University Arena (MI) · at W Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
AKR -14.5✓ AKR covered by 2.5
AKR -14.5✓ AKR covered by 2.5Closing total160.5Over by 2.5
| AKR | This season | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| 18-5 | Record | 8-15 |
| 12-11 | ATS | 13-10 |
| 12-11 | O/U | 13-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AKR 88–75 WMU · ✓ AKR (86%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 53 | 37 | 90 |
| WMU | 34 | 39 | 73 |
1st half: AKR 53, WMU 34 (AKR by 19). The model had AKR by 7.6 and a total of 76.0 (actual 87).
Team stats
| AKR | WMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-66 50% | Field goals | 26-59 44% |
| 12-28 43% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 10-13 77% |
| 43 13 off | Rebounds | 27 6 off |
| 17 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 1 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amani Lyles F | 33 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 5-11 | 1-5 |
| Tavari Johnson G | 30 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 6-15 | 2-6 |
| Evan Mahaffey F | 26 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Zach Halligan F | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bowen Hardman G | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shammah Scott G | 26 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 5-11 | 4-6 |
| Eric Mahaffey G | 23 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Sharron Young G | 20 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ognjen Stankovic, Josh Henderson, Tai Perkins, Conner Groce, Rich Brisco, Cody Head, Chabi Barre
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Williams G | 32 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 8-15 | 3-4 |
| EJ Ryans G | 32 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Brady Swartz G | 27 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-7 |
| Max Burton F | 27 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Griffith G | 14 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Brewer G | 24 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Trey Lewis G | 20 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Carson Vis G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michael Sulaka F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Declan Peterson C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Camden Thompson, Nicholas Errica, Junior Sileu, Hudson Ward
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -13.5
1 → AKR
CloseAKR -14.5
1 pt toward AKR
Total
Open160.5
no move
Close160.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
AKR -1350 · WMU +800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -13.5 · closed AKR -14.5 · moved 1 toward AKRmodel AKR -12.5
model AKR -12.5
Opened 160.5 · unchangedmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AKR -14.5 | AKR -12.5 | WMU +2.0 | L AKR covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 162.7 | Over 2.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | AKR 87.6 · WMU 75.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AKR -7.6 | AKR -19.0 |
| 1H total | 76.0 | 87 |
| 1H projected score | AKR 41.8 · WMU 34.2 | AKR 53 · WMU 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| WMU | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
AKR 6–2 WMUAKR leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · AKR has won the last 2 meetings · AKR 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | WMU 89 @ AKR 104 | AKR -21.5 | WMU W |
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | WMU 92 @ AKR 105 | AKR -14.5 | WMU W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | AKR 84 @ WMU 90 | WMU +8.5 | WMU W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | WMU 66 @ AKR 77 | AKR -14.5 | WMU W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | WMU 64 @ AKR 81 | AKR -14.5 | AKR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Akron
23 games played
Straight up
18-5
78% wins
Against the spread
12-11
52% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-11
52% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JMU | W 85-71 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs PRIN | W 104-69 | -13.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 16 | @ PUR | L 79-97 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 21 | vs IONA | W 96-75 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs EVAN | W 97-59 | -11.5 | W +26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs YALE | L 94-97 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs MILW | W 105-81 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 3 | vs BUCK | W 97-77 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | @ TULN | W 88-71 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs MUR | L 100-115 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 19 | vs EMU | W 93-72 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | @ M-OH | L 73-76 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vs CMU | W 82-69 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 9 | @ BGSU | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 13 | vs BALL | W 87-77 | -20.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | vsWMU | W 104-89 | -21.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | @ BUF | W 82-63 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 23 | @ OHIO | W 86-65 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 167.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | vs TOL | W 91-81 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 30 | vs KENT | W 69-52 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 166.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | @EMU | W 66-64 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ TROY | L 69-79 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 13 | vs MASS | W 99-92 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 191 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+5.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+21.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+0.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
+9.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
+26.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
−4.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+11.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
−3.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
+10.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
−19.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+5.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−7.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−10.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
+5.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
−10.5
17
vsWMU
WMUW 104-89
−6.5
20
@BUF
BUFW 82-63
+10.5
23
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-65
+14.5
27
vsTOL
TOLW 91-81
−2.5
30
vsKENT
KENTW 69-52
+6.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 66-64
−10.5
7
@TROY
TROYL 69-79
−12.5
13
vsMASS
MASSW 99-92
−5.5
covered 12didn’t cover 11avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+2.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+16.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+12.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
−2.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
−0.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
+34.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+19.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
+16.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
−3.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
+46.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+9.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−28.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−13.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
−19.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
+11.5
17
vsWMU
WMUW 104-89
+29.5
20
@BUF
BUFW 82-63
−21.5
23
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-65
−16.5
27
vsTOL
TOLW 91-81
+3.5
30
vsKENT
KENTW 69-52
−45.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 66-64
−23.5
7
@TROY
TROYL 69-79
−9.5
13
vsMASS
MASSW 99-92
+27.5
over 12under 11avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Michigan
23 games played
Straight up
8-15
35% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CCU | W 76-71 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 9 | @ CAM | L 82-91 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | vs PFW | W 83-71 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ SDAK | L 78-83 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ OSU | L 58-91 | +26.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs MSM | W 83-60 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 29 | @ VAL | L 55-84 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs USI | W 88-74 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ SIUE | W 83-73 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | @ IOWA | L 51-91 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vsBUF | L 71-88 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 30 | @TOL | L 79-84 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | @M-OH | L 76-87 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vsEMU | W 79-62 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vsMASS | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @AKR | L 89-104 | +21.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | vsBGSU | L 54-72 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | vsCMU | W 77-65 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 27 | @ NIU | L 65-85 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 3 | @OHIO | L 71-91 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @ TXST | L 61-77 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 11 | vsTOL | L 79-90 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @EMU | W 76-62 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
+21.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−24.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+8.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+15.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
−14.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
−14.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+5.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
+18.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+2.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+6.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−11.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 77-65
+6.5
27
@NIU
NIUL 65-85
−18.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 71-91
−9.5
7
@TXST
TXSTL 61-77
−9.5
11
vsTOL
TOLL 79-90
−4.5
14
@EMU
EMUW 76-62
+20.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
−7.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−7.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+11.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+16.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
+4.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
+8.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+2.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
−4.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+9.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+29.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−26.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 77-65
−6.5
27
@NIU
NIUL 65-85
+3.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 71-91
+6.5
7
@TXST
TXSTL 61-77
−8.5
11
vsTOL
TOLL 79-90
+14.5
14
@EMU
EMUW 76-62
−5.5
over 13under 10avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Akron
18-5 overall · 11-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UMass99–92
- L@ Troy69–79
- W@ E Michigan66–64
- Wvs Kent State69–52
- Wvs Toledo91–81
4 days since their last game.
W Michigan
8-15 overall · 3-9 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ E Michigan76–62
- Lvs Toledo79–90
- L@ Texas St61–77
- L@ Ohio71–91
- L@ N Illinois65–85
3 days since their last game.