Madison Square Garden · at St John's · Conference game
Closing line
CONN -1.5✓ SJU covered by 10.5
CONN -1.5✓ SJU covered by 10.5Closing total143.5Over by 9.5
| CONN | This season | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| 22-1 | Record | 17-5 |
| 8-15 | ATS | 12-10 |
| 11-12 | O/U | 10-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CONN 73–75 SJU · ✓ SJU (56%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONN | 39 | 33 | 72 |
| SJU | 39 | 42 | 81 |
1st half: CONN 39, SJU 39 (tied). The model had SJU by 0.9 and a total of 69.2 (actual 78).
Team stats
| CONN | SJU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-53 55% | Field goals | 27-54 50% |
| 9-19 47% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 5-12 42% | Free throws | 22-31 71% |
| 26 6 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 23 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| CONN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Demary Jr. G | 36 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. C | 35 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Alex Karaban F | 35 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 7-10 | 3-4 |
| Braylon Mullins G | 34 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Solo Ball G | 31 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylin Stewart F | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Ross F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Eric Reibe C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Malachi Smith G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rrezon Elezaj, Uros Paunovic, Jacob Furphy, Alec Millender, Jacob Ross, Dwayne Koroma
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Mitchell F | 35 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 35 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 6-10 | 1-1 |
| Oziyah Sellers G | 33 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-5 |
| Bryce Hopkins F | 31 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Ian Jackson G | 15 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joson Sanon G | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Dylan Darling G | 21 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Ruben Prey F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Casper Pohto, Fotis Konstantinidis, Imran Suljanovic, Kelvin Odih, Sadiku Ibine Ayo, Handje Tamba
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCONN -1.5
no move
CloseCONN -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▼ 1
Close143.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
CONN -142 · SJU +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CONN -1.5 · unchangedmodel SJU -2
model SJU -2
Opened 144.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CONN -1.5 | SJU -1.8 | SJU +3.3 | W SJU covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 147.7 | Over 4.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | CONN 73 · SJU 74.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SJU -0.9 | PK |
| 1H total | 69.2 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | CONN 34.1 · SJU 35 | CONN 39 · SJU 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONN | 10-0 100% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| SJU | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
CONN 6–3 SJUCONN leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SJU has won the last 2 meetings · CONN 2-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024-25 | CONN 75 @ SJU 89 | SJU -3.5 | SJU W |
| Feb 7, 2024-25 | SJU 68 @ CONN 62 | CONN -4.5 | SJU W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | SJU 90 @ CONN 95 | CONN -9.5 | SJU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | CONN 77 @ SJU 64 | SJU +3.5 | CONN W |
| Dec 23, 2023-24 | SJU 65 @ CONN 69 | CONN -11.5 | SJU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UConn
23 games played
Straight up
22-1
96% wins
Against the spread
8-15
35% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NHVN | W 79-55 | -42.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs UML | W 110-47 | -36.5 | W +26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs COLU | W 89-62 | -32.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs BYU | W 86-84 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARIZ | L 67-71 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 23 | vs BRY | W 72-49 | -36.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs ILL | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | @ KU | W 61-56 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 5 | vs ETAM | W 83-59 | -36.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 9 | vs FLA | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 12 | vs TEX | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs BTLR | W 79-60 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | @ DEP | W 72-54 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 31 | @ XAV | W 90-67 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 4 | vs MARQ | W 73-57 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | @ PROV | W 103-98 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 10 | vsDEP | W 72-60 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ HALL | W 69-64 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ GTWN | W 64-62 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | vs VILL | W 75-67 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 27 | vsPROV | W 87-81 | -15.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 31 | @ CREI | W 85-58 | -6.5 | W +20.5 | 142.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 3 | vsXAV | W 92-60 | -16.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−18.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+26.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−5.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
−4.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−8.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−13.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
+8.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
+1.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-59
−12.5
9
vsFLA
FLAW 77-73
−0.5
12
vsTEX
TEXW 71-63
−3.5
16
vsBTLR
BTLRW 79-60
+3.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 72-54
+5.5
31
@XAV
XAVW 90-67
+11.5
4
vsMARQ
MARQW 73-57
−1.5
7
@PROV
PROVW 103-98
−4.5
10
vsDEP
DEPW 72-60
−7.5
13
@HALL
HALLW 69-64
−1.5
17
@GTWN
GTWNW 64-62
−9.5
24
vsVILL
VILLW 75-67
−3.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 87-81
−9.5
31
@CREI
CREIW 85-58
+20.5
3
vsXAV
XAVW 92-60
+15.5
covered 8didn’t cover 15avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−11.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+5.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−4.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
+13.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−18.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−26.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
−15.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
−24.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-59
+0.5
9
vsFLA
FLAW 77-73
+4.5
12
vsTEX
TEXW 71-63
−11.5
16
vsBTLR
BTLRW 79-60
−5.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 72-54
−7.5
31
@XAV
XAVW 90-67
+12.5
4
vsMARQ
MARQW 73-57
−14.5
7
@PROV
PROVW 103-98
+48.5
10
vsDEP
DEPW 72-60
−5.5
13
@HALL
HALLW 69-64
+0.5
17
@GTWN
GTWNW 64-62
−15.5
24
vsVILL
VILLW 75-67
+4.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 87-81
+15.5
31
@CREI
CREIW 85-58
+0.5
3
vsXAV
XAVW 92-60
+4.5
over 11under 12avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
St John's
22 games played
Straight up
17-5
77% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUIN | W 108-74 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALA | L 96-103 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 15 | vs W&M | W 93-60 | -28.5 | W +4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 20 | vs BUCK | W 97-49 | -28.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs ISU | L 82-83 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs BAY | W 96-81 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs AUB | L 74-85 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs MISS | W 63-58 | -13.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs IONA | W 91-64 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 16 | vsDEP | W 79-66 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs UK | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs HARV | W 85-59 | -26.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @GTWN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | vsPROV | L 71-77 | -14.5 | L −20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 6 | @BTLR | W 84-70 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | @CREI | W 90-73 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 13 | vsMARQ | W 92-68 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @VILL | W 86-79 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 20 | vsHALL | W 65-60 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 24 | @XAV | W 88-83 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 28 | vsBTLR | W 92-70 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 3 | @DEP | W 68-56 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
−11.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
+19.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+1.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+9.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−15.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−8.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−1.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−6.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−0.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+3.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−20.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
+9.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+14.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+8.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+4.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−6.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
−3.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+9.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
+2.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
+26.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
−26.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
−12.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+6.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+17.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−7.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−30.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−4.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−2.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−1.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+25.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−18.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
−8.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+10.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+4.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+17.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−20.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
+11.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+3.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
−21.5
over 10under 12avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UConn
22-1 overall · 12-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Xavier92–60
- W@ Creighton85–58
- Wvs Providence87–81
- Wvs Villanova75–67
- W@ Georgetown64–62
3 days since their last game.
St John's
17-5 overall · 10-1 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ DePaul68–56
- Wvs Butler92–70
- W@ Xavier88–83
- Wvs Seton Hall65–60
- W@ Villanova86–79
3 days since their last game.