Conte Forum · at Boston College · Conference game
Closing line
MIA -8.5✓ BC covered by 2.5
MIA -8.5✓ BC covered by 2.5Closing total141.5Over by 0.5
| MIA | This season | BC |
|---|---|---|
| 17-5 | Record | 9-13 |
| 11-11 | ATS | 10-12 |
| 15-7 | O/U | 7-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIA 77–68 BC · ✓ MIA (77%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 34 | 40 | 74 |
| BC | 33 | 35 | 68 |
1st half: MIA 34, BC 33 (MIA by 1). The model had MIA by 5.3 and a total of 68.1 (actual 67).
Team stats
| MIA | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-54 52% | Field goals | 26-65 40% |
| 5-15 33% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 13-25 52% | Free throws | 7-10 70% |
| 42 9 off | Rebounds | 31 7 off |
| 13 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Donaldson G | 37 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Dante Allen G | 35 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Malik Reneau F | 35 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 9-20 | 1-3 |
| Shelton Henderson F | 35 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 8-11 | 0-1 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. C | 25 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Timo Malovec F | 15 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Noam Dovrat G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Salih Altuntas C | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tru Washington, Jordyn Kee, Treyvon Maddox, Marcus Allen, JJ Laboy
| BC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Hand Jr. G | 38 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 6-9 | 4-6 |
| Fred Payne G | 37 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5-18 | 1-8 |
| Boden Kapke F | 37 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 7-16 | 2-6 |
| Jayden Hastings F | 23 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Luka Toews G | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Shaw F | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Chase Forte G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Steger G | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Jason Asemota F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Bailey, Jack DiDonna, Akbar Waheed III, Nick Petronio, Will Eggemeier, Marko Radunovic, Kany Musungay
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIA -7.5
1 → MIA
CloseMIA -8.5
1 pt toward MIA
Total
Open139.5
▲ 2
Close141.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MIA -395 · BC +310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIA -7.5 · closed MIA -8.5 · moved 1 toward MIAmodel MIA -8.5 matches the line
model MIA -8.5 = line ✓
Opened 139.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 upmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MIA -8.5 | MIA -8.6 | MIA +0.1 | L BC covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 145.5 | Over 4.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MIA 77.1 · BC 68.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MIA -5.3 | MIA -1.0 |
| 1H total | 68.1 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | MIA 36.7 · BC 31.4 | MIA 34 · BC 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
| BC | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MIA 3–4 BCBC leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · BC has won the last 4 meetings · MIA 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2024-25 | MIA 68 @ BC 78 | BC +1.5 | BC W |
| Mar 12, 2023-24 | MIA 65 vs BC 81 | BC +2.5 | BC W |
| Mar 6, 2023-24 | BC 67 @ MIA 57 | MIA -5.5 | BC W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | MIA 77 @ BC 85 | BC -0.5 | BC W |
| Jan 11, 2022-23 | BC 72 @ MIA 88 | MIA -10.5 | MIA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami
22 games played
Straight up
17-5
77% wins
Against the spread
11-11
50% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-7
68% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JAX | W 86-69 | -18.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 6 | vs BCU | W 101-61 | -16.5 | W +23.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs STET | W 102-61 | -34.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs FLA | L 68-82 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 20 | vs ELON | W 99-72 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DSU | W 97-41 | -34.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 27 | vs BYU | L 62-72 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs GTWN | W 78-65 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 2 | @ MISS | W 75-66 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | vs USM | W 88-64 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ULM | W 104-79 | -35.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 16 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -22.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 21 | vs UNF | W 105-67 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 171.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 30 | vs PITT | W 76-69 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 7 | @ WAKE | W 81-77 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs GT | W 91-81 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @ ND | W 81-69 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | @ CLEM | L 59-69 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 20 | vs FSU | L 63-65 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ SYR | W 85-76 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 28 | vs STAN | W 79-70 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | vs CAL | L 85-86 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
−1.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+23.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+6.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−3.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+7.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
+21.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−2.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
+7.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
+10.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+4.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 104-79
−10.5
16
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−5.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 105-67
+0.5
30
vsPITT
PITTW 76-69
−2.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 81-77
+5.5
10
vsGT
GTW 91-81
−5.5
13
@ND
NDW 81-69
+6.5
17
@CLEM
CLEML 59-69
−5.5
20
vsFSU
FSUL 63-65
−12.5
24
@SYR
SYRW 85-76
+7.5
28
vsSTAN
STANW 79-70
−0.5
31
vsCAL
CALL 85-86
−12.5
covered 11didn’t cover 11avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
+12.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+7.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+1.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−21.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+6.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
−13.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−31.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
−8.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
−4.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+6.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 104-79
+29.5
16
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+17.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 105-67
+0.5
30
vsPITT
PITTW 76-69
+0.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 81-77
+0.5
10
vsGT
GTW 91-81
+15.5
13
@ND
NDW 81-69
+6.5
17
@CLEM
CLEML 59-69
−15.5
20
vsFSU
FSUL 63-65
−35.5
24
@SYR
SYRW 85-76
+11.5
28
vsSTAN
STANW 79-70
+1.5
31
vsCAL
CALL 85-86
+22.5
over 15under 7avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston College
22 games played
Straight up
9-13
41% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-15
32% overs · avg −5.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ FAU | L 78-83 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 6 | vs CIT | W 76-47 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs CCSU | L 59-60 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | @ TEM | W 76-71 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs HAMP | W 63-52 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 21 | vs DAV | L 49-59 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs TULN | L 90-93 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs HARV | W 73-60 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 3 | vs LSU | L 69-78 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | vs NHVN | W 67-63 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | vs MASS | L 74-76 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | vs FDU | W 72-61 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 28 | vs LEM | W 72-64 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @GT | L 53-65 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vs NCSU | L 71-79 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ LOU | L 62-75 | +21.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 13 | @CLEM | L 50-74 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vsSYR | W 81-73 | +5.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vsPITT | W 65-62 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | @ND | L 64-68 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 31 | vs UVA | L 66-73 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @ DUKE | L 49-67 | +26.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
−3.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
+13.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−18.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+8.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−1.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−11.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
−5.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
+5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−1.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
−13.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
−3.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−4.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−5.5
6
vsNCSU
NCSUL 71-79
+3.5
10
@LOU
LOUL 62-75
+8.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 50-74
−8.5
17
vsSYR
SYRW 81-73
+13.5
21
vsPITT
PITTW 65-62
+5.5
24
@ND
NDL 64-68
+3.5
31
vsUVA
UVAL 66-73
+6.5
3
@DUKE
DUKEL 49-67
+8.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
+12.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
−21.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−17.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+4.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−20.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−32.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
+42.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
−5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−2.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
+3.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
+6.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−8.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−10.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−27.5
6
vsNCSU
NCSUL 71-79
+8.5
10
@LOU
LOUL 62-75
−13.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 50-74
−12.5
17
vsSYR
SYRW 81-73
+12.5
21
vsPITT
PITTW 65-62
−10.5
24
@ND
NDL 64-68
−5.5
31
vsUVA
UVAL 66-73
−2.5
3
@DUKE
DUKEL 49-67
−25.5
over 7under 15avg −5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami
17-5 overall · 6-3 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs California85–86
- Wvs Stanford79–70
- W@ Syracuse85–76
- Lvs Florida St63–65
- L@ Clemson59–69
A week or more of rest.
Boston College
9-13 overall · 2-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Duke49–67
- Lvs Virginia66–73
- L@ Notre Dame64–68
- Wvs Pitt65–62
- Wvs Syracuse81–73
4 days since their last game.