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NCAAB · 2026-27

NCAAB games · Tuesday, February 17, 2026

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Day in numbers30 finalFavorites 12-18 ATS12 upsetsO/U 14-16Model Favorite 19-11OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games3030 final · 0 to play
Lines moved181+ pt since the open · 30 with a line
Totals moved261+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS12-1840% covered
Upsets12outright
Over / Under14-1647% over
Model Favorite19-1163% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
TCU @ UCFUCF -2.5 → TCU -1.54 → TCU153.5 → 154.5▲ 1
SC @ FLAFLA -21.5 → FLA -23.52 → FLA149.5 → 156.5▲ 7
NEB @ IOWANEB -1.5 → IOWA -1.53 → IOWA136.5 → 139.5▲ 3
BAY @ KSUBAY -4.5 → BAY -3.51 → KSU165.5 → 159.5▼ 6
LSU @ TEXTEX -9.5 → TEX -10.51 → TEX155.5 → 150.5▼ 5
AF @ UNMUNM -28.5 → UNM -28.5no move143.5 → 148.5▲ 5
VILL @ XAVVILL -6.5 → VILL -4.52 → XAV149.5 → 152.5▲ 3
UNC @ NCSUNCSU -6.5 → NCSU -8.52 → NCSU158.5 → 156.5▼ 2
LOU @ SMULOU -2.5 → LOU -4.52 → LOU167.5 → 168.5▲ 1
UGA @ UKUK -8.5 → UK -6.52 → UGA164.5 → 161.5▼ 3
Top 10 of 29; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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FinalConference
Gardner-Webb
1-23 · #348
66
Charleston So
9-15 · #326
75
Spread
CHSO -16.5
✓ GWEB W ATS
Total
161.5 ▲1
▼ Under 141
Projected
73–88
✓ CHSO won
Model: GWEB by 1.4 ✓
FinalConference
Boston College
9-16 · #95
72
Florida St
12-13 · #81
80
Spread
FSU -11.5
✓ BC W ATS
Total
148.5
▲ Over 152
Projected
70–79
✓ FSU won
Model: BC by 2.9 ✓ Model: Over 0.4 ✓
FinalConference
Michigan
24-1 · #8 AP #1
91
Purdue
21-4 · #23 AP #7
80
Spread
MICH -2.5
✓ MICH W ATS
Total
156.5 ▲3
▲ Over 171
Projected
80–78
✓ MICH won
Model: MICH by 0.1 ✓ Model: Over 1.7 ✓
FinalConference
Villanova
20-5 · #32
92
Xavier
13-12 · #49
89
Spread
VILL -4.5
✓ XAV W ATS
Total
152.5 ▲3
▲ Over 181
Projected
78–73
✓ VILL won
Model: VILL by 0.8 ✗ Model: Under 1.1 ✗
FinalConference
N Illinois
6-16 · #334
72
Buffalo
13-10 · #237
70
Spread
BUF -9.5
✓ NIU W ATS
Total
145.5 ▼3
▼ Under 142
Projected
69–79
✗ BUF lost
Model: BUF by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 2.7 ✗
FinalConference
C Michigan
6-17 · #270
54
E Michigan
8-17 · #188
66
Spread
EMU -4.5
✓ EMU W ATS
Total
140.5 ▼3
▼ Under 120
Projected
70–75
✓ EMU won
Model: EMU by 0.3 ✓ Model: Over 3.8 ✗
FinalConference
South Carolina
11-14 · #79
62
Florida
19-6 · #1 AP #12
76
Spread
FLA -23.5
✓ SC W ATS
Total
156.5 ▲7
▼ Under 138
Projected
66–88
✓ FLA won
Model: SC by 1.1 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✓
FinalConference
North Carolina
