Mackey Arena · at Purdue · Conference game
Closing line
MICH -2.5✓ MICH covered by 8.5
MICH -2.5✓ MICH covered by 8.5Closing total156.5Over by 14.5
| MICH | This season | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| 24-1 | Record | 21-4 |
| 13-12 | ATS | 12-13 |
| 10-15 | O/U | 10-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MICH 80–78 PUR · ✓ MICH (59%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | 48 | 43 | 91 |
| PUR | 32 | 48 | 80 |
1st half: MICH 48, PUR 32 (MICH by 16). The model had MICH by 1.7 and a total of 74.0 (actual 80).
Team stats
| MICH | PUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-57 53% | Field goals | 27-69 39% |
| 13-23 57% | 3-pointers | 8-26 31% |
| 18-23 78% | Free throws | 18-20 90% |
| 39 13 off | Rebounds | 31 14 off |
| 24 | Assists | 12 |
| 3 | Steals | 10 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 36 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 5-12 | 3-7 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 34 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6-12 | 3-5 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 32 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Aday Mara C | 18 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey McKenney G | 21 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| L.J. Cason G | 18 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Will Tschetter F | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Harrison Hochberg, Winters Grady, Charlie May, Howard Eisley Jr., Oscar Goodman, Ricky Liburd, Malick Kordel
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 36 | 27 | 12 | 0 | 12-26 | 0-2 |
| Braden Smith G | 35 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 4-13 | 2-6 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 32 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| C.J. Cox G | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 21 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gicarri Harris G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Omer Mayer G | 15 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jack Benter G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
Did not play: Antione West Jr, Jace Rayl, Sam King, Raleigh Burgess, Liam Murphy, Aaron Fine, Jack Lusk
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -2.5
no move
CloseMICH -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
▲ 3
Close156.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MICH -148 · PUR +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -2.5 · unchangedmodel MICH -2.5 matches the line
model MICH -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 153.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 3 upmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MICH -2.5 | MICH -2.6 | MICH +0.1 | W MICH covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 158.2 | Over 1.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MICH 80.4 · PUR 77.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MICH -1.7 | MICH -16.0 |
| 1H total | 74.0 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | MICH 37.8 · PUR 36.1 | MICH 48 · PUR 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | 10-0 100% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| PUR | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MICH 3–5 PURPUR leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MICH has won the last 2 meetings · MICH 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | PUR 68 vs MICH 86 | MICH +2.5 | MICH W |
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | PUR 73 @ MICH 75 | MICH -2.5 | PUR W |
| Jan 24, 2024-25 | MICH 64 @ PUR 91 | PUR -4.5 | PUR W |
| Feb 25, 2023-24 | PUR 84 @ MICH 76 | MICH +13.5 | MICH W |
| Jan 23, 2023-24 | MICH 67 @ PUR 99 | PUR -17.5 | PUR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Michigan
25 games played
Straight up
24-1
96% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-15
40% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs RUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs VILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs USC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @ PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs WIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @ WASH | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ ORE | W 81-71 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs IU | W 86-72 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | vs OSU | W 74-62 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 27 | vs NEB | W 75-72 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 30 | @ MSU | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | vsPSU | W 110-69 | -26.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | @OSU | W 82-61 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | @ NU | W 87-75 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vs UCLA | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−2.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−1.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−4.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−8.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+9.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+14.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
+12.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
−3.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
+14.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−11.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−5.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−5.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−29.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−10.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+4.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+17.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
−18.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
+8.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
−14.5
over 10under 15avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue
25 games played
Straight up
21-4
84% wins
Against the spread
12-13
48% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-15
40% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vsOAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs ISU | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs MINN | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs MARQ | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 20 | vsAUB | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs KENT | W 101-60 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @WIS | W 89-73 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 7 | vsWASH | W 81-73 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | vsPSU | W 93-85 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs IOWA | W 79-72 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @USC | W 69-64 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | @UCLA | L 67-69 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs ILL | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 27 | @IU | L 67-72 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | @MD | W 93-63 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 7 | vsORE | W 68-64 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 10 | @NEB | W 80-77 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @IOWA | W 78-57 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−27.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
+8.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
+3.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
+20.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+16.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+10.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−8.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
−14.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
−3.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−4.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−7.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
−11.5
27
@IU
IUL 67-72
−9.5
1
@MD
MDW 93-63
+14.5
7
vsORE
OREW 68-64
−15.5
10
@NEB
NEBW 80-77
+5.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAW 78-57
+18.5
covered 12didn’t cover 13avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−15.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
−1.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
−16.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
−4.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+5.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+8.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−0.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
+25.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
+5.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−22.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−11.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
+17.5
27
@IU
IUL 67-72
−11.5
1
@MD
MDW 93-63
+7.5
7
vsORE
OREW 68-64
−12.5
10
@NEB
NEBW 80-77
+10.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAW 78-57
−7.5
over 10under 15avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Michigan
24-1 overall · 14-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UCLA86–56
- W@ Northwestern87–75
- W@ Ohio State82–61
- Wvs Penn State110–69
- W@ Michigan St83–71
3 days since their last game.
Purdue
21-4 overall · 11-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Iowa78–57
- W@ Nebraska80–77
- Wvs Oregon68–64
- W@ Maryland93–63
- L@ Indiana67–72
3 days since their last game.