Tucker Center · at Florida St · Conference game
Closing line
FSU -11.5✓ BC covered by 3.5
FSU -11.5✓ BC covered by 3.5Closing total148.5Over by 3.5
 BC | This season | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-16 | Record | 12-13 |
| 11-14 | ATS | 15-10 |
| 9-16 | O/U | 11-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BC 70–79 FSU · ✓ FSU (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BC | 42 | 30 | 72 |
| FSU | 32 | 48 | 80 |
1st half: BC 42, FSU 32 (BC by 10). The model had FSU by 5.0 and a total of 69.7 (actual 74).
Team stats
| BC | FSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-63 46% | Field goals | 22-51 43% |
| 11-24 46% | 3-pointers | 9-27 33% |
| 3-13 23% | Free throws | 27-35 77% |
| 30 8 off | Rebounds | 42 10 off |
| 17 | Assists | 9 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 23 | Fouls | 14 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| BC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Toews G | 36 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 6-16 | 2-6 |
| Chase Forte G | 36 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 5-10 | 3-6 |
| Fred Payne G | 35 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 9-18 | 4-7 |
| Boden Kapke F | 24 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Jayden Hastings F | 23 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Shaw F | 32 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Steger G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jason Asemota F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Marko Radunovic, Donald Hand Jr., Will Eggemeier, Nick Petronio, Akbar Waheed III, Jack DiDonna, Jack Bailey, Kany Musungay
| FSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lajae Jones G | 32 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Robert McCray V G | 32 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 9-15 | 3-5 |
| Thomas Bassong F | 27 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Chauncey Wiggins F | 26 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 3-7 |
| Alex Steen F | 24 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Martin Somerville G | 28 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| AJ Swinton F | 19 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Kobe MaGee G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
Did not play: Xavier Osceola, Cam Miles, Max Garcia-Plata, Jasen Lopez, Alier Maluk, Jalen Crawford, Shah Muhammad
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFSU -11.5
no move
CloseFSU -11.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
no move
Close148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
BC +550 · FSU -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FSU -11.5 · unchangedmodel FSU -8.5
model FSU -8.5
Opened 148.5 · unchangedmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FSU -11.5 | FSU -8.6 | BC +2.9 | W BC covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 148.9 | Over 0.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | BC 70.1 · FSU 78.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FSU -5.0 | BC -10.0 |
| 1H total | 69.7 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | BC 32.3 · FSU 37.3 | BC 42 · FSU 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BC | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| FSU | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BC 3–2 FSUBC leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · BC 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | FSU 76 @ BC 77 | BC +5.5 | BC W |
| Feb 20, 2023-24 | BC 76 @ FSU 84 | FSU -4.5 | FSU W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | FSU 63 @ BC 62 | BC -3.5 | FSU W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | BC 75 @ FSU 69 | FSU -3.5 | BC W |
| Feb 21, 2021-22 | FSU 55 @ BC 71 | BC +1.5 | BC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Boston College
25 games played
Straight up
9-16
36% wins
Against the spread
11-14
44% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-16
36% overs · avg −4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ FAU | L 78-83 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 6 | vs CIT | W 76-47 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs CCSU | L 59-60 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | @ TEM | W 76-71 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs HAMP | W 63-52 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 21 | vs DAV | L 49-59 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs TULN | L 90-93 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs HARV | W 73-60 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 3 | vs LSU | L 69-78 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | vs NHVN | W 67-63 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | vs MASS | L 74-76 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | vs FDU | W 72-61 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 28 | vs LEM | W 72-64 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @ GT | L 53-65 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vs NCSU | L 71-79 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ LOU | L 62-75 | +21.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 13 | @ CLEM | L 50-74 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs SYR | W 81-73 | +5.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vs PITT | W 65-62 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | @ ND | L 64-68 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 31 | vs UVA | L 66-73 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @ DUKE | L 49-67 | +26.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 7 | vs MIA | L 68-74 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 11 | vs STAN | L 64-70 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | vs CAL | L 75-86 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
−3.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
+13.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−18.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+8.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−1.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−11.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
−5.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
+5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−1.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
−13.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
