Xfinity Mobile Arena · at Villanova · Conference game
Closing line
SJU -2.5✓ SJU covered by 4.5
SJU -2.5✓ SJU covered by 4.5Closing total147.5Over by 17.5
| SJU | This season | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| 12-5 | Record | 14-3 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 11-6 |
| 7-10 | O/U | 9-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SJU 77–73 VILL · ✓ SJU (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJU | 36 | 50 | 86 |
| VILL | 35 | 44 | 79 |
1st half: SJU 36, VILL 35 (SJU by 1). The model had SJU by 2.4 and a total of 69.9 (actual 71).
Team stats
| SJU | VILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-58 52% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 5-15 33% | 3-pointers | 11-26 42% |
| 21-31 68% | Free throws | 18-24 75% |
| 31 12 off | Rebounds | 28 7 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 37 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 7-12 | 1-3 |
| Bryce Hopkins F | 36 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 6-14 | 0-0 |
| Dillon Mitchell F | 35 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Oziyah Sellers G | 30 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Ian Jackson G | 23 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 7-12 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joson Sanon G | 17 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Dylan Darling G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo F | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ruben Prey F | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Imran Suljanovic, Fotis Konstantinidis, Casper Pohto, Kelvin Odih, Handje Tamba
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan F | 32 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Lindsay G | 29 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Tyler Perkins G | 27 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 7-12 | 3-7 |
| Acaden Lewis G | 26 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Matt Hodge F | 23 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devin Askew G | 31 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 6-10 | 3-4 |
| Malachi Palmer G | 24 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Zion Stanford G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Braden Pierce C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nico Onyekwere, Wade Chiddick, Chris Jeffrey, Malcolm Flaggs, Tafara Gapare
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVILL -1.5
4 → SJU
CloseSJU -2.5
4 pts toward SJU
Total
Open147.5
no move
Close147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SJU -142 · VILL +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VILL -1.5 · closed SJU -2.5 · moved 4 toward SJUmodel SJU -4
model SJU -4
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SJU -2.5 | SJU -3.8 | SJU +1.3 | W SJU covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 149.2 | Over 1.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SJU 76.5 · VILL 72.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SJU -2.4 | SJU -1.0 |
| 1H total | 69.9 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | SJU 36.1 · VILL 33.8 | SJU 36 · VILL 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJU | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| VILL | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
SJU 3–6 VILLVILL leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SJU 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | SJU 71 @ VILL 73 | VILL +2.5 | VILL W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | VILL 68 @ SJU 80 | SJU -6.5 | SJU W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | VILL 50 @ SJU 70 | SJU -3.5 | SJU W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | SJU 81 @ VILL 71 | VILL -3.5 | SJU W |
| Jan 20, 2022-23 | VILL 57 @ SJU 49 | SJU -4.5 | VILL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St John's
17 games played
Straight up
12-5
71% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUIN | W 108-74 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALA | L 96-103 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 15 | vs W&M | W 93-60 | -28.5 | W +4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 20 | vs BUCK | W 97-49 | -28.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs ISU | L 82-83 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs BAY | W 96-81 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs AUB | L 74-85 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs MISS | W 63-58 | -13.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs IONA | W 91-64 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 16 | vs DEP | W 79-66 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs UK | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs HARV | W 85-59 | -26.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @ GTWN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | vs PROV | L 71-77 | -14.5 | L −20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 6 | @ BTLR | W 84-70 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ CREI | W 90-73 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 13 | vs MARQ | W 92-68 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
−11.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
+19.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+1.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+9.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−15.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−8.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−1.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−6.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−0.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+3.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−20.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
+9.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+14.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+8.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
+26.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
−26.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
−12.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+6.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+17.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−7.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−30.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−4.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−2.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−1.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+25.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−18.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
−8.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+10.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+4.5
over 7under 10avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Villanova
17 games played
Straight up
14-3
82% wins
Against the spread
11-6
65% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BYU | L 66-71 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs QUC | W 94-74 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs SHU | W 94-60 | -19.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs DUQ | W 87-77 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ LAS | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 25 | vs ODU | W 89-75 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | vs TEM | W 74-56 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 6 | vs PENN | W 90-63 | -18.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 9 | @ MICH | L 61-89 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs PITT | W 79-61 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 19 | vs WIS | W 76-66 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 23 | @ HALL | W 64-56 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 31 | vsDEP | W 71-66 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @BTLR | W 85-67 | +2.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 7 | vsCREI | L 72-76 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @MARQ | W 76-73 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 13 | @PROV | W 88-82 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
+14.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
−0.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
+2.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
−8.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
+3.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+8.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−10.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+7.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
+13.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
+9.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−7.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+20.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
−8.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
−0.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+3.5
covered 11didn’t cover 6avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
−6.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
+12.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
−19.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
+16.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
−16.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+2.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−6.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+1.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
−10.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
−15.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−2.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+2.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
+5.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
+2.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+13.5
over 9under 8avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St John's
12-5 overall · 5-1 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Marquette92–68
- W@ Creighton90–73
- W@ Butler84–70
- Lvs Providence71–77
- W@ Georgetown95–83
4 days since their last game.
Villanova
14-3 overall · 5-1 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Providence88–82
- W@ Marquette76–73
- Lvs Creighton72–76
- W@ Butler85–67
- Wvs DePaul71–66
4 days since their last game.