Cassell Coliseum · at Virginia Tech · Conference game
Closing line
VT -4.5✓ FSU covered by 27.5
VT -4.5✓ FSU covered by 27.5Closing total156.5Over by 4.5
 FSU | This season | VT |
|---|---|---|
| 11-13 | Record | 17-8 |
| 14-10 | ATS | 15-10 |
| 10-14 | O/U | 13-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FSU 78–82 VT · ✗ VT (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 39 | 53 | 92 |
| VT | 42 | 27 | 69 |
1st half: FSU 39, VT 42 (VT by 3). The model had VT by 2.4 and a total of 74.5 (actual 81).
Team stats
| FSU | VT | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-55 62% | Field goals | 24-55 44% |
| 12-23 52% | 3-pointers | 9-18 50% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 28 4 off | Rebounds | 26 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 2 | Steals | 4 |
| 6 | Blocks | 2 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| FSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lajae Jones G | 32 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 7-10 | 1-2 |
| Chauncey Wiggins F | 30 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 7-8 | 3-4 |
| Robert McCray V G | 28 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Thomas Bassong F | 27 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Alex Steen F | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Martin Somerville G | 30 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 9-11 | 4-6 |
| AJ Swinton F | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Kobe MaGee G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Jasen Lopez, Xavier Osceola, Cam Miles, Max Garcia-Plata, Alier Maluk, Jalen Crawford, Shah Muhammad
| VT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Hammond G | 35 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 6-7 | 4-4 |
| Neo Avdalas G | 33 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 3-5 |
| Tobi Lawal F | 32 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 6-8 | 1-1 |
| Amani Hansberry F | 28 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2-10 | 0-1 |
| Jailen Bedford G | 28 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 5-13 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Gurdak C | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Schutt G | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Izaiah Pasha G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Antonio Dorn C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Solomon Davis, Shamarius Peterkin, Brett Freeman, Sin'Cere Jones, Tyler Johnson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVT -6.5
2 → FSU
CloseVT -4.5
2 pts toward FSU
Total
Open154.5
▲ 2
Close156.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
FSU +164 · VT -198
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VT -6.5 · closed VT -4.5 · moved 2 toward FSUmodel VT -4.5 matches the line
model VT -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 154.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 2 upmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VT -4.5 | VT -4.3 | FSU +0.2 | W FSU covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 159.3 | Over 2.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | FSU 77.5 · VT 81.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | VT -2.4 | VT -3.0 |
| 1H total | 74.5 | 81 |
| 1H projected score | FSU 36 · VT 38.4 | FSU 39 · VT 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| VT | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
FSU 2–4 VTVT leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · FSU 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | VT 76 @ FSU 66 | FSU -10.5 | VT W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | FSU 86 vs VT 76 | VT -4.5 | FSU W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | FSU 75 @ VT 83 | VT -5.5 | VT W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | VT 74 @ FSU 77 | FSU -0.5 | FSU W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | FSU 60 @ VT 82 | VT -9.5 | VT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Florida St
24 games played
Straight up
11-13
46% wins
Against the spread
14-10
58% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-14
42% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs ALCN | W 108-76 | -27.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | vs ALST | W 101-64 | -24.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ FLA | L 76-78 | +17.5 | W +15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTM | W 87-73 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs GASO | W 98-72 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs CSUB | W 89-59 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs TA&M | L 59-95 | -1.5 | L −37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | vs UGA | L 73-107 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs HOU | L 67-82 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs MASS | L 95-103 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 16 | @ DAY | L 69-97 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs MVSU | W 96-49 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 22 | vs JAX | W 87-63 | -23.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 30 | @ UNC | L 66-79 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs DUKE | L 87-91 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs NCSU | L 69-113 | +4.5 | L −39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 13 | @ SYR | L 86-94 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | vs WAKE | L 68-69 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | @ MIA | W 65-63 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ SMU | L 80-83 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 28 | vs CAL | W 63-61 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | vs STAN | W 88-80 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 7 | @ ND | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 10 | vs UVA | L 58-61 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+4.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
+12.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
+7.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
+3.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−37.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
−35.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
−2.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
−20.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
−21.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
+6.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