−3.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−4.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−5.5
6
vsNCSU
NCSUL 71-79
+3.5
10
@LOU
LOUL 62-75
+8.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 50-74
−8.5
17
vsSYR
SYRW 81-73
+13.5
21
vsPITT
PITTW 65-62
+5.5
24
@ND
NDL 64-68
+3.5
31
vsUVA
UVAL 66-73
+6.5
3
@DUKE
DUKEL 49-67
+8.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 68-74
+2.5
11
vsSTAN
STANL 64-70
−2.5
14
vsCAL
CALL 75-86
−7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 14avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
+12.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
−21.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−17.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+4.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−20.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−32.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
+42.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
−5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−2.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
+3.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
+6.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−8.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−10.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−27.5
6
vsNCSU
NCSUL 71-79
+8.5
10
@LOU
LOUL 62-75
−13.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 50-74
−12.5
17
vsSYR
SYRW 81-73
+12.5
21
vsPITT
PITTW 65-62
−10.5
24
@ND
NDL 64-68
−5.5
31
vsUVA
UVAL 66-73
−2.5
3
@DUKE
DUKEL 49-67
−25.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 68-74
+0.5
11
vsSTAN
STANL 64-70
−5.5
14
vsCAL
CALL 75-86
+16.5
over 9under 16avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida St
25 games played
Straight up
12-13
48% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-14
44% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs ALCN | W 108-76 | -27.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | vs ALST | W 101-64 | -24.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ FLA | L 76-78 | +17.5 | W +15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTM | W 87-73 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs GASO | W 98-72 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs CSUB | W 89-59 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs TA&M | L 59-95 | -1.5 | L −37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | vs UGA | L 73-107 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs HOU | L 67-82 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 13 | vsMASS | L 95-103 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 16 | @ DAY | L 69-97 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs MVSU | W 96-49 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 22 | vs JAX | W 87-63 | -23.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 30 | @ UNC | L 66-79 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vsDUKE | L 87-91 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vsNCSU | L 69-113 | +4.5 | L −39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 13 | @SYR | L 86-94 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | vs WAKE | L 68-69 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | @MIA | W 65-63 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ SMU | L 80-83 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 28 | vsCAL | W 63-61 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | vsSTAN | W 88-80 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 7 | @ND | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 10 | vsUVA | L 58-61 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | @ VT | W 92-69 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+4.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
+12.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
+7.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
+3.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−37.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
−35.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
−2.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
−20.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
−21.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
+6.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
+0.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−0.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+12.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
−39.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
−3.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
+0.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
+12.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 80-83
+8.5
28
vsCAL
CALW 63-61
−1.5
31
vsSTAN
STANW 88-80
+4.5
7
@ND
NDW 82-79
+4.5
10
vsUVA
UVAL 58-61
+5.5
14
@VT
VTW 92-69
+27.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+27.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
−1.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
−26.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
−5.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
−11.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−20.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
+3.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
+0.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
+32.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
+3.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
−19.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
−9.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−21.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+14.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
+21.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
+19.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
−31.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
−35.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 80-83
−0.5
28
vsCAL
CALW 63-61
−33.5
31
vsSTAN
STANW 88-80
+15.5
7
@ND
NDW 82-79
+6.5
10
vsUVA
UVAL 58-61
−36.5
14
@VT
VTW 92-69
+4.5
over 11under 14avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Boston College
9-16 overall · 2-10 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs California75–86
- Lvs Stanford64–70
- Lvs Miami68–74
- L@ Duke49–67
- Lvs Virginia66–73
3 days since their last game.
Florida St
12-13 overall · 5-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Virginia Tech92–69
- Lvs Virginia58–61
- W@ Notre Dame82–79
- Wvs Stanford88–80
- Wvs California63–61
3 days since their last game.