Cintas Center · at Xavier · Conference game
Closing line
BTLR -1.5✓ XAV covered by 15.5
BTLR -1.5✓ XAV covered by 15.5Closing total161.5Over by 2.5
| BTLR | This season | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| 10-6 | Record | 10-7 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 8-9 |
| 8-8 | O/U | 10-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BTLR 82–80 XAV · ✗ BTLR (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTLR | 36 | 39 | 75 |
| XAV | 44 | 45 | 89 |
1st half: BTLR 36, XAV 44 (XAV by 8). The model had BTLR by 1.3 and a total of 75.4 (actual 80).
Team stats
| BTLR | XAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-60 43% | Field goals | 35-74 47% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 15-19 79% | Free throws | 10-12 83% |
| 34 9 off | Rebounds | 42 16 off |
| 19 | Assists | 30 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 29 |
Players
| BTLR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ajayi F | 36 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 9-16 | 3-3 |
| Finley Bizjack G | 32 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Jamie Kaiser Jr. F | 27 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0-9 | 0-8 |
| Yame Butler G | 22 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Drayton Jones C | 16 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Yohan Traore F | 24 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Evan Haywood G | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-5 |
| Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Azavier Robinson G | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jackson Keith F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ethan McComb G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kevin Ndzie, Bryson Cardinal, Jalen Jackson, Jack McCaffery
| XAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Messina-Moore G | 35 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 5-14 | 2-8 |
| Tre Carroll F | 34 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 12-22 | 1-5 |
| Filip Borovicanin F | 32 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Jovan Milicevic F | 28 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 6-9 | 2-5 |
| All Wright G | 18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddie Anderson G | 29 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 5-15 | 1-5 |
| Pape N'Diaye F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Robinson F | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Walker G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ian Sabourin F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michael Wolf G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Henry Thole F | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kason Westphal, Gabriel Pozzato, Luke Naser, Mier Panoam
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBTLR -1.5
no move
CloseBTLR -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open158.5
▲ 3
Close161.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
BTLR -125 · XAV +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BTLR -1.5 · unchangedmodel BTLR -2
model BTLR -2
Opened 158.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 3 upmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BTLR -1.5 | BTLR -1.9 | BTLR +0.4 | L XAV covered |
| Total | 161.5 | 161.1 | Under 0.4 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | BTLR 81.5 · XAV 79.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BTLR -1.3 | XAV -8.0 |
| 1H total | 75.4 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | BTLR 38.3 · XAV 37.1 | BTLR 36 · XAV 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTLR | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| XAV | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
BTLR 3–7 XAVXAV leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · XAV has won the last 3 meetings · BTLR 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | XAV 91 @ BTLR 78 | BTLR +3.5 | XAV W |
| Feb 18, 2024-25 | BTLR 63 @ XAV 76 | XAV -7.5 | XAV W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | XAV 76 vs BTLR 72 | BTLR +1.5 | XAV W |
| Mar 6, 2023-24 | XAV 66 @ BTLR 72 | BTLR -2.5 | BTLR W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | BTLR 71 @ XAV 85 | XAV -4.5 | XAV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Butler
16 games played
Straight up
10-6
63% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs USI | W 88-58 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 8 | vs IUIN | W 112-80 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 192.5 | U 192 |
| Nov 11 | vs CHST | W 98-66 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 15 | @ SMU | L 85-87 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | vs SC | W 79-72 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs UVA | W 80-73 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 28 | vs WRST | W 94-69 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | vs EMU | W 84-68 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 6 | vs BOIS | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs PROV | W 113-110 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 223 |
| Dec 16 | @ CONN | L 60-79 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs NU | W 61-58 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 22 | vs NJIT | W 101-52 | -32.5 | W +16.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | @ CREI | L 85-89 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 3 | vs VILL | L 67-85 | -2.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 6 | vs SJU | L 70-84 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUSI
USIW 88-58
+7.5
8
vsIUIN
IUINW 112-80
+11.5
11
vsCHST
CHSTW 98-66
+5.5
15
@SMU
SMUL 85-87
+5.5
21
vsSC
SCW 79-72
+3.5
23
vsUVA
UVAW 80-73
+13.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTW 94-69
+10.5
2
vsEMU
EMUW 84-68
−1.5
6
vsBOIS
BOISL 68-77
−11.5
13
vsPROV
PROVW 113-110
−0.5
16
@CONN
CONNL 60-79
−3.5
20
vsNU
NUW 61-58
−0.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 101-52
+16.5
30
@CREI
CREIL 85-89
+1.5
3
vsVILL
VILLL 67-85
−20.5
6
vsSJU
SJUL 70-84
−9.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUSI
USIW 88-58
−10.5
8
vsIUIN
IUINW 112-80
−0.5
11
vsCHST
CHSTW 98-66
+5.5
15
@SMU
SMUL 85-87
+8.5
21
vsSC
SCW 79-72
+0.5
23
vsUVA
UVAW 80-73
−2.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTW 94-69
+12.5
2
vsEMU
EMUW 84-68
−1.5
6
vsBOIS
BOISL 68-77
−3.5
13
vsPROV
PROVW 113-110
+58.5
16
@CONN
CONNL 60-79
−5.5
20
vsNU
NUW 61-58
−35.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 101-52
+3.5
30
@CREI
CREIL 85-89
+17.5
3
vsVILL
VILLL 67-85
+2.5
6
vsSJU
SJUL 70-84
−8.5
over 8under 8avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Xavier
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRST | W 66-62 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 6 | vs LEM | W 74-69 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCU | L 68-87 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 14 | @ IOWA | L 62-81 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs ODU | W 99-69 | -10.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 21 | vs UGA | L 77-78 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs WVU | W 78-68 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs AMCC | W 88-67 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs SFPA | W 96-74 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs CIN | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 12 | vs MOST | W 75-57 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 17 | vsCREI | L 57-98 | -2.5 | L −43.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 20 | @ GTWN | W 80-77 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 31 | vsCONN | L 67-90 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | @ DEP | L 77-86 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 7 | @ MARQ | L 65-66 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 157.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsPROV | W 97-84 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 165.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−8.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−19.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−22.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−3.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+19.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
+9.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+15.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+7.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
−5.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+6.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−0.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
−43.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
−11.5
3
@DEP
DEPL 77-86
−6.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 65-66
+4.5
10
vsPROV
PROVW 97-84
+14.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−11.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−13.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−0.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−0.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+17.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
−10.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+5.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+8.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
+17.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+5.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−19.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
+3.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
+12.5
3
@DEP
DEPL 77-86
+13.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 65-66
−26.5
10
vsPROV
PROVW 97-84
+15.5
over 10under 7avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Butler
10-6 overall · 1-4 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs St John's70–84
- Lvs Villanova67–85
- L@ Creighton85–89
- Wvs NJIT101–52
- Wvs Northwestern61–58
A week or more of rest.
Xavier
10-7 overall · 2-4 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Providence97–84
- L@ Marquette65–66
- L@ DePaul77–86
- Lvs UConn67–90
- W@ Georgetown80–77
4 days since their last game.