Strahan Arena at the University Events Center · at Texas St
Closing line
TXST -6.5✓ TXST covered by 9.5
TXST -6.5✓ TXST covered by 9.5Closing total146.5Under by 8.5
 WMU | This season | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| 7-13 | Record | 12-11 |
| 12-8 | ATS | 10-13 |
| 12-8 | O/U | 13-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WMU 72–77 TXST · ✓ TXST (67%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 25 | 36 | 61 |
| TXST | 36 | 41 | 77 |
1st half: WMU 25, TXST 36 (TXST by 11). The model had TXST by 2.8 and a total of 69.3 (actual 61).
Team stats
| WMU | TXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-60 40% | Field goals | 30-56 54% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 5-6 83% | Free throws | 9-10 90% |
| 30 11 off | Rebounds | 31 7 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 10 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EJ Ryans G | 29 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Jayden Brewer G | 28 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Max Burton F | 26 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Justice Williams G | 24 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Brady Swartz G | 23 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey Lewis G | 21 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 7-15 | 4-9 |
| Carson Vis G | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Declan Peterson C | 13 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Griffith G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Camden Thompson, Nicholas Errica, Junior Sileu, Hudson Ward, Michael Sulaka
| TXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Drone G | 34 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 9-14 | 0-3 |
| Kyndall Davis G | 30 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| DJ Hall F | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-2 |
| Kaden Gumbs G | 29 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 6-10 | 3-6 |
| Tay Knox C | 17 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Franck Emmou G | 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Makai Willis C | 14 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Robert Fields C | 13 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Bolden G | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Deke Thompson, Dimp Pernell, Ky Pernell, Cameron Simpson, Jaelyn Lee, Isaiah Barganier
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTXST -5.5
1 → TXST
CloseTXST -6.5
1 pt toward TXST
Total
Open146.5
no move
Close146.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WMU +225 · TXST -278
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TXST -5.5 · closed TXST -6.5 · moved 1 toward TXSTmodel TXST -5
model TXST -5
Opened 146.5 · unchangedmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TXST -6.5 | TXST -5.0 | WMU +1.5 | L TXST covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 148.1 | Over 1.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | WMU 71.6 · TXST 76.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TXST -2.8 | TXST -11.0 |
| 1H total | 69.3 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | WMU 33.2 · TXST 36.1 | WMU 25 · TXST 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| TXST | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Michigan
20 games played
Straight up
7-13
35% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-8
60% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CCU | W 76-71 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 9 | @ CAM | L 82-91 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | vs PFW | W 83-71 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ SDAK | L 78-83 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ OSU | L 58-91 | +26.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs MSM | W 83-60 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 29 | @ VAL | L 55-84 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs USI | W 88-74 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ SIUE | W 83-73 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | @ IOWA | L 51-91 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUF | L 71-88 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 30 | @ TOL | L 79-84 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | @ M-OH | L 76-87 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vs EMU | W 79-62 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vs MASS | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @ AKR | L 89-104 | +21.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | vs BGSU | L 54-72 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | vs CMU | W 77-65 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 27 | @ NIU | L 65-85 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 3 | @ OHIO | L 71-91 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
+21.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−24.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+8.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+15.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
−14.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
−14.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+5.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
+18.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+2.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+6.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−11.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 77-65
+6.5
27
@NIU
NIUL 65-85
−18.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 71-91
−9.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
−7.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−7.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+11.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+16.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
+4.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
+8.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+2.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
−4.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+9.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+29.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−26.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 77-65
−6.5
27
@NIU
NIUL 65-85
+3.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 71-91
+6.5
over 12under 8avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas St
23 games played
Straight up
12-11
52% wins
Against the spread
10-13
43% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @BGSU | L 48-83 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 8 | @ TULN | L 71-79 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTSA | W 80-69 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | vs TXSO | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 18 | vs ACU | W 63-49 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | U 112 |
| Nov 21 | vs LR | W 65-56 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs SEA | L 52-66 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs LEH | L 74-78 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ RICE | L 72-77 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 133.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs SOU | W 86-83 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 17 | vs ARST | L 70-89 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs USA | W 67-65 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @ TROY | L 80-100 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ ULM | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ USM | L 70-80 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ARST | L 82-83 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 14 | vs UL | W 59-54 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 17 | vsUSM | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 22 | @CCU | L 70-72 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 24 | @ JMU | L 57-82 | +5.5 | L −19.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 28 | vs MRSH | W 72-68 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | vs ODU | W 81-64 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 4 | @ GASO | W 77-71 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−29.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+4.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+8.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
+5.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
+12.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
+3.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−6.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
−10.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
−1.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
−0.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
−14.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−1.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
−11.5
3
@ULM
ULMW 84-79
−5.5
8
@USM
USML 70-80
−7.5
10
@ARST
ARSTL 82-83
+10.5
14
vsUL
ULW 59-54
−3.5
17
vsUSM
USMW 74-67
+4.5
22
@CCU
CCUL 70-72
−0.5
24
@JMU
JMUL 57-82
−19.5
28
vsMRSH
MRSHW 72-68
+7.5
31
vsODU
ODUW 81-64
+14.5
4
@GASO
GASOW 77-71
+10.5
covered 10didn’t cover 13avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−15.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+3.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+1.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
−0.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
−26.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
−10.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−18.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
+16.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
+15.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
+26.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
+7.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−4.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
+34.5
3
@ULM
ULMW 84-79
+12.5
8
@USM
USML 70-80
+5.5
10
@ARST
ARSTL 82-83
+8.5
14
vsUL
ULW 59-54
−20.5
17
vsUSM
USMW 74-67
+0.5
22
@CCU
CCUL 70-72
+1.5
24
@JMU
JMUL 57-82
−4.5
28
vsMRSH
MRSHW 72-68
−7.5
31
vsODU
ODUW 81-64
+1.5
4
@GASO
GASOW 77-71
−3.5
over 13under 10avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Michigan
7-13 overall · 2-8 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Ohio71–91
- L@ N Illinois65–85
- Wvs C Michigan77–65
- Lvs Bowling Green54–72
- L@ Akron89–104
4 days since their last game.
Texas St
12-11 overall · 7-6 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ GA Southern77–71
- Wvs Old Dominion81–64
- Wvs Marshall72–68
- L@ James Madison57–82
- L@ Coastal70–72
3 days since their last game.