Moody Coliseum (Dallas) · at SMU · Conference game
Closing line
SMU -11.5✓ FSU covered by 8.5
SMU -11.5✓ FSU covered by 8.5Closing total163.5Under by 0.5
 FSU | This season | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-11 | Record | 14-5 |
| 10-9 | ATS | 9-10 |
| 8-11 | O/U | 11-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FSU 78–89 SMU · ✓ SMU (82%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 34 | 46 | 80 |
| SMU | 46 | 37 | 83 |
1st half: FSU 34, SMU 46 (SMU by 12). The model had SMU by 6.2 and a total of 78.2 (actual 80).
Team stats
| FSU | SMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-71 42% | Field goals | 28-63 44% |
| 10-32 31% | 3-pointers | 10-30 33% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 43 18 off | Rebounds | 38 13 off |
| 16 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| FSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lajae Jones G | 34 | 20 | 12 | 1 | 6-11 | 4-8 |
| Robert McCray V G | 32 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 10-21 | 1-4 |
| Thomas Bassong F | 25 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Alex Steen F | 22 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Chauncey Wiggins F | 22 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Martin Somerville G | 26 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| AJ Swinton F | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Cam Miles G | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Kobe MaGee G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Alier Maluk F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jasen Lopez, Xavier Osceola, Max Garcia-Plata, Jalen Crawford, Shah Muhammad
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller G | 38 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 3-12 | 1-6 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 35 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 11-18 | 4-10 |
| B.J. Edwards G | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 32 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Corey Washington F | 26 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Jaden Toombs F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Sam Walters F | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mitchell Holmes, Billy White III, Niccolo Kalischer-Stork, Chance Puryear, Trey Utter, Nigel Walls
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMU -11.5
no move
CloseSMU -11.5
No change since the open
Total
Open166.5
▼ 3
Close163.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
FSU +550 · SMU -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMU -11.5 · unchangedmodel SMU -10.5
model SMU -10.5
Opened 166.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 3 downmodel 167
model 167
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SMU -11.5 | SMU -10.7 | FSU +0.8 | W FSU covered |
| Total | 163.5 | 167.1 | Over 3.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | FSU 78.2 · SMU 88.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SMU -6.2 | SMU -12.0 |
| 1H total | 78.2 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | FSU 36 · SMU 42.2 | FSU 34 · SMU 46 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| SMU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
FSU 1–1 SMUSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · FSU 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | SMU 69 @ FSU 76 | FSU +2.5 | FSU W |
| Dec 16, 2023-24 | SMU 68 @ FSU 57 | FSU -4.5 | SMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Florida St
19 games played
Straight up
8-11
42% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg −4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs ALCN | W 108-76 | -27.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | vs ALST | W 101-64 | -24.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ FLA | L 76-78 | +17.5 | W +15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTM | W 87-73 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs GASO | W 98-72 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs CSUB | W 89-59 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs TA&M | L 59-95 | -1.5 | L −37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | vs UGA | L 73-107 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs HOU | L 67-82 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs MASS | L 95-103 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 16 | @ DAY | L 69-97 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs MVSU | W 96-49 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 22 | vs JAX | W 87-63 | -23.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 30 | @ UNC | L 66-79 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs DUKE | L 87-91 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs NCSU | L 69-113 | +4.5 | L −39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 13 | @ SYR | L 86-94 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | vs WAKE | L 68-69 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | @ MIA | W 65-63 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+4.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
+12.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
+7.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
+3.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−37.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
−35.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
−2.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
−20.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
−21.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
+6.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
+0.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−0.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+12.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
−39.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
−3.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
+0.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
+12.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+27.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
−1.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
−26.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
−5.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
−11.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−20.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
+3.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
+0.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
+32.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
+3.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
−19.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
−9.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−21.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+14.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
+21.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
+19.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
−31.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
−35.5
over 8under 11avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
SMU
19 games played
Straight up
14-5
74% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TAR | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs AMCC | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs MUR | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs BTLR | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UAPB | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARST | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs RAD | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 28 | @ MSST | W 87-81 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ VAN | L 69-88 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vsTA&M | W 93-80 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 13 | vs LSU | L 77-89 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs CARK | W 99-82 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 28 | vs CSUF | W 110-63 | -21.5 | W +25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 3 | vsUNC | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | @ CLEM | L 70-74 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @DUKE | L 75-82 | +15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs VT | W 77-76 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs UVA | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 20 | @WAKE | W 91-79 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
−1.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−12.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+0.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
−5.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
+10.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
+16.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−6.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+7.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+14.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
−10.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
−7.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+25.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+12.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−0.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+8.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−7.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−1.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+13.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
+27.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−33.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+28.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
+8.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
−2.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
−3.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−4.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+5.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+8.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
+7.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
+24.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+2.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+24.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−5.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+1.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−2.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−13.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+12.5
over 11under 8avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Florida St
8-11 overall · 1-5 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Miami65–63
- Lvs Wake Forest68–69
- L@ Syracuse86–94
- Lvs NC State69–113
- Lvs Duke87–91
4 days since their last game.
SMU
14-5 overall · 3-3 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Wake Forest91–79
- Lvs Virginia68–72
- Wvs Virginia Tech77–76
- L@ Duke75–82
- L@ Clemson70–74
4 days since their last game.