NIU Convocation Center · at N Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
NIU -1.5✓ NIU covered by 18.5
NIU -1.5✓ NIU covered by 18.5Closing total146.5Over by 3.5
 WMU | This season | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-11 | Record | 4-13 |
| 12-6 | ATS | 9-8 |
| 10-8 | O/U | 5-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WMU 76–74 NIU · ✗ WMU (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 30 | 35 | 65 |
| NIU | 35 | 50 | 85 |
1st half: WMU 30, NIU 35 (NIU by 5). The model had WMU by 1.1 and a total of 70.1 (actual 65).
Team stats
| WMU | NIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-52 35% | Field goals | 32-