Tucker Center · at Florida St
Closing line
FSU -1.5✓ UGA covered by 35.5
FSU -1.5✓ UGA covered by 35.5Closing total176.5Over by 3.5
 UGA | This season | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 5-2 |
| 4-4 | ATS | 5-2 |
| 5-3 | O/U | 1-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UGA 87–84 FSU · ✓ UGA (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UGA | 49 | 58 | 107 |
| FSU | 30 | 43 | 73 |
1st half: UGA 49, FSU 30 (UGA by 19). The model had UGA by 2.3 and a total of 79.9 (actual 79).
Team stats
| UGA | FSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-70 57% | Field goals | 28-71 39% |
| 11-30 37% | 3-pointers | 8-30 27% |
| 16-21 76% | Free throws | 9-18 50% |
| 48 15 off | Rebounds | 27 13 off |
| 20 | Assists | 9 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 9 | Blocks | 6 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 56 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| UGA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Cain G | 28 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 7-13 | 2-5 |
| Jeremiah Wilkinson G | 26 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 7-13 | 4-8 |
| Kanon Catchings F | 23 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 7-12 | 1-5 |
| Jordan Ross G | 21 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Somto Cyril C | 20 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Millender G | 20 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Dylan James F | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jake Wilkins F | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Justin Abson F | 12 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Justin Bailey G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Kareem Stagg F | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Newell F | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Klatsky G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Markel Jennings, Jackson McVey
| FSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert McCray V G | 27 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 7-14 | 0-2 |
| Chauncey Wiggins F | 26 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 6-13 | 3-9 |
| Kobe MaGee G | 25 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Lajae Jones G | 22 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Alex Steen F | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Martin Somerville G | 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Thomas Bassong F | 19 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Cam Miles G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| AJ Swinton F | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Alier Maluk F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Shah Muhammad F | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Crawford, Max Garcia-Plata, Xavier Osceola
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUGA -2.5
4 → FSU
CloseFSU -1.5
4 pts toward FSU
Total
Open171.5
▲ 5
Close176.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
UGA +102 · FSU -122
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UGA -2.5 · closed FSU -1.5 · moved 4 toward FSUmodel UGA -3.5
model UGA -3.5
Opened 171.5 · closed 176.5 · moved 5 upmodel 171
model 171
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FSU -1.5 | UGA -3.6 | UGA +5.1 | W UGA covered |
| Total | 176.5 | 170.8 | Under 5.7 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | UGA 87.2 · FSU 83.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UGA -2.3 | UGA -19.0 |
| 1H total | 79.9 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | UGA 41.1 · FSU 38.8 | UGA 49 · FSU 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UGAlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 4-4 50% | 5-3 63% |
| FSUlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 5-2 71% | 1-6 14% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UGA 1–0 FSUUGA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UGA 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2023-24 | UGA 68 @ FSU 66 | FSU -8.5 | UGA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Georgia
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +14 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BELL | W 104-59 | -23.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 5 | vs UMES | W 94-29 | -33.5 | W +31.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 9 | vs MORE | W 120-81 | -28.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 14 | vs GT | W 92-87 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs FAMU | W 87-57 | -40.5 | L −10.5 | 170.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs XAV | W 78-77 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs CLEM | L 94-97 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs TNTC | W 123-81 | -34.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 204 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+21.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
+31.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+10.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
−10.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−10.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−9.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
−1.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+7.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+12.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
−19.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+50.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
+23.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−26.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−10.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
+38.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+43.5
over 5under 3avg +14 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida St
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-6
14% overs · avg −6.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs ALCN | W 108-76 | -27.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | vs ALST | W 101-64 | -24.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ FLA | L 76-78 | +17.5 | W +15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTM | W 87-73 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs GASO | W 98-72 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs CSUB | W 89-59 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs TA&M | L 59-95 | -1.5 | L −37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+4.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
+12.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
+7.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
+3.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−37.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+27.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
−1.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
−26.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
−5.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
−11.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−20.5
over 1under 6avg −6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgia
7-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tennessee Tech123–81
- Lvs Clemson94–97
- Wvs Xavier78–77
- Wvs Florida A&M87–57
- Wvs Georgia Tech92–87
3 days since their last game.
Florida St
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas A&M59–95
- Wvs Bakersfield89–59
- Wvs GA Southern98–72
- Wvs UT Martin87–73
- L@ Florida76–78
4 days since their last game.