Cintas Center · at Xavier · Conference game
Closing line
VILL -4.5✓ XAV covered by 1.5
VILL -4.5✓ XAV covered by 1.5Closing total152.5Over by 28.5
| VILL | This season | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| 20-5 | Record | 13-12 |
| 17-8 | ATS | 13-12 |
| 15-10 | O/U | 17-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VILL 78–73 XAV · ✓ VILL (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VILL | 43 | 38 | 11 | 92 |
| XAV | 42 | 39 | 8 | 89 |
1st half: VILL 43, XAV 42 (VILL by 1). The model had VILL by 3.3 and a total of 70.8 (actual 85).
Team stats
| VILL | XAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-75 44% | Field goals | 34-67 51% |
| 12-34 35% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 36 13 off | Rebounds | 42 10 off |
| 24 | Assists | 26 |
| 12 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acaden Lewis G | 37 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 9-18 | 0-4 |
| Tyler Perkins G | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 6-15 | 1-6 |
| Matt Hodge F | 36 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Duke Brennan F | 35 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Lindsay G | 25 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 5-11 | 4-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Malachi Palmer G | 24 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Devin Askew G | 15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-10 | 3-6 |
| Braden Pierce C | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Chris Jeffrey G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nico Onyekwere, Wade Chiddick, Zion Stanford, Tafara Gapare, Malcolm Flaggs
| XAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Messina-Moore G | 41 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 5-15 | 0-3 |
| Jovan Milicevic F | 39 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 8-16 | 4-7 |
| Tre Carroll F | 39 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 11-14 | 3-5 |
| Filip Borovicanin F | 32 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| All Wright G | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddie Anderson G | 24 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Walker G | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Anthony Robinson F | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kason Westphal, Luke Naser, Gabriel Pozzato, Henry Thole, Mier Panoam, Pape N'Diaye, Ian Sabourin, Michael Wolf
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVILL -6.5
2 → XAV
CloseVILL -4.5
2 pts toward XAV
Total
Open149.5
▲ 3
Close152.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
VILL -205 · XAV +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VILL -6.5 · closed VILL -4.5 · moved 2 toward XAVmodel VILL -5.5
model VILL -5.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 3 upmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VILL -4.5 | VILL -5.3 | VILL +0.8 | L XAV covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 151.4 | Under 1.1 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | VILL 78.4 · XAV 73 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | VILL -3.3 | VILL -1.0 |
| 1H total | 70.8 | 85 |
| 1H projected score | VILL 37.1 · XAV 33.8 | VILL 43 · XAV 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VILL | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% |
| XAV | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
VILL 5–3 XAVVILL leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · VILL 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2024-25 | XAV 68 @ VILL 80 | VILL -2.5 | VILL W |
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | VILL 63 @ XAV 69 | XAV -2.5 | XAV W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | VILL 53 @ XAV 56 | XAV -3.5 | VILL W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | XAV 65 @ VILL 66 | VILL -8.5 | XAV W |
| Feb 21, 2022-23 | VILL 64 @ XAV 63 | XAV -4.5 | VILL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Villanova
25 games played
Straight up
20-5
80% wins
Against the spread
17-8
68% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-10
60% overs · avg −0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BYU | L 66-71 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs QUC | W 94-74 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs SHU | W 94-60 | -19.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs DUQ | W 87-77 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ LAS | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 25 | vs ODU | W 89-75 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | vs TEM | W 74-56 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 6 | vs PENN | W 90-63 | -18.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 9 | @ MICH | L 61-89 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs PITT | W 79-61 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 19 | vs WIS | W 76-66 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 23 | @ HALL | W 64-56 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 31 | vs DEP | W 71-66 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ BTLR | W 85-67 | +2.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 7 | vs CREI | L 72-76 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @ MARQ | W 76-73 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 13 | @ PROV | W 88-82 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 17 | vs SJU | L 79-86 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 21 | vs GTWN | W 66-51 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 24 | @ CONN | L 67-75 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 30 | vsPROV | W 87-73 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 4 | vsHALL | W 72-60 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 7 | @GTWN | W 80-73 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vsMARQ | W 77-74 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 14 | @CREI | W 80-69 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
+14.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
−0.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
+2.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
−8.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
+3.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+8.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−10.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+7.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
