Hinkle Fieldhouse · at Butler · Conference game
Closing line
BTLR -4.5✓ BTLR covered by 0.5
BTLR -4.5✓ BTLR covered by 0.5Closing total159.5Under by 4.5
 XAV | This season | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| 13-13 | Record | 14-13 |
| 14-12 | ATS | 13-14 |
| 18-8 | O/U | 15-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: XAV 80–84 BTLR · ✓ BTLR (66%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAV | 28 | 47 | 75 |
| BTLR | 47 | 33 | 80 |
1st half: XAV 28, BTLR 47 (BTLR by 19). The model had BTLR by 2.6 and a total of 76.6 (actual 75).
Team stats
| XAV | BTLR | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-63 44% | Field goals | 26-55 47% |
| 10-32 31% | 3-pointers | 3-11 27% |
| 9-11 82% | Free throws | 25-33 76% |
| 32 8 off | Rebounds | 35 8 off |
| 13 | Assists | 14 |
| 3 | Steals | 2 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 8 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| XAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Carroll F | 38 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 10-19 | 4-7 |
| Malik Messina-Moore G | 35 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 7-12 | 2-6 |
| Filip Borovicanin F | 30 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Jovan Milicevic F | 21 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| All Wright G | 21 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Walker G | 26 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Roddie Anderson G | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Anthony Robinson F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Pape N'Diaye F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gabriel Pozzato, Luke Naser, Kason Westphal, Henry Thole, Mier Panoam, Ian Sabourin, Michael Wolf
| BTLR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finley Bizjack G | 38 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 4-12 | 1-3 |
| Michael Ajayi F | 35 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 11-21 | 1-3 |
| Jamie Kaiser Jr. F | 32 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor G | 21 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Drayton Jones C | 15 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Yohan Traore F | 24 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Yame Butler G | 23 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jackson Keith F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Bryson Cardinal, Kevin Ndzie, Evan Haywood, Ethan McComb, Jalen Jackson, Jack McCaffery, Azavier Robinson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBTLR -3.5
1 → BTLR
CloseBTLR -4.5
1 pt toward BTLR
Total
Open159.5
no move
Close159.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
XAV +160 · BTLR -192
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BTLR -3.5 · closed BTLR -4.5 · moved 1 toward BTLRmodel BTLR -4.5 matches the line
model BTLR -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 159.5 · unchangedmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BTLR -4.5 | BTLR -4.7 | BTLR +0.2 | W BTLR covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 163.8 | Over 4.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | XAV 79.6 · BTLR 84.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BTLR -2.6 | BTLR -19.0 |
| 1H total | 76.6 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | XAV 37 · BTLR 39.6 | XAV 28 · BTLR 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAV | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 9-1 90% |
| BTLR | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
XAV 8–3 BTLRXAV leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · XAV has won the last 4 meetings · XAV 6-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025-26 | BTLR 75 @ XAV 89 | XAV +1.5 | XAV W |
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | XAV 91 @ BTLR 78 | BTLR +3.5 | XAV W |
| Feb 18, 2024-25 | BTLR 63 @ XAV 76 | XAV -7.5 | XAV W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | XAV 76 vs BTLR 72 | BTLR +1.5 | XAV W |
| Mar 6, 2023-24 | XAV 66 @ BTLR 72 | BTLR -2.5 | BTLR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Xavier
26 games played
Straight up
13-13
50% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-8
69% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRST | W 66-62 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 6 | vs LEM | W 74-69 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCU | L 68-87 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 14 | @ IOWA | L 62-81 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs ODU | W 99-69 | -10.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 21 | vs UGA | L 77-78 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs WVU | W 78-68 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs AMCC | W 88-67 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs SFPA | W 96-74 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs CIN | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 12 | vs MOST | W 75-57 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 17 | vs CREI | L 57-98 | -2.5 | L −43.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 20 | @ GTWN | W 80-77 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 31 | vs CONN | L 67-90 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | @ DEP | L 77-86 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 7 | @ MARQ | L 65-66 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 157.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs PROV | W 97-84 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 165.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 14 | vsBTLR | W 89-75 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 21 | @CREI | L 93-94 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 24 | vs SJU | L 83-88 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 28 | @ HALL | L 68-86 | +5.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | vsDEP | W 68-66 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 3 | @CONN | L 60-92 | +16.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 9 | @SJU | L 82-87 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | vsMARQ | W 96-88 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 17 | vs VILL | L 89-92 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−8.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−19.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−22.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−3.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+19.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
