Hinkle Fieldhouse · at Butler · Conference game
Closing line
BTLR -2.5✓ VILL covered by 20.5
BTLR -2.5✓ VILL covered by 20.5Closing total149.5Over by 2.5
 VILL | This season | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| 11-2 | Record | 10-4 |
| 9-4 | ATS | 9-5 |
| 5-8 | O/U | 7-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VILL 75–77 BTLR · ✗ BTLR (54%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VILL | 30 | 55 | 85 |
| BTLR | 33 | 34 | 67 |
1st half: VILL 30, BTLR 33 (BTLR by 3). The model had BTLR by 0.5 and a total of 71.1 (actual 63).
Team stats
| VILL | BTLR | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-58 55% | Field goals | 24-63 38% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 6-27 22% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 13-14 93% |
| 30 7 off | Rebounds | 36 13 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 11 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Hodge F | 36 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 6-9 | 4-6 |
| Acaden Lewis G | 36 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Duke Brennan F | 30 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Lindsay G | 30 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 7-13 | 3-7 |
| Tyler Perkins G | 29 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devin Askew G | 23 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Malachi Palmer G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Braden Pierce C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zion Stanford, Malcolm Flaggs, Chris Jeffrey, Tafara Gapare, Wade Chiddick, Nico Onyekwere
| BTLR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ajayi F | 35 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Finley Bizjack G | 31 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 6-16 | 1-6 |
| Jamie Kaiser Jr. F | 31 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Drayton Jones C | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Azavier Robinson G | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Yohan Traore F | 20 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Evan Haywood G | 18 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Yame Butler G | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor G | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Jackson Keith F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ethan McComb, Jack McCaffery, Jalen Jackson, Bryson Cardinal, Kevin Ndzie
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVILL -1.5
4 → BTLR
CloseBTLR -2.5
4 pts toward BTLR
Total
Open146.5
▲ 3
Close149.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
VILL +124 · BTLR -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VILL -1.5 · closed BTLR -2.5 · moved 4 toward BTLRmodel BTLR -1
model BTLR -1
Opened 146.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 3 upmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BTLR -2.5 | BTLR -1.0 | VILL +1.5 | W VILL covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 151.9 | Over 2.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | VILL 75.4 · BTLR 76.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BTLR -0.5 | BTLR -3.0 |
| 1H total | 71.1 | 63 |
| 1H projected score | VILL 35.3 · BTLR 35.8 | VILL 30 · BTLR 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VILL | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| BTLR | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
VILL 6–2 BTLRVILL leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · VILL has won the last 3 meetings · VILL 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | BTLR 70 @ VILL 80 | VILL -8.5 | VILL W |
| Jan 1, 2024-25 | VILL 73 @ BTLR 65 | BTLR -1.5 | VILL W |
| Feb 20, 2023-24 | BTLR 62 @ VILL 72 | VILL -6.5 | VILL W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | VILL 81 @ BTLR 88 | BTLR -1.5 | BTLR W |
| Feb 14, 2022-23 | BTLR 50 @ VILL 62 | VILL -9.5 | VILL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Villanova
13 games played
Straight up
11-2
85% wins
Against the spread
9-4
69% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BYU | L 66-71 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs QUC | W 94-74 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs SHU | W 94-60 | -19.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs DUQ | W 87-77 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ LAS | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 25 | vs ODU | W 89-75 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | vs TEM | W 74-56 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 6 | vs PENN | W 90-63 | -18.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 9 | @ MICH | L 61-89 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs PITT | W 79-61 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 19 | vs WIS | W 76-66 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 23 | @ HALL | W 64-56 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 31 | vs DEP | W 71-66 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
+14.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
−0.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
+2.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
−8.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
+3.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+8.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−10.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+7.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
+13.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
+9.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−7.5
covered 9didn’t cover 4avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
−6.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
+12.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
−19.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
+16.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
−16.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+2.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−6.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+1.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
−10.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
−15.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−2.5
over 5under 8avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Butler
14 games played
Straight up
10-4
71% wins
Against the spread
9-5
64% covers · avg +4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs USI | W 88-58 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 8 | vs IUIN | W 112-80 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 192.5 | U 192 |
| Nov 11 | vs CHST | W 98-66 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 15 | @ SMU | L 85-87 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | vs SC | W 79-72 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs UVA | W 80-73 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 28 | vs WRST | W 94-69 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | vs EMU | W 84-68 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 6 | vs BOIS | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs PROV | W 113-110 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 223 |
| Dec 16 | @ CONN | L 60-79 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs NU | W 61-58 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 22 | vs NJIT | W 101-52 | -32.5 | W +16.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | @ CREI | L 85-89 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUSI
USIW 88-58
+7.5
8
vsIUIN
IUINW 112-80
+11.5
11
vsCHST
CHSTW 98-66
+5.5
15
@SMU
SMUL 85-87
+5.5
21
vsSC
SCW 79-72
+3.5
23
vsUVA
UVAW 80-73
+13.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTW 94-69
+10.5
2
vsEMU
EMUW 84-68
−1.5
6
vsBOIS
BOISL 68-77
−11.5
13
vsPROV
PROVW 113-110
−0.5
16
@CONN
CONNL 60-79
−3.5
20
vsNU
NUW 61-58
−0.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 101-52
+16.5
30
@CREI
CREIL 85-89
+1.5
covered 9didn’t cover 5avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUSI
USIW 88-58
−10.5
8
vsIUIN
IUINW 112-80
−0.5
11
vsCHST
CHSTW 98-66
+5.5
15
@SMU
SMUL 85-87
+8.5
21
vsSC
SCW 79-72
+0.5
23
vsUVA
UVAW 80-73
−2.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTW 94-69
+12.5
2
vsEMU
EMUW 84-68
−1.5
6
vsBOIS
BOISL 68-77
−3.5
13
vsPROV
PROVW 113-110
+58.5
16
@CONN
CONNL 60-79
−5.5
20
vsNU
NUW 61-58
−35.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 101-52
+3.5
30
@CREI
CREIL 85-89
+17.5
over 7under 7avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Villanova
11-2 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs DePaul71–66
- W@ Seton Hall64–56
- Wvs Wisconsin76–66
- Wvs Pitt79–61
- L@ Michigan61–89
3 days since their last game.
Butler
10-4 overall · 1-2 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Creighton85–89
- Wvs NJIT101–52
- Wvs Northwestern61–58
- L@ UConn60–79
- Wvs Providence113–110
4 days since their last game.