20-5 · #44 AP #16
58
NC State
18-8 · #48
82
Spread
NCSU -8.5
✓ NCSU W ATS
Total
156.5 ▼2
▼ Under 140
Projected
78–79
✓ NCSU won
Model: UNC by 7.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.3 ✗
FinalConference
Saint Louis
23-1 · #69 AP #18
76
Rhode Island
14-11 · #105
81
Spread
SLU -9.5
✓ URI W ATS
Total
151.5 ▲2
▲ Over 157
Projected
80–72
✗ SLU lost
Model: URI by 1.9 ✓ Model: Over 0.6 ✓
FinalConference
Louisville
19-6 · #14 AP #21
85
SMU
17-8 · #55
95
Spread
LOU -4.5
✓ SMU W ATS
Total
168.5 ▲1
▲ Over 180
Projected
85–81
✗ LOU lost
Model: Under 2.9 ✗
FinalConference
Miami OH
22-0 · #125 AP #22
86
UMass
14-11 · #209
77
Spread
M-OH -3.5
✓ M-OH W ATS
Total
163.5 ▼1
▼ Under 163
Projected
86–83
✓ M-OH won
Model: MASS by 0.2 ✗ Model: Over 4.8 ✗
FinalConference
TCU
16-9 · #40
71
UCF
17-7 · #39
82
Spread
TCU -1.5
✓ UCF W ATS
Total
154.5 ▲1
▼ Under 153
Projected
78–79
✓ UCF won
Model: UCF by 1.9 ✓ Model: Over 2.1 ✗
FinalConference
Kent State
17-7 · #151
78
Bowling Green
13-10 · #200
71
Spread
BGSU -1.5
✓ KENT W ATS
Total
151.5 ▲1
▼ Under 149
Projected
77–79
✗ BGSU lost
Model: BGSU by 0.8 ✗ Model: Over 4.3 ✗
FinalConference
Ball State
6-17 · #181
57
Ohio
11-13 · #128
69
Spread
OHIO -9.5
✓ OHIO W ATS
Total
145.5 ▲2
▼ Under 126
Projected
67–77
✓ OHIO won
Model: Under 1.9 ✓
FinalConference
Akron
18-5 · #118
90
W Michigan
8-15 · #187
73
Spread
AKR -14.5
✓ AKR W ATS
Total
160.5
▲ Over 163
Projected
88–75
✓ AKR won
Model: WMU by 2.0 ✗ Model: Over 2.2 ✓
FinalConference
G Washington
14-11 · #101
75
VCU
20-6 · #61
89
Spread
VCU -6.5
✓ VCU W ATS
Total
161.5 ▼3
▲ Over 164
Projected
78–83
✓ VCU won
Model: GW by 1.4 ✗ Model: Under 0.6 ✗
FinalConference
Virginia Tech
17-9 · #68
66
Miami
20-5 · #25
67
Spread
MIA -8.5
✓ VT W ATS
Total
148.5 ▼2
▼ Under 133
Projected
74–82
✓ MIA won
Model: VT by 0.3 ✓ Model: Over 6.8 ✗
FinalConference
UCLA
17-8 · #26
59
Michigan St
20-5 · #10 AP #15
82
Spread
MSU -8.5
✓ MSU W ATS
Total
139.5 ▲3
▲ Over 141
Projected
67–75
✓ MSU won
Model: UCLA by 0.9 ✗ Model: Over 2.9 ✓
FinalConference
Wisconsin
18-7 · #41 AP #24
69
Ohio State
16-9 · #33
86
Spread
OSU -1.5
✓ OSU W ATS
Total
157.5 ▼2
▼ Under 155
Projected
81–82
✓ OSU won
Model: WIS by 0.3 ✗ Model: Over 6.0 ✗
FinalConference
Fresno St
11-13 · #174
82
Wyoming
12-12 · #122
92
Spread
WYO -9.5
✓ WYO W ATS
Total
148.5
▲ Over 174
Projected
70–76
✓ WYO won
Model: FRES by 3.5 ✗ Model: Under 1.8 ✗
FinalConference
SE Missouri
13-11 · #306
56
UT Martin
17-7 · #341
53
Spread
UTM -2.5
✓ SEMO W ATS
Total
138.5 ▼3
▼ Under 109
Projected
69–72
✗ UTM lost
Model: UTM by 0.6 ✗ Model: Over 1.6 ✗
FinalConference
Nebraska
22-3 · #27 AP #9
52
Iowa
18-7 · #43
