PeoplesBank Arena · at UConn · Conference game
Closing line
CONN -16.5✓ CONN covered by 15.5
CONN -16.5✓ CONN covered by 15.5Closing total147.5Over by 4.5
 XAV | This season | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| 12-10 | Record | 21-1 |
| 11-11 | ATS | 7-15 |
| 14-8 | O/U | 10-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: XAV 66–83 CONN · ✓ CONN (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAV | 22 | 38 | 60 |
| CONN | 50 | 42 | 92 |
1st half: XAV 22, CONN 50 (CONN by 28). The model had CONN by 9.7 and a total of 69.7 (actual 72).
Team stats
| XAV | CONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-49 37% | Field goals | 34-60 57% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 18-28 64% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 24 8 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 6 | Assists | 26 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| XAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Messina-Moore G | 34 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-3 |
| Tre Carroll F | 32 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| All Wright G | 25 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Filip Borovicanin F | 25 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| Jovan Milicevic F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddie Anderson G | 28 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4-12 | 1-4 |
| Isaiah Walker G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Anthony Robinson F | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Pape N'Diaye F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kason Westphal, Gabriel Pozzato, Luke Naser, Henry Thole, Mier Panoam, Ian Sabourin, Michael Wolf
| CONN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban F | 29 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 4-7 | 0-3 |
| Silas Demary Jr. G | 27 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Braylon Mullins G | 25 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Solo Ball G | 23 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. C | 22 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 7-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylin Stewart F | 19 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Eric Reibe C | 17 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Ross F | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Malachi Smith G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Furphy G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Alec Millender G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Uros Paunovic G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Koroma F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rrezon Elezaj, Jacob Ross
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCONN -18.5
2 → XAV
CloseCONN -16.5
2 pts toward XAV
Total
Open146.5
▲ 1
Close147.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
XAV +1100 · CONN -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CONN -18.5 · closed CONN -16.5 · moved 2 toward XAVmodel CONN -16.5 matches the line
model CONN -16.5 = line ✓
Opened 146.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CONN -16.5 | CONN -16.6 | CONN +0.1 | W CONN covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 148.8 | Over 1.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | XAV 66.1 · CONN 82.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CONN -9.7 | CONN -28.0 |
| 1H total | 69.7 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | XAV 30 · CONN 39.7 | XAV 22 · CONN 50 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAV | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
| CONN | 10-0 100% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
XAV 4–6 CONNCONN leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · XAV 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | CONN 90 @ XAV 67 | XAV +11.5 | CONN W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | CONN 72 @ XAV 76 | XAV -1.5 | XAV W |
| Dec 18, 2024-25 | XAV 89 @ CONN 94 | CONN -13.5 | XAV W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | XAV 60 vs CONN 87 | CONN -15.5 | CONN W |
| Jan 28, 2023-24 | XAV 56 @ CONN 99 | CONN -11.5 | CONN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Xavier
22 games played
Straight up
12-10
55% wins
Against the spread
11-11
50% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-8
64% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRST | W 66-62 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 6 | vs LEM | W 74-69 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCU | L 68-87 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 14 | @ IOWA | L 62-81 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs ODU | W 99-69 | -10.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 21 | vs UGA | L 77-78 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs WVU | W 78-68 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs AMCC | W 88-67 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs SFPA | W 96-74 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs CIN | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 12 | vs MOST | W 75-57 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 17 | vs CREI | L 57-98 | -2.5 | L −43.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 20 | @ GTWN | W 80-77 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 31 | vsCONN | L 67-90 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | @ DEP | L 77-86 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 7 | @ MARQ | L 65-66 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 157.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs PROV | W 97-84 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 165.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 14 | vs BTLR | W 89-75 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 21 | @CREI | L 93-94 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 24 | vs SJU | L 83-88 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 28 | @ HALL | L 68-86 | +5.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | vsDEP | W 68-66 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−8.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−19.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−22.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−3.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+19.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