+0.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−0.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+12.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
−39.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
−3.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
+0.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
+12.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 80-83
+8.5
28
vsCAL
CALW 63-61
−1.5
31
vsSTAN
STANW 88-80
+4.5
7
@ND
NDW 82-79
+4.5
10
vsUVA
UVAL 58-61
+5.5
covered 14didn’t cover 10avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+27.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
−1.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
−26.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
−5.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
−11.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−20.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
+3.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
+0.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
+32.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
+3.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
−19.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
−9.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−21.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+14.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
+21.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
+19.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
−31.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
−35.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 80-83
−0.5
28
vsCAL
CALW 63-61
−33.5
31
vsSTAN
STANW 88-80
+15.5
7
@ND
NDW 82-79
+6.5
10
vsUVA
UVAL 58-61
−36.5
over 10under 14avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Virginia Tech
25 games played
Straight up
17-8
68% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-12
52% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CHSO | W 98-67 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 8 | vs PROV | W 107-101 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 12 | vs JOES | W 94-59 | -12.5 | W +22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLT | W 84-76 | -18.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | vs BRY | W 78-61 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 26 | vs CSU | W 66-64 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs SMC | L 66-77 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VCU | L 68-86 | +2.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ SC | W 86-83 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs GMU | W 73-62 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 11 | vs WCU | W 96-74 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 14 | vs UMES | W 82-53 | -27.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs ELON | W 82-81 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vsUVA | W 95-85 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @WAKE | L 78-81 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 7 | vsSTAN | L 68-69 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | vsCAL | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 14 | @SMU | L 76-77 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 17 | vsND | W 89-76 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 21 | @SYR | W 76-74 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 24 | @ LOU | L 71-85 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 27 | vs GT | W 71-65 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vsDUKE | L 58-72 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @NCSU | L 73-82 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 11 | @ CLEM | W 76-66 | +8.5 | W +18.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+12.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+8.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
+22.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
−10.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−7.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−2.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−5.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
−15.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+5.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
+6.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+1.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
+1.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
−11.5
31
vsUVA
UVAW 95-85
+15.5
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 78-81
+2.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 68-69
−4.5
10
vsCAL
CALW 78-75
−2.5
14
@SMU
SMUL 76-77
+7.5
17
vsND
NDW 89-76
+6.5
21
@SYR
SYRW 76-74
+5.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 71-85
+0.5
27
vsGT
GTW 71-65
−3.5
31
vsDUKE
DUKEL 58-72
−0.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUL 73-82
+1.5
11
@CLEM
CLEMW 76-66
+18.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+18.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+50.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
−5.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
+14.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−12.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−23.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−1.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
+0.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+19.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
−9.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+17.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
−4.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
+4.5
31
vsUVA
UVAW 95-85
+26.5
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 78-81
+5.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 68-69
−11.5
10
vsCAL
CALW 78-75
+4.5
14
@SMU
SMUL 76-77
−2.5
17
vsND
NDW 89-76
+21.5
21
@SYR
SYRW 76-74
−2.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 71-85
−4.5
27
vsGT
GTW 71-65
−19.5
31
vsDUKE
DUKEL 58-72
−18.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUL 73-82
+0.5
11
@CLEM
CLEMW 76-66
+3.5
over 13under 12avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Florida St
11-13 overall · 4-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Virginia58–61
- W@ Notre Dame82–79
- Wvs Stanford88–80
- Wvs California63–61
- L@ SMU80–83
4 days since their last game.
Virginia Tech
17-8 overall · 6-6 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Clemson76–66
- L@ NC State73–82
- Lvs Duke58–72
- Wvs Georgia Tech71–65
- L@ Louisville71–85
3 days since their last game.