Cameron Indoor Stadium · at Duke · Conference game
Closing line
DUKE -15.5✓ SMU covered by 8.5
DUKE -15.5✓ SMU covered by 8.5Closing total155.5Over by 1.5
 SMU | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 12-3 | Record | 14-1 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 9-6 | O/U | 5-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMU 74–86 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (85%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 35 | 40 | 75 |
| DUKE | 41 | 41 | 82 |
1st half: SMU 35, DUKE 41 (DUKE by 6). The model had DUKE by 6.9 and a total of 75.0 (actual 76).
Team stats
| SMU | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-53 57% | Field goals | 25-51 49% |
| 7-14 50% | 3-pointers | 11-26 42% |
| 8-9 89% | Free throws | 21-27 78% |
| 30 8 off | Rebounds | 23 8 off |
| 10 | Assists | 18 |
| 8 | Steals | 12 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Edwards G | 38 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8-14 | 2-4 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 37 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-4 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 37 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Toombs F | 35 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 10-12 | 2-2 |
| Corey Washington F | 26 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| B.J. Davis-Ray G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Mitchell Holmes F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nigel Walls, Trey Utter, Boopie Miller, Chance Puryear, Niccolo Kalischer-Stork, Billy White III, Sam Walters
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 35 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 30 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 4-8 |
| Dame Sarr F | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Maliq Brown F | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Foster G | 15 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cayden Boozer G | 34 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 27 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-2 |
| Nik Khamenia F | 16 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Darren Harris G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ifeanyi Ufochukwu, Jack Scott, Sebastian Wilkins, Cameron Sheffield
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -11.5
4 → DUKE
CloseDUKE -15.5
4 pts toward DUKE
Total
Open157.5
▼ 2
Close155.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
SMU +950 · DUKE -1650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -11.5 · closed DUKE -15.5 · moved 4 toward DUKEmodel DUKE -11.5
model DUKE -11.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 2 downmodel 160
model 160
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DUKE -15.5 | DUKE -11.7 | SMU +3.8 | W SMU covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 160.2 | Over 4.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SMU 74.2 · DUKE 86 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DUKE -6.9 | DUKE -6.0 |
| 1H total | 75.0 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | SMU 34.1 · DUKE 40.9 | SMU 35 · DUKE 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| DUKE | 9-1 90% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SMU 0–1 DUKEDUKE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SMU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | DUKE 89 @ SMU 62 | SMU +7.5 | DUKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SMU
15 games played
Straight up
12-3
80% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TAR | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs AMCC | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs MUR | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs BTLR | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UAPB | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARST | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs RAD | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 28 | @ MSST | W 87-81 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ VAN | L 69-88 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs TA&M | W 93-80 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 13 | vs LSU | L 77-89 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs CARK | W 99-82 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 28 | vs CSUF | W 110-63 | -21.5 | W +25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 3 | vs UNC | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | @ CLEM | L 70-74 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
−1.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−12.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+0.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
−5.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
+10.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
+16.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−6.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+7.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+14.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
−10.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
−7.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+25.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+12.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
+27.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−33.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+28.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
+8.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
−2.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
−3.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−4.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+5.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+8.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
+7.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
+24.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+2.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+24.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−5.5
over 9under 6avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
15 games played
Straight up
14-1
93% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-10
33% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TEX | W 75-60 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs WCU | W 95-54 | -36.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARMY | W 114-59 | -33.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | vs INST | W 100-62 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 18 | vs KU | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIA | W 100-42 | -39.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs HOW | W 93-56 | -43.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 27 | vs ARK | W 80-71 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 2 | vs FLA | W 67-66 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ MSU | W 66-60 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | vs LIP | W 97-73 | -32.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs TTU | L 81-82 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vs GT | W 85-79 | -27.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ FSU | W 91-87 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 6 | @ LOU | W 84-73 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
+18.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−6.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−3.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−8.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
+4.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
−8.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
−10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
−21.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
−12.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
+9.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
−4.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−5.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−8.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−24.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
−15.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
+10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
+10.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
+14.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
−4.5
over 5under 10avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SMU
12-3 overall · 1-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Clemson70–74
- Wvs North Carolina97–83
- Wvs Fullerton110–63
- Wvs C Arkansas99–82
- Lvs LSU77–89
3 days since their last game.
Duke
14-1 overall · 3-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Louisville84–73
- W@ Florida St91–87
- Wvs Georgia Tech85–79
- Lvs Texas Tech81–82
- Wvs Lipscomb97–73
4 days since their last game.