CEFCU Arena · at Illinois St · Conference game
Closing line
ILST -10.5✓ DRKE covered by 0.5
ILST -10.5✓ DRKE covered by 0.5Closing total144.5Over by 17.5
 DRKE | This season | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| 10-12 | Record | 14-8 |
| 9-13 | ATS | 12-10 |
| 13-9 | O/U | 8-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DRKE 67–76 ILST · ✓ ILST (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DRKE | 32 | 44 | 76 |
| ILST | 47 | 39 | 86 |
1st half: DRKE 32, ILST 47 (ILST by 15). The model had ILST by 4.9 and a total of 66.9 (actual 79).
Team stats
| DRKE | ILST | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-64 42% | Field goals | 31-62 50% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 12-27 44% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 12-21 57% |
| 38 12 off | Rebounds | 39 9 off |
| 18 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Quinn G | 39 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 6-18 | 0-3 |
| Andrew Alia G | 38 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Owen Larson G | 34 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 5-13 | 2-8 |
| Okku Federiko F | 26 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 6-8 | 2-3 |
| Eli Shetlar G | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 22 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Carr F | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Braden Appelhans G | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Heri Bukinga, Bryson Bahl, LJ Rush, Griffen Goodbary, Wilguens Jr. Exacte
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger G | 31 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3-14 | 2-7 |
| Boden Skunberg G | 30 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 5-10 | 3-6 |
| Mason Klabo G | 26 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Landon Wolf G | 25 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Chase Walker F | 23 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 8-10 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 20 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Ty Pence G | 17 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Landon Moore G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jack Daugherty F | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nick Allen, Isaac Ericksen, Ty Blake, Cameron Barnes
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILST -10.5
no move
CloseILST -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
no move
Close144.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
DRKE +440 · ILST -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILST -10.5 · unchangedmodel ILST -8.5
model ILST -8.5
Opened 144.5 · unchangedmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ILST -10.5 | ILST -8.4 | DRKE +2.1 | W DRKE covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 142.8 | Under 1.7 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | DRKE 67.2 · ILST 75.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILST -4.9 | ILST -15.0 |
| 1H total | 66.9 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | DRKE 31 · ILST 35.9 | DRKE 32 · ILST 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DRKE | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
| ILST | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
DRKE 7–1 ILSTDRKE leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · DRKE 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025-26 | ILST 73 @ DRKE 56 | DRKE +4.5 | ILST W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | DRKE 84 @ ILST 77 | ILST -0.5 | DRKE W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | ILST 62 @ DRKE 66 | DRKE -10.5 | ILST W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | DRKE 77 @ ILST 56 | ILST +6.5 | DRKE W |
| Jan 2, 2023-24 | ILST 71 @ DRKE 88 | DRKE -12.5 | DRKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Drake
22 games played
Straight up
10-12
45% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-9
59% overs · avg +5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NAU | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs RMU | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs SIUE | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @ COFC | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs LSU | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs GT | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIU | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs UAB | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs NDSU | L 94-99 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 18 | @ MUR | L 72-81 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @ EVAN | W 66-65 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | vsILST | L 56-73 | +4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 4 | vs INST | W 74-72 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 7 | @ BRAD | L 66-93 | +6.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vs BEL | L 76-78 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | @ SIU | W 76-73 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ UIC | L 67-74 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 21 | vsMUR | W 101-90 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 24 | @INST | W 76-62 | +3.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 28 | vsEVAN | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | vsBRAD | L 73-87 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 3 | @BEL | L 90-103 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 193 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
−2.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
−9.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−9.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
+16.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
+2.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+14.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+33.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
−10.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−1.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
+3.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−12.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−4.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
−20.5
10
vsBEL
BELL 76-78
+2.5
14
@SIU
SIUW 76-73
+8.5
17
@UIC
UICL 67-74
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURW 101-90
+15.5
24
@INST
INSTW 76-62
+17.5
28
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-78
−4.5
31
vsBRAD
BRADL 73-87
−11.5
3
@BEL
BELL 90-103
−3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+8.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−22.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
−20.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
−18.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+20.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+26.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−5.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
+47.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−3.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
−10.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−16.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−3.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
+14.5
10
vsBEL
BELL 76-78
+5.5
14
@SIU
SIUW 76-73
+4.5
17
@UIC
UICL 67-74
+1.5
21
vsMUR
MURW 101-90
+34.5
24
@INST
INSTW 76-62
−13.5
28
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-78
+16.5
31
vsBRAD
BRADL 73-87
+9.5
3
@BEL
BELL 90-103
+38.5
over 13under 9avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Illinois St
22 games played
Straight up
14-8
64% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-14
36% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ OHIO | L 68-72 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 9 | vs COR | W 76-65 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs USC | L 67-87 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ LBSU | W 82-80 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs CCU | W 94-42 | -12.5 | W +39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | vs CLT | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs FUR | W 72-65 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs EKU | W 89-78 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | vs CHST | W 95-53 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs USU | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 18 | @SIU | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vsINST | W 85-65 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | @DRKE | W 73-56 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 1 | vsEVAN | W 73-47 | -12.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 7 | @ VAL | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vsUIC | L 59-63 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @INST | L 89-94 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | vsBRAD | W 88-62 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs UNI | W 59-54 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 24 | @BEL | L 69-80 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 28 | @MUR | W 70-65 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 3 | vsSIU | L 50-54 | -8.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 104 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+4.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
−1.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+21.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+3.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
+8.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
+6.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
+12.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
+13.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
−12.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−14.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
−11.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+20.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−1.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−5.5
28
@MUR
MURW 70-65
+8.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 50-54
−12.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+8.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
−8.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
+12.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+3.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+12.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
−10.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
−2.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
−16.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
−24.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
+9.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−19.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
+34.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+2.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−19.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−1.5
28
@MUR
MURW 70-65
−24.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 50-54
−36.5
over 8under 14avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Drake
10-12 overall · 6-7 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Belmont90–103
- Lvs Bradley73–87
- Wvs Evansville82–78
- W@ Indiana St76–62
- Wvs Murray St101–90
3 days since their last game.
Illinois St
14-8 overall · 7-5 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs S Illinois50–54
- W@ Murray St70–65
- L@ Belmont69–80
- Wvs Northern Iowa59–54
- Wvs Bradley88–62
3 days since their last game.