57
Spread
IOWA -1.5
✓ IOWA W ATS
Total
139.5 ▲3
▼ Under 109
Projected
70–71
✓ IOWA won
Model: NEB by 0.7 ✗ Model: Over 1.5 ✗
FinalConference
Baylor
12-12 · #29
74
Kansas St
10-15 · #83
90
Spread
BAY -3.5
✓ KSU W ATS
Total
159.5 ▼6
▲ Over 164
Projected
85–80
✗ BAY lost
Model: BAY by 1.3 ✗ Model: Over 4.8 ✓
FinalConference
Air Force
3-22 · #220
61
New Mexico
18-6 · #82
98
Spread
UNM -28.5
✓ UNM W ATS
Total
148.5 ▲5
▲ Over 159
Projected
59–85
✓ UNM won
Model: AF by 2.6 ✗ Model: Under 5.2 ✗
FinalConference
Georgia
17-8 · #34
86
Kentucky
17-8 · #19
78
Spread
UK -6.5
✓ UGA W ATS
Total
161.5 ▼3
▲ Over 164
Projected
82–86
✗ UK lost
Model: UGA by 2.3 ✓ Model: Over 5.9 ✓
FinalConference
LSU
14-11 · #51
85
Texas
15-9 · #11
88
Spread
TEX -10.5
✓ LSU W ATS
Total
150.5 ▼5
▲ Over 173
Projected
76–83
✓ TEX won
Model: LSU by 4.1 ✓ Model: Over 8.3 ✓
FinalConference
Nevada
17-8 · #96
71
San José St
5-19 · #143
87
Spread
NEV -10.5
✓ SJSU W ATS
Total
141.5 ▼1
▲ Over 158
Projected
77–67
✗ NEV lost
Model: SJSU by 0.8 ✓ Model: Over 2.6 ✓
FinalConference
Grand Canyon
16-9 · #80
73
San Diego St
17-6 · #75
63
Spread
SDSU -7.5
✓ GCU W ATS
Total
139.5 ▲3
▼ Under 136
Projected
69–75
✗ SDSU lost
Model: GCU by 1.7 ✓ Model: Over 4.2 ✗
FinalConference
Minnesota
11-14 · #70
61
Oregon
9-16 · #57
44
Spread
ORE -3.5
✓ MINN W ATS
Total
136.5 ▲2
▼ Under 105
Projected
68–70
✗ ORE lost
Model: MINN by 1.2 ✓ Model: Over 1.8 ✗
FinalConference
Texas Tech
19-6 · #12 AP #13
67
Arizona St
13-12 · #60
72
Spread
TTU -7.5
✓ ASU W ATS
Total
156.5
▼ Under 139
Projected
82–74
✗ TTU lost
Model: TTU by 0.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.3 ✓
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
Gardner-Webb
1-23 · #348
66
Charleston So
9-15 · #326
75
 CHSO -16.5 161.5 CHSO -15.1 GWEB +1.4 161.5 — 91% CHSO W ›
Final
Boston College
9-16 · #95
72
Florida St
12-13 · #81
80
 FSU -11.5 148.5 FSU -8.6 BC +2.9 148.9 Over 0.4 77% FSU W W ›
Final
Michigan
24-1 · #8
91
Purdue
21-4 · #23
80
 MICH -2.5 156.5 MICH -2.6 MICH +0.1 158.2 Over 1.7 59% MICH W W ›
Final
Villanova
20-5 · #32
92
Xavier
13-12 · #49
89
 VILL -4.5 152.5 VILL -5.3 VILL +0.8 151.4 Under 1.1 68% VILL L L ›
Final
N Illinois
6-16 · #334
72
Buffalo
13-10 · #237
70
 BUF -9.5 145.5 BUF -10.0 BUF +0.5 148.2 Over 2.7 81% BUF L L ›
Final
C Michigan
6-17 · #270
54
E Michigan
8-17 · #188
66
 EMU -4.5 140.5 EMU -4.8 EMU +0.3 144.3 Over 3.8 66% EMU W L ›
Final
South Carolina
11-14 · #79
62
Florida
19-6 · #1
76
 FLA -23.5 156.5 FLA -22.4 SC +1.1 154.0 Under 2.5 97% FLA W W ›
Final
North Carolina
20-5 · #44
58
NC State
18-8 · #48
82
 NCSU -8.5 156.5 NCSU -1.1 UNC +7.5 157.8 Over 1.3 54% NCSU L L ›