+13.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
+9.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−7.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+20.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
−8.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
−0.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+3.5
17
vsSJU
SJUL 79-86
−4.5
21
vsGTWN
GTWNW 66-51
+6.5
24
@CONN
CONNL 67-75
+3.5
30
vsPROV
PROVW 87-73
+5.5
4
vsHALL
HALLW 72-60
+6.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-73
+4.5
10
vsMARQ
MARQW 77-74
−6.5
14
@CREI
CREIW 80-69
+9.5
covered 17didn’t cover 8avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
−6.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
+12.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
−19.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
+16.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
−16.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+2.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−6.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+1.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
−10.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
−15.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−2.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+2.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
+5.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
+2.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+13.5
17
vsSJU
SJUL 79-86
+17.5
21
vsGTWN
GTWNW 66-51
−25.5
24
@CONN
CONNL 67-75
+4.5
30
vsPROV
PROVW 87-73
+2.5
4
vsHALL
HALLW 72-60
−2.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-73
+12.5
10
vsMARQ
MARQW 77-74
+6.5
14
@CREI
CREIW 80-69
+3.5
over 15under 10avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Xavier
25 games played
Straight up
13-12
52% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-8
68% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRST | W 66-62 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 6 | vs LEM | W 74-69 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCU | L 68-87 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 14 | @ IOWA | L 62-81 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vsODU | W 99-69 | -10.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 21 | vs UGA | L 77-78 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs WVU | W 78-68 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs AMCC | W 88-67 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs SFPA | W 96-74 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs CIN | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 12 | vs MOST | W 75-57 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 17 | vsCREI | L 57-98 | -2.5 | L −43.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 20 | @GTWN | W 80-77 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 31 | vsCONN | L 67-90 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | @DEP | L 77-86 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 7 | @MARQ | L 65-66 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 157.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsPROV | W 97-84 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 165.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 14 | vsBTLR | W 89-75 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 21 | @CREI | L 93-94 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 24 | vsSJU | L 83-88 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 28 | @HALL | L 68-86 | +5.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | vsDEP | W 68-66 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 3 | @CONN | L 60-92 | +16.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 9 | @SJU | L 82-87 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | vsMARQ | W 96-88 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−8.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−19.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−22.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−3.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+19.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
+9.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+15.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+7.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
−5.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+6.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−0.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
−43.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
−11.5
3
@DEP
DEPL 77-86
−6.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 65-66
+4.5
10
vsPROV
PROVW 97-84
+14.5
14
vsBTLR
BTLRW 89-75
+15.5
21
@CREI
CREIL 93-94
+7.5
24
vsSJU
SJUL 83-88
+3.5
28
@HALL
HALLL 68-86
−12.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 68-66
−2.5
3
@CONN
CONNL 60-92
−15.5
9
@SJU
SJUL 82-87
+11.5
14
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-88
+6.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−11.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−13.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−0.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−0.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+17.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
−10.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+5.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+8.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
+17.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+5.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−19.5
17
vsCREI
CREIL 57-98
+3.5
20
@GTWN
GTWNW 80-77
+7.5
31
vsCONN
CONNL 67-90
+12.5
3
@DEP
DEPL 77-86
+13.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 65-66
−26.5
10
vsPROV
PROVW 97-84
+15.5
14
vsBTLR
BTLRW 89-75
+2.5
21
@CREI
CREIL 93-94
+31.5
24
vsSJU
SJUL 83-88
+11.5
28
@HALL
HALLL 68-86
+8.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 68-66
−16.5
3
@CONN
CONNL 60-92
+4.5
9
@SJU
SJUL 82-87
+9.5
14
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-88
+26.5
over 17under 8avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Villanova
20-5 overall · 11-3 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Creighton80–69
- Wvs Marquette77–74
- W@ Georgetown80–73
- Wvs Seton Hall72–60
- Wvs Providence87–73
3 days since their last game.
Xavier
13-12 overall · 5-9 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Marquette96–88
- L@ St John's82–87
- L@ UConn60–92
- Wvs DePaul68–66
- L@ Seton Hall68–86
3 days since their last game.