+9.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+15.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+7.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
−5.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+6.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−0.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
−43.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
−11.5
3
@DEP
DEPL 77-86
−6.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 65-66
+4.5
10
vsPROV
PROVW 97-84
+14.5
14
vsBTLR
BTLRW 89-75
+15.5
21
@CREI
CREIL 93-94
+7.5
24
vsSJU
SJUL 83-88
+3.5
28
@HALL
HALLL 68-86
−12.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 68-66
−2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 11avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−11.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−13.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−0.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−0.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+17.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
−10.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+5.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+8.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
+17.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+5.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−19.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
+3.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
+12.5
3
@DEP
DEPL 77-86
+13.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 65-66
−26.5
10
vsPROV
PROVW 97-84
+15.5
14
vsBTLR
BTLRW 89-75
+2.5
21
@CREI
CREIL 93-94
+31.5
24
vsSJU
SJUL 83-88
+11.5
28
@HALL
HALLL 68-86
+8.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 68-66
−16.5
over 14under 8avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UConn
22 games played
Straight up
21-1
95% wins
Against the spread
7-15
32% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NHVN | W 79-55 | -42.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs UML | W 110-47 | -36.5 | W +26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs COLU | W 89-62 | -32.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs BYU | W 86-84 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARIZ | L 67-71 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 23 | vs BRY | W 72-49 | -36.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs ILL | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | @ KU | W 61-56 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 5 | vs ETAM | W 83-59 | -36.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 9 | vs FLA | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 12 | vs TEX | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vsBTLR | W 79-60 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | @DEP | W 72-54 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 31 | @XAV | W 90-67 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 4 | vsMARQ | W 73-57 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | @PROV | W 103-98 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 10 | vsDEP | W 72-60 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @HALL | W 69-64 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 17 | @GTWN | W 64-62 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | vs VILL | W 75-67 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 27 | vsPROV | W 87-81 | -15.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 31 | @CREI | W 85-58 | -6.5 | W +20.5 | 142.5 | O 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−18.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+26.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−5.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
−4.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−8.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−13.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
+8.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
+1.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-59
−12.5
9
vsFLA
FLAW 77-73
−0.5
12
vsTEX
TEXW 71-63
−3.5
16
vsBTLR
BTLRW 79-60
+3.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 72-54
+5.5
31
@XAV
XAVW 90-67
+11.5
4
vsMARQ
MARQW 73-57
−1.5
7
@PROV
PROVW 103-98
−4.5
10
vsDEP
DEPW 72-60
−7.5
13
@HALL
HALLW 69-64
−1.5
17
@GTWN
GTWNW 64-62
−9.5
24
vsVILL
VILLW 75-67
−3.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 87-81
−9.5
31
@CREI
CREIW 85-58
+20.5
covered 7didn’t cover 15avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−11.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+5.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−4.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
+13.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−18.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−26.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
−15.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
−24.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-59
+0.5
9
vsFLA
FLAW 77-73
+4.5
12
vsTEX
TEXW 71-63
−11.5
16
vsBTLR
BTLRW 79-60
−5.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 72-54
−7.5
31
@XAV
XAVW 90-67
+12.5
4
vsMARQ
MARQW 73-57
−14.5
7
@PROV
PROVW 103-98
+48.5
10
vsDEP
DEPW 72-60
−5.5
13
@HALL
HALLW 69-64
+0.5
17
@GTWN
GTWNW 64-62
−15.5
24
vsVILL
VILLW 75-67
+4.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 87-81
+15.5
31
@CREI
CREIW 85-58
+0.5
over 10under 12avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Xavier
12-10 overall · 4-7 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs DePaul68–66
- L@ Seton Hall68–86
- Lvs St John's83–88
- L@ Creighton93–94
- Wvs Butler89–75
3 days since their last game.
UConn
21-1 overall · 11-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Creighton85–58
- Wvs Providence87–81
- Wvs Villanova75–67
- W@ Georgetown64–62
- W@ Seton Hall69–64
3 days since their last game.