Final
Saint Louis
23-1 · #69
76
Rhode Island
14-11 · #105
81
 SLU -9.5 151.5 SLU -7.6 URI +1.9 152.1 Over 0.6 75% SLU W W ›
Final
Louisville
19-6 · #14
85
SMU
17-8 · #55
95
 LOU -4.5 168.5 LOU -4.5 — 165.6 Under 2.9 65% LOU L ›
Final
Miami OH
22-0 · #125
86
UMass
14-11 · #209
77
 M-OH -3.5 163.5 M-OH -3.3 MASS +0.2 168.3 Over 4.8 61% M-OH L L ›
Final
TCU
16-9 · #40
71
UCF
17-7 · #39
82
 TCU -1.5 154.5 UCF -0.4 UCF +1.9 156.6 Over 2.1 51% UCF W L ›
Final
Kent State
17-7 · #151
78
Bowling Green
13-10 · #200
71
 BGSU -1.5 151.5 BGSU -2.3 BGSU +0.8 155.8 Over 4.3 58% BGSU L L ›
Final
Ball State
6-17 · #181
57
Ohio
11-13 · #128
69
 OHIO -9.5 145.5 OHIO -9.5 — 143.6 Under 1.9 80% OHIO W ›
Final
Akron
18-5 · #118
90
W Michigan
8-15 · #187
73
 AKR -14.5 160.5 AKR -12.5 WMU +2.0 162.7 Over 2.2 86% AKR L W ›
Final
G Washington
14-11 · #101
75
VCU
20-6 · #61
89
 VCU -6.5 161.5 VCU -5.1 GW +1.4 160.9 Under 0.6 67% VCU L L ›
Final
Virginia Tech
17-9 · #68
66
Miami
20-5 · #25
67
 MIA -8.5 148.5 MIA -8.2 VT +0.3 155.3 Over 6.8 76% MIA W L ›
Final
UCLA
17-8 · #26
59
Michigan St
20-5 · #10
82
 MSU -8.5 139.5 MSU -7.6 UCLA +0.9 142.4 Over 2.9 75% MSU L W ›
Final
Wisconsin
18-7 · #41
69
Ohio State
16-9 · #33
86
 OSU -1.5 157.5 OSU -1.2 WIS +0.3 163.5 Over 6.0 54% OSU L L ›
Final
Fresno St
11-13 · #174
82
Wyoming
12-12 · #122
92
 WYO -9.5 148.5 WYO -6.0 FRES +3.5 146.8 Under 1.8 70% WYO L L ›
Final
SE Missouri
13-11 · #306
56
UT Martin
17-7 · #341
53
 UTM -2.5 138.5 UTM -3.1 UTM +0.6 140.1 Over 1.6 61% UTM L L ›
Final
Nebraska
22-3 · #27
52
Iowa
18-7 · #43
57
 IOWA -1.5 139.5 IOWA -0.8 NEB +0.7 141.0 Over 1.5 53% IOWA L L ›
Final
Baylor
12-12 · #29
74
Kansas St
10-15 · #83
90
 BAY -3.5 159.5 BAY -4.8 BAY +1.3 164.3 Over 4.8 66% BAY L W ›
Final
Air Force
3-22 · #220
61
New Mexico
18-6 · #82
98
 UNM -28.5 148.5 UNM -25.9 AF +2.6 143.3 Under 5.2 99% UNM L L ›
Final
Georgia
17-8 · #34
86
Kentucky
17-8 · #19
78
 UK -6.5 161.5 UK -4.2 UGA +2.3 167.4 Over 5.9 64% UK W W ›
Final
LSU
14-11 · #51
85
Texas
15-9 · #11
88
 TEX -10.5 150.5 TEX -6.4 LSU +4.1 158.8 Over 8.3 71% TEX W W ›
Final
Nevada
17-8 · #96
71
San José St
5-19 · #143
87
 NEV -10.5 141.5 NEV -9.7 SJSU +0.8 144.1 Over 2.6 80% NEV W W ›
Final
Grand Canyon
16-9 · #80
73
San Diego St
17-6 · #75
63
 SDSU -7.5 139.5 SDSU -5.8 GCU +1.7 143.7 Over 4.2 70% SDSU W L ›
Final
Minnesota
11-14 · #70
61
Oregon
9-16 · #57
44
 ORE -3.5 136.5 ORE -2.3 MINN +1.2 138.3 Over 1.8 58% ORE W L ›
Final
Texas Tech
19-6 · #12
67
Arizona St
13-12 · #60
72
 TTU -7.5 156.5 TTU -8.0 TTU +0.5 156.2 Under 0.3 76% TTU L W ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record