Purcell Pavilion · at Notre Dame · Conference game
Closing line
ND -7.5✓ BC covered by 3.5
ND -7.5✓ BC covered by 3.5Closing total137.5Under by 5.5
 BC | This season | ND |
|---|---|---|
| 9-10 | Record | 10-9 |
| 7-12 | ATS | 10-9 |
| 7-12 | O/U | 12-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BC 66–73 ND · ✓ ND (74%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BC | 35 | 29 | 64 |
| ND | 24 | 44 | 68 |
1st half: BC 35, ND 24 (BC by 11). The model had ND by 4.3 and a total of 64.8 (actual 59).
Team stats
| BC | ND | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-58 40% | Field goals | 24-59 41% |
| 9-32 28% | 3-pointers | 6-26 23% |
| 9-14 64% | Free throws | 14-22 64% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 39 13 off |
| 14 | Assists | 10 |
| 2 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| BC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Payne G | 36 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 8-17 | 2-10 |
| Boden Kapke F | 36 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Donald Hand Jr. G | 33 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 6-16 | 2-9 |
| Luka Toews G | 28 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 4-4 |
| Jayden Hastings F | 23 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Shaw F | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Chase Forte G | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Caleb Steger G | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Marko Radunovic F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jason Asemota, Will Eggemeier, Nick Petronio, Akbar Waheed III, Jack DiDonna, Jack Bailey, Kany Musungay
| ND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Towt F | 34 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Braeden Shrewsberry G | 33 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 8-17 | 2-9 |
| Cole Certa G | 29 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1-9 | 1-6 |
| Jalen Haralson G | 27 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 8-13 | 0-1 |
| Brady Koehler F | 18 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Garrett Sundra F | 22 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Logan Imes G | 18 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Sir Mohammed G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Ryder Frost F | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Tommy Ahneman, Luke Devine, Matthew MacLellan, Brady Stevens, Mark Zackery IV, Kebba Njie, Markus Burton
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenND -7.5
no move
CloseND -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open133.5
▲ 4
Close137.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
BC +270 · ND -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ND -7.5 · unchangedmodel ND -7.5 matches the line
model ND -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 133.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 4 upmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ND -7.5 | ND -7.3 | BC +0.2 | W BC covered |
| Total | 137.5 | 138.3 | Over 0.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | BC 65.5 · ND 72.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ND -4.3 | BC -11.0 |
| 1H total | 64.8 | 59 |
| 1H projected score | BC 30.3 · ND 34.5 | BC 35 · ND 24 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BC | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| ND | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
BC 5–3 NDBC leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · ND has won the last 2 meetings · BC 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | ND 97 @ BC 94 | BC +3.5 | BC W |
| Jan 13, 2024-25 | BC 60 @ ND 78 | ND -11.5 | ND W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | BC 61 @ ND 58 | ND +1.5 | BC W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | ND 59 @ BC 63 | BC -9.5 | ND W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | BC 84 @ ND 72 | ND -5.5 | BC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Boston College
19 games played
Straight up
9-10
47% wins
Against the spread
7-12
37% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-12
37% overs · avg −4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ FAU | L 78-83 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 6 | vs CIT | W 76-47 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs CCSU | L 59-60 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | @ TEM | W 76-71 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs HAMP | W 63-52 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 21 | vs DAV | L 49-59 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs TULN | L 90-93 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs HARV | W 73-60 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 3 | vs LSU | L 69-78 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | vs NHVN | W 67-63 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | vs MASS | L 74-76 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | vs FDU | W 72-61 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 28 | vs LEM | W 72-64 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @ GT | L 53-65 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vs NCSU | L 71-79 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ LOU | L 62-75 | +21.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 13 | @ CLEM | L 50-74 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs SYR | W 81-73 | +5.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vs PITT | W 65-62 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
−3.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
+13.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−18.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+8.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−1.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−11.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
−5.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
+5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−1.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
−13.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
−3.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−4.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−5.5
6
vsNCSU
NCSUL 71-79
+3.5
10
@LOU
LOUL 62-75
+8.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 50-74
−8.5
17
vsSYR
SYRW 81-73
+13.5
21
vsPITT
PITTW 65-62
+5.5
covered 7didn’t cover 12avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
+12.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
−21.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−17.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+4.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−20.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−32.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
+42.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
−5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−2.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
+3.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
+6.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−8.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−10.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−27.5
6
vsNCSU
NCSUL 71-79
+8.5
10
@LOU
LOUL 62-75
−13.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 50-74
−12.5
17
vsSYR
SYRW 81-73
+12.5
21
vsPITT
PITTW 65-62
−10.5
over 7under 12avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Notre Dame
19 games played
Straight up
10-9
53% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-7
63% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIU | W 89-67 | -15.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 7 | vs DETM | W 102-70 | -21.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 11 | vs EIU | W 78-58 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | @ OSU | L 63-64 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | vs BELL | W 86-79 | -24.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 24 | vs KU | L 61-71 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs RUTG | W 68-63 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs HOU | L 56-66 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIZ | W 76-71 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 5 | @ TCU | W 87-85 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | vs IDHO | W 80-65 | -11.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs EVAN | W 82-58 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 21 | vs PFW | L 69-72 | -11.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 30 | @ STAN | W 47-40 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | @ CAL | L 71-72 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | vsCLEM | L 61-76 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 13 | vs MIA | L 69-81 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | @ VT | L 76-89 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 21 | @ UNC | L 69-91 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+6.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 102-70
+10.5
11
vsEIU
EIUW 78-58
−3.5
16
@OSU
OSUL 63-64
+8.5
19
vsBELL
BELLW 86-79
−17.5
24
vsKU
KUL 61-71
−4.5
25
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-63
−1.5
26
vsHOU
HOUL 56-66
+1.5
2
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-71
+6.5
5
@TCU
TCUW 87-85
+8.5
10
vsIDHO
IDHOW 80-65
+3.5
13
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-58
+9.5
21
vsPFW
PFWL 69-72
−14.5
30
@STAN
STANW 47-40
+13.5
2
@CAL
CALL 71-72
+2.5
10
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-76
−11.5
13
vsMIA
MIAL 69-81
−6.5
17
@VT
VTL 76-89
−6.5
21
@UNC
UNCL 69-91
−8.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+20.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 102-70
+24.5
11
vsEIU
EIUW 78-58
−7.5
16
@OSU
OSUL 63-64
−29.5
19
vsBELL
BELLW 86-79
+14.5
24
vsKU
KUL 61-71
−11.5
25
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-63
−9.5
26
vsHOU
HOUL 56-66
−10.5
2
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-71
+0.5
5
@TCU
TCUW 87-85
+30.5
10
vsIDHO
IDHOW 80-65
+0.5
13
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-58
+3.5
21
vsPFW
PFWL 69-72
−8.5
30
@STAN
STANW 47-40
−56.5
2
@CAL
CALL 71-72
+4.5
10
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-76
+3.5
13
vsMIA
MIAL 69-81
+6.5
17
@VT
VTL 76-89
+21.5
21
@UNC
UNCL 69-91
+10.5
over 12under 7avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Boston College
9-10 overall · 2-4 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Pitt65–62
- Wvs Syracuse81–73
- L@ Clemson50–74
- L@ Louisville62–75
- Lvs NC State71–79
3 days since their last game.
Notre Dame
10-9 overall · 1-5 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ North Carolina69–91
- L@ Virginia Tech76–89
- Lvs Miami69–81
- Lvs Clemson61–76
- L@ California71–72
3 days since their last game.