+9.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+15.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+7.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
−5.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+6.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−0.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
−43.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
−11.5
3
@DEP
DEPL 77-86
−6.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 65-66
+4.5
10
vsPROV
PROVW 97-84
+14.5
14
vsBTLR
BTLRW 89-75
+15.5
21
@CREI
CREIL 93-94
+7.5
24
vsSJU
SJUL 83-88
+3.5
28
@HALL
HALLL 68-86
−12.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 68-66
−2.5
3
@CONN
CONNL 60-92
−15.5
9
@SJU
SJUL 82-87
+11.5
14
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-88
+6.5
17
vsVILL
VILLL 89-92
+1.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−11.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−13.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−0.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−0.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+17.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
−10.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+5.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+8.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
+17.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+5.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−19.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
+3.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
+12.5
3
@DEP
DEPL 77-86
+13.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 65-66
−26.5
10
vsPROV
PROVW 97-84
+15.5
14
vsBTLR
BTLRW 89-75
+2.5
21
@CREI
CREIL 93-94
+31.5
24
vsSJU
SJUL 83-88
+11.5
28
@HALL
HALLL 68-86
+8.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 68-66
−16.5
3
@CONN
CONNL 60-92
+4.5
9
@SJU
SJUL 82-87
+9.5
14
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-88
+26.5
17
vsVILL
VILLL 89-92
+28.5
over 18under 8avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Butler
27 games played
Straight up
14-13
52% wins
Against the spread
13-14
48% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-12
56% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs USI | W 88-58 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 8 | vs IUIN | W 112-80 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 192.5 | U 192 |
| Nov 11 | vs CHST | W 98-66 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 15 | @ SMU | L 85-87 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | vs SC | W 79-72 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs UVA | W 80-73 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 28 | vs WRST | W 94-69 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | vs EMU | W 84-68 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 6 | vs BOIS | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vsPROV | W 113-110 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 223 |
| Dec 16 | @CONN | L 60-79 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs NU | W 61-58 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 22 | vs NJIT | W 101-52 | -32.5 | W +16.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | @CREI | L 85-89 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 3 | vsVILL | L 67-85 | -2.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 6 | vsSJU | L 70-84 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 14 | @XAV | L 75-89 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | @HALL | W 77-66 | +6.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 20 | vsDEP | W 87-80 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 23 | vsMARQ | W 87-76 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 28 | @SJU | L 70-92 | +12.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 31 | vsGTWN | L 64-77 | -5.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | @PROV | L 87-97 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 7 | @MARQ | L 55-70 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 11 | vsCONN | L 70-80 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | vsHALL | L 56-63 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 18 | @GTWN | W 93-89 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUSI
USIW 88-58
+7.5
8
vsIUIN
IUINW 112-80
+11.5
11
vsCHST
CHSTW 98-66
+5.5
15
@SMU
SMUL 85-87
+5.5
21
vsSC
SCW 79-72
+3.5
23
vsUVA
UVAW 80-73
+13.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTW 94-69
+10.5
2
vsEMU
EMUW 84-68
−1.5
6
vsBOIS
BOISL 68-77
−11.5
13
vsPROV
PROVW 113-110
−0.5
16
@CONN
CONNL 60-79
−3.5
20
vsNU
NUW 61-58
−0.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 101-52
+16.5
30
@CREI
CREIL 85-89
+1.5
3
vsVILL
VILLL 67-85
−20.5
6
vsSJU
SJUL 70-84
−9.5
14
@XAV
XAVL 75-89
−15.5
17
@HALL
HALLW 77-66
+17.5
20
vsDEP
DEPW 87-80
−0.5
23
vsMARQ
MARQW 87-76
+5.5
28
@SJU
SJUL 70-92
−9.5
31
vsGTWN
GTWNL 64-77
−18.5
4
@PROV
PROVL 87-97
−7.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 55-70
−11.5
11
vsCONN
CONNL 70-80
+1.5
15
vsHALL
HALLL 56-63
−1.5
18
@GTWN
GTWNW 93-89
+10.5
covered 13didn’t cover 14avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUSI
USIW 88-58
−10.5
8
vsIUIN
IUINW 112-80
−0.5
11
vsCHST
CHSTW 98-66
+5.5
15
@SMU
SMUL 85-87
+8.5
21
vsSC
SCW 79-72
+0.5
23
vsUVA
UVAW 80-73
−2.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTW 94-69
+12.5
2
vsEMU
EMUW 84-68
−1.5
6
vsBOIS
BOISL 68-77
−3.5
13
vsPROV
PROVW 113-110
+58.5
16
@CONN
CONNL 60-79
−5.5
20
vsNU
NUW 61-58
−35.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 101-52
+3.5
30
@CREI
CREIL 85-89
+17.5
3
vsVILL
VILLL 67-85
+2.5
6
vsSJU
SJUL 70-84
−8.5
14
@XAV
XAVL 75-89
+2.5
17
@HALL
HALLW 77-66
−1.5
20
vsDEP
DEPW 87-80
+19.5
23
vsMARQ
MARQW 87-76
+1.5
28
@SJU
SJUL 70-92
+3.5
31
vsGTWN
GTWNL 64-77
−8.5
4
@PROV
PROVL 87-97
+15.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 55-70
−30.5
11
vsCONN
CONNL 70-80
+6.5
15
vsHALL
HALLL 56-63
−19.5
18
@GTWN
GTWNW 93-89
+34.5
over 15under 12avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Xavier
13-13 overall · 5-10 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Villanova89–92
- Wvs Marquette96–88
- L@ St John's82–87
- L@ UConn60–92
- Wvs DePaul68–66
4 days since their last game.
Butler
14-13 overall · 5-11 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Georgetown93–89
- Lvs Seton Hall56–63
- Lvs UConn70–80
- L@ Marquette55–70
- L@ Providence87–97
3 days since their last game.