CEFCU Arena · at Illinois St · Conference game
Closing line
ILST -6.5✓ UNI covered by 1.5
ILST -6.5✓ UNI covered by 1.5Closing total132.5Under by 19.5
 UNI | This season | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| 11-7 | Record | 12-6 |
| 9-9 | ATS | 11-7 |
| 6-12 | O/U | 8-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNI 62–68 ILST · ✓ ILST (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNI | 16 | 38 | 54 |
| ILST | 24 | 35 | 59 |
1st half: UNI 16, ILST 24 (ILST by 8). The model had ILST by 3.5 and a total of 60.5 (actual 40).
Team stats
| UNI | ILST | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-57 35% | Field goals | 18-48 38% |
| 3-18 17% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 16-18 89% |
| 29 7 off | Rebounds | 42 10 off |
| 4 | Assists | 6 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| UNI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Bond III G | 33 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4-13 | 2-6 |
| Trey Campbell G | 33 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Ben Schwieger F | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Will Hornseth F | 28 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5-12 | 0-0 |
| Max Weisbrod G | 27 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Geon Hutchins G | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| RJ Taylor G | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Pock F | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Ismael Diouf F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Marino Dubravcic, Redek Born, Jalen Wilson, Cade Courbat, Hunter Jacobson, Chase Courbat, Levi Valdo, Tristan Smith
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boden Skunberg G | 33 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 7-11 | 6-9 |
| Johnny Kinziger G | 32 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-5 |
| Chase Walker F | 25 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 21 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Ty Pence G | 20 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Landon Wolf G | 21 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Landon Moore G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Mason Klabo G | 11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jack Daugherty F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Ty Blake, Cameron Barnes, Isaac Ericksen, Nick Allen
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILST -6.5
no move
CloseILST -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open129.5
▲ 3
Close132.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
UNI +225 · ILST -278
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILST -6.5 · unchangedmodel ILST -6
model ILST -6
Opened 129.5 · closed 132.5 · moved 3 upmodel 129
model 129
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ILST -6.5 | ILST -6.0 | UNI +0.5 | W UNI covered |
| Total | 132.5 | 129.0 | Under 3.5 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | UNI 61.5 · ILST 67.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILST -3.5 | ILST -8.0 |
| 1H total | 60.5 | 40 |
| 1H projected score | UNI 28.5 · ILST 32 | UNI 16 · ILST 24 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNI | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| ILST | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UNI 8–1 ILSTUNI leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UNI has won the last 2 meetings · UNI 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | ILST 65 @ UNI 68 | UNI -5.5 | ILST W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | UNI 85 @ ILST 84 | ILST -1.5 | UNI W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | UNI 73 @ ILST 81 | ILST +1.5 | ILST W |
| Mar 2, 2022-23 | ILST 62 vs UNI 75 | UNI -3.5 | UNI W |
| Jan 18, 2022-23 | ILST 63 @ UNI 65 | UNI -8.5 | ILST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northern Iowa
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-12
33% overs · avg −10.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs CSUN | W 86-57 | -9.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | vs SDST | W 65-58 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 14 | vs FUR | W 70-54 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 18 | vs NIU | W 70-57 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | @ UCI | W 70-69 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs LUC | W 72-51 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs TLSA | L 60-63 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs WICH | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs OAK | W 75-63 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @ UIC | W 60-54 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 22 | @ SMC | L 58-63 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | vs VAL | W 58-48 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | vs INST | W 75-66 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @ EVAN | W 62-48 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 7 | vs BEL | L 65-78 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ BRAD | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 13 | vsUIC | L 61-69 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 128.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 17 | @VAL | L 44-54 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 130.5 | U 98 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
+19.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−3.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
+6.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−6.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+3.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
+12.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−5.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
+3.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
+0.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
+6.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
+1.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
−1.5
4
@EVAN
EVANW 62-48
+9.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 65-78
−15.5
10
@BRAD
BRADL 69-75
−1.5
13
vsUIC
UICL 61-69
−14.5
17
@VAL
VALL 44-54
−11.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
−10.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−27.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
−17.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−19.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+0.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
−11.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−14.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
+7.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
−11.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
−19.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
−11.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
−25.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
+5.5
4
@EVAN
EVANW 62-48
−21.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 65-78
+5.5
10
@BRAD
BRADL 69-75
+12.5
13
vsUIC
UICL 61-69
+1.5
17
@VAL
VALL 44-54
−32.5
over 6under 12avg −10.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Illinois St
18 games played
Straight up
12-6
67% wins
Against the spread
11-7
61% covers · avg +4.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ OHIO | L 68-72 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 9 | vs COR | W 76-65 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs USC | L 67-87 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ LBSU | W 82-80 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs CCU | W 94-42 | -12.5 | W +39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | vs CLT | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vsFUR | W 72-65 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs EKU | W 89-78 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | vs CHST | W 95-53 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs USU | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 18 | @ SIU | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vsINST | W 85-65 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | @ DRKE | W 73-56 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 1 | vsEVAN | W 73-47 | -12.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 7 | @VAL | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vsUIC | L 59-63 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @INST | L 89-94 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | vsBRAD | W 88-62 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+4.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
−1.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+21.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+3.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
+8.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
+6.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
+12.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
+13.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
−12.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−14.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
−11.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+20.5
covered 11didn’t cover 7avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+8.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
−8.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
+12.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+3.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+12.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
−10.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
−2.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
−16.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
−24.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
+9.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−19.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
+34.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+2.5
over 8under 10avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northern Iowa
11-7 overall · 4-4 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Valparaiso44–54
- Lvs UIC61–69
- L@ Bradley69–75
- Lvs Belmont65–78
- W@ Evansville62–48
4 days since their last game.
Illinois St
12-6 overall · 5-3 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bradley88–62
- L@ Indiana St89–94
- Lvs UIC59–63
- L@ Valparaiso71–77
- Wvs Evansville73–47
4 days since their last game.