Cintas Center · at Xavier · Conference game
Closing line
SJU -8.5✓ XAV covered by 3.5
SJU -8.5✓ XAV covered by 3.5Closing total159.5Over by 11.5
| SJU | This season | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| 14-5 | Record | 11-8 |
| 10-9 | ATS | 10-9 |
| 8-11 | O/U | 12-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SJU 85–74 XAV · ✓ SJU (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJU | 37 | 51 | 88 |
| XAV | 49 | 34 | 83 |
1st half: SJU 37, XAV 49 (XAV by 12). The model had SJU by 6.5 and a total of 74.3 (actual 86).
Team stats
| SJU | XAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-68 49% | Field goals | 29-61 48% |
| 7-18 39% | 3-pointers | 9-21 43% |
| 15-23 65% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 39 13 off | Rebounds | 32 5 off |
| 17 | Assists | 20 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 8 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Mitchell F | 38 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Hopkins F | 37 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 7-17 | 1-3 |
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 31 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 4-11 | 0-0 |
| Ian Jackson G | 26 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 6-11 | 3-5 |
| Oziyah Sellers G | 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dylan Darling G | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Joson Sanon G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Ruben Prey F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Kelvin Odih G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Casper Pohto, Fotis Konstantinidis, Imran Suljanovic, Lefteris Liotopoulos, Sadiku Ibine Ayo, Handje Tamba
| XAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Messina-Moore G | 36 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 6-12 | 4-8 |
| Tre Carroll F | 35 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 12-22 | 3-5 |
| Filip Borovicanin F | 32 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 3-13 | 0-3 |
| Jovan Milicevic F | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| All Wright G | 18 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Walker G | 18 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Roddie Anderson G | 17 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Robinson F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Pape N'Diaye F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Naser, Gabriel Pozzato, Kason Westphal, Henry Thole, Mier Panoam, Ian Sabourin, Michael Wolf
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSJU -8.5
ModelSJU -10.7
Model edgeSJU +2.2
L XAV covered
Total
Market159.5
Model158.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
SJU 84.7 · XAV 74
SJU 88 · XAV 83
Win probability
SJU 83%
1st half
Spread
SJU -6.5
XAV -12.0
Total
74.3
86 points
Projected score
SJU 40.4 · XAV 33.9
SJU 37 · XAV 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJU -8.5
no move
CloseSJU -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open162.5
▼ 3
Close159.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
SJU -440 · XAV +340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJU -8.5 · unchangedmodel SJU -10.5
model SJU -10.5
Opened 162.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 3 downmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJU | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| XAV | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
SJU 5–3 XAVSJU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SJU has won the last 2 meetings · SJU 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | XAV 71 @ SJU 79 | SJU -6.5 | SJU W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | SJU 82 @ XAV 72 | XAV +1.5 | SJU W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | SJU 77 @ XAV 88 | XAV -1.5 | XAV W |
| Dec 20, 2023-24 | XAV 66 @ SJU 81 | SJU -4.5 | SJU W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | SJU 71 @ XAV 96 | XAV -8.5 | XAV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St John's
19 games played
Straight up
14-5
74% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUIN | W 108-74 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALA | L 96-103 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 15 | vs W&M | W 93-60 | -28.5 | W +4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 20 | vs BUCK | W 97-49 | -28.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs ISU | L 82-83 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs BAY | W 96-81 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs AUB | L 74-85 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs MISS | W 63-58 | -13.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs IONA | W 91-64 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 16 | vs DEP | W 79-66 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs UK | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs HARV | W 85-59 | -26.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @ GTWN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | vs PROV | L 71-77 | -14.5 | L −20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 6 | @ BTLR | W 84-70 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ CREI | W 90-73 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 13 | vs MARQ | W 92-68 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @ VILL | W 86-79 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 20 | vs HALL | W 65-60 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
−11.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
+19.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+1.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+9.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−15.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−8.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−1.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−6.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−0.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+3.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−20.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
+9.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+14.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+8.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+4.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
+26.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
−26.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
−12.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+6.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+17.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−7.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−30.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−4.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−2.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−1.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+25.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−18.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
−8.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+10.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+4.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+17.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−20.5
over 8under 11avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Xavier
19 games played
Straight up
11-8
58% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-7
63% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRST | W 66-62 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 6 | vs LEM | W 74-69 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCU | L 68-87 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 14 | @ IOWA | L 62-81 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs ODU | W 99-69 | -10.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 21 | vs UGA | L 77-78 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs WVU | W 78-68 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs AMCC | W 88-67 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs SFPA | W 96-74 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs CIN | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 12 | vs MOST | W 75-57 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 17 | vsCREI | L 57-98 | -2.5 | L −43.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 20 | @GTWN | W 80-77 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 31 | vs CONN | L 67-90 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | @DEP | L 77-86 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 7 | @MARQ | L 65-66 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 157.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsPROV | W 97-84 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 165.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 14 | vsBTLR | W 89-75 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 21 | @CREI | L 93-94 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 187 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−8.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−19.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−22.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−3.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+19.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
+9.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+15.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+7.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
−5.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+6.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−0.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
−43.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
−11.5
3
@DEP
DEPL 77-86
−6.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 65-66
+4.5
10
vsPROV
PROVW 97-84
+14.5
14
vsBTLR
BTLRW 89-75
+15.5
21
@CREI
CREIL 93-94
+7.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−11.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−13.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−0.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−0.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+17.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
−10.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+5.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+8.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
+17.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+5.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−19.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
+3.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
+12.5
3
@DEP
DEPL 77-86
+13.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 65-66
−26.5
10
vsPROV
PROVW 97-84
+15.5
14
vsBTLR
BTLRW 89-75
+2.5
21
@CREI
CREIL 93-94
+31.5
over 12under 7avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St John's
14-5 overall · 7-1 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Seton Hall65–60
- W@ Villanova86–79
- Wvs Marquette92–68
- W@ Creighton90–73
- W@ Butler84–70
4 days since their last game.
Xavier
11-8 overall · 3-5 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Creighton93–94
- Wvs Butler89–75
- Wvs Providence97–84
- L@ Marquette65–66
- L@ DePaul77–86
3 days since their last game.