Madison Square Garden · at St John's · Conference game
Closing line
SJU -16.5✓ XAV covered by 11.5
SJU -16.5✓ XAV covered by 11.5Closing total159.5Over by 9.5
 XAV | This season | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-11 | Record | 18-5 |
| 11-12 | ATS | 13-10 |
| 15-8 | O/U | 11-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: XAV 71–88 SJU · ✓ SJU (94%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAV | 42 | 36 | 4 | 82 |
| SJU | 42 | 36 | 9 | 87 |
1st half: XAV 42, SJU 42 (tied). The model had SJU by 10.2 and a total of 74.4 (actual 84).
Team stats
| XAV | SJU | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-76 45% | Field goals | 28-66 42% |
| 5-17 29% | 3-pointers | 3-13 23% |
| 9-17 53% | Free throws | 28-41 68% |
| 40 10 off | Rebounds | 48 13 off |
| 11 | Assists | 17 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 30 | Fouls | 15 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 27 |
Players
| XAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Borovicanin F | 39 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Tre Carroll F | 36 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9-21 | 1-4 |
| Malik Messina-Moore G | 31 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-1 |
| All Wright G | 29 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Jovan Milicevic F | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Walker G | 22 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Roddie Anderson G | 20 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Anthony Robinson F | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Pape N'Diaye F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ian Sabourin, Mier Panoam, Michael Wolf, Henry Thole, Luke Naser, Gabriel Pozzato, Kason Westphal
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Mitchell F | 42 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 2-12 | 0-0 |
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 40 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Oziyah Sellers G | 37 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| Bryce Hopkins F | 36 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Ian Jackson G | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dylan Darling G | 34 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 5-9 | 0-3 |
| Joson Sanon G | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Ruben Prey F | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo F | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Kelvin Odih G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lefteris Liotopoulos, Handje Tamba, Casper Pohto, Fotis Konstantinidis, Imran Suljanovic
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJU -16.5
no move
CloseSJU -16.5
No change since the open
Total
Open161.5
▼ 2
Close159.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
XAV +1000 · SJU -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJU -16.5 · unchangedmodel SJU -17.5
model SJU -17.5
Opened 161.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 2 downmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SJU -16.5 | SJU -17.3 | SJU +0.8 | L XAV covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 159.2 | Under 0.3 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | XAV 70.9 · SJU 88.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SJU -10.2 | PK |
| 1H total | 74.4 | 84 |
| 1H projected score | XAV 32.1 · SJU 42.3 | XAV 42 · SJU 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAV | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
| SJU | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
XAV 3–6 SJUSJU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SJU has won the last 3 meetings · XAV 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | SJU 88 @ XAV 83 | XAV +8.5 | XAV W |
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | XAV 71 @ SJU 79 | SJU -6.5 | SJU W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | SJU 82 @ XAV 72 | XAV +1.5 | SJU W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | SJU 77 @ XAV 88 | XAV -1.5 | XAV W |
| Dec 20, 2023-24 | XAV 66 @ SJU 81 | SJU -4.5 | SJU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Xavier
23 games played
Straight up
12-11
52% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-8
65% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRST | W 66-62 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 6 | vs LEM | W 74-69 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCU | L 68-87 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 14 | @ IOWA | L 62-81 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs ODU | W 99-69 | -10.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 21 | vs UGA | L 77-78 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs WVU | W 78-68 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs AMCC | W 88-67 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs SFPA | W 96-74 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs CIN | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 12 | vs MOST | W 75-57 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 17 | vs CREI | L 57-98 | -2.5 | L −43.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 20 | @ GTWN | W 80-77 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 31 | vs CONN | L 67-90 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | @ DEP | L 77-86 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 7 | @ MARQ | L 65-66 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 157.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs PROV | W 97-84 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 165.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 14 | vs BTLR | W 89-75 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 21 | @CREI | L 93-94 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 24 | vsSJU | L 83-88 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 28 | @ HALL | L 68-86 | +5.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | vsDEP | W 68-66 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 3 | @CONN | L 60-92 | +16.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−8.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−19.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−22.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−3.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+19.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
+9.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+15.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+7.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
−5.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+6.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−0.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
−43.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
−11.5
3
@DEP
DEPL 77-86
−6.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 65-66
+4.5
10
vsPROV
PROVW 97-84
+14.5
14
vsBTLR
BTLRW 89-75
+15.5
21
@CREI
CREIL 93-94
+7.5
24
vsSJU
SJUL 83-88
+3.5
28
@HALL
HALLL 68-86
−12.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 68-66
−2.5
3
@CONN
CONNL 60-92
−15.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−11.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−13.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−0.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−0.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+17.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
−10.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+5.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+8.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
+17.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+5.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−19.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
+3.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
+12.5
3
@DEP
DEPL 77-86
+13.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 65-66
−26.5
10
vsPROV
PROVW 97-84
+15.5
14
vsBTLR
BTLRW 89-75
+2.5
21
@CREI
CREIL 93-94
+31.5
24
vsSJU
SJUL 83-88
+11.5
28
@HALL
HALLL 68-86
+8.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 68-66
−16.5
3
@CONN
CONNL 60-92
+4.5
over 15under 8avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
St John's
23 games played
Straight up
18-5
78% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUIN | W 108-74 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALA | L 96-103 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 15 | vs W&M | W 93-60 | -28.5 | W +4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 20 | vs BUCK | W 97-49 | -28.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs ISU | L 82-83 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs BAY | W 96-81 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs AUB | L 74-85 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs MISS | W 63-58 | -13.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs IONA | W 91-64 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 16 | vsDEP | W 79-66 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs UK | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs HARV | W 85-59 | -26.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @GTWN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | vsPROV | L 71-77 | -14.5 | L −20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 6 | @BTLR | W 84-70 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | @CREI | W 90-73 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 13 | vsMARQ | W 92-68 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @ VILL | W 86-79 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 20 | vsHALL | W 65-60 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 24 | @XAV | W 88-83 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 28 | vsBTLR | W 92-70 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 3 | @DEP | W 68-56 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 6 | vsCONN | W 81-72 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
−11.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
+19.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+1.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+9.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−15.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−8.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−1.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−6.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−0.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+3.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−20.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
+9.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+14.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+8.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+4.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−6.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
−3.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+9.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
+2.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+10.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
+26.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
−26.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
−12.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+6.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+17.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−7.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−30.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−4.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−2.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−1.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+25.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−18.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
−8.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+10.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+4.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+17.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−20.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
+11.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+3.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
−21.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+9.5
over 11under 12avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Xavier
12-11 overall · 4-8 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UConn60–92
- Wvs DePaul68–66
- L@ Seton Hall68–86
- Lvs St John's83–88
- L@ Creighton93–94
6 days since their last game.
St John's
18-5 overall · 11-1 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UConn81–72
- W@ DePaul68–56
- Wvs Butler92–70
- W@ Xavier88–83
- Wvs Seton Hall65–60
3 days since their last game.