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Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 65.8
Projected
30–36
✓ DAV won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 70.8
Projected
34–37
✓ VCU won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 67.3
Projected
29–38
✗ YALE lost
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 69.2
Projected
34–35
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 64.8
Projected
30–35
✓ VAL won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 75.1
Projected
38–37
✓ MUR won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 66.9
Projected
31–36
✓ ILST won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 62.8
Projected
31–32
✓ UNI won
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 71.3
Projected
37–35
✓ BEL won
| Status | Matchup | Spread | Total | Model line | Spread edge | Model total | Total edge | Win prob | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half final | 6-18 · #113 12-9 · #115 |
— | — | DAV -5.9 | — | 65.8 | — | 74% DAV | › | |
| Half final | 15-8 · #91 17-6 · #61 |
— | — | VCU -3.1 | — | 70.8 | — | 63% VCU | › | |
| Half final | 5-13 · #156 14-4 · #126 |
— | — | YALE -9.3 | — | 67.3 | — | 85% YALE | › | |
| Half final | 22-1 · #6 17-5 · #9 |
— | — | SJU -0.9 | — | 69.2 | — | 54% SJU | › | |
| Half final | 3-18 · #255 10-12 · #176 |
— | — | VAL -5.0 | — | 64.8 | — | 71% VAL | › | |
| Half final | 17-7 · #132 9-13 · #195 |
— | — | MUR -0.5 | — | 75.1 | — | 52% MUR | › | |
| Half final | 10-12 · #144 14-8 · #116 |
— | — | ILST -4.9 | — | 66.9 | — | 70% ILST | › | |
| Half final | 15-8 · #167 13-9 · #131 |
— | — | UNI -1.6 | — | 62.8 | — | 57% UNI | › | |
| Half final | 20-3 · #138 11-11 · #110 |
— | — | BEL -1.7 | — | 71.3 | — | 57% BEL | › |
The model’s 1st half is fitted from its full-game numbers and past halves; ESPN posts no 1st-half lines for college games. The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record