vsCIT
CITW 71-55
−6.5
16
@CLEM
CLEML 61-68
+5.5
22
vsSCST
SCSTW 95-70
−6.5
30
vsUALB
UALBW 96-67
+9.5
3
vsVAN
VANL 71-83
−2.5
6
@LSU
LSUW 78-68
+17.5
10
vsUGA
UGAL 70-75
−0.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 74-108
−21.5
17
@AUB
AUBL 67-71
+9.5
20
vsOU
OUW 85-76
+11.5
24
@TA&M
TA&ML 69-92
−12.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 48-95
−33.5
31
vsLSU
LSUL 87-92
−2.5
3
@TEX
TEXL 75-84
+4.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZL 59-78
−15.5
14
@ALA
ALAL 75-89
+3.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 62-76
+9.5
covered 12didn’t cover 14avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsNCAT
NCATW 91-72
+19.5
9
vsUSM
USMW 83-79
+14.5
12
vsPRES
PRESW 81-61
+4.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 87-58
−8.5
21
vsBTLR
BTLRL 72-79
+0.5
23
vsNU
NUL 77-79
+9.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOW 74-62
−14.5
2
vsVT
VTL 83-86
+19.5
6
vsSTET
STETW 82-51
−9.5
13
vsCIT
CITW 71-55
−15.5
16
@CLEM
CLEML 61-68
−13.5
22
vsSCST
SCSTW 95-70
+15.5
30
vsUALB
UALBW 96-67
+14.5
3
vsVAN
VANL 71-83
−1.5
6
@LSU
LSUW 78-68
+0.5
10
vsUGA
UGAL 70-75
−18.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 74-108
+26.5
17
@AUB
AUBL 67-71
−14.5
20
vsOU
OUW 85-76
+10.5
24
@TA&M
TA&ML 69-92
+5.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 48-95
−8.5
31
vsLSU
LSUL 87-92
+31.5
3
@TEX
TEXL 75-84
+9.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZL 59-78
−10.5
14
@ALA
ALAL 75-89
−6.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 62-76
−18.5
over 14under 12avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mississippi St
13-13 overall · 5-8 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Auburn91–85
- W@ Ole Miss90–78
- Lvs Tennessee64–73
- Lvs Arkansas68–88
- L@ Missouri79–84
3 days since their last game.
South Carolina
11-15 overall · 2-11 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Florida62–76
- L@ Alabama75–89
- Lvs Missouri59–78
- L@ Texas75–84
- Lvs LSU87–92
4 days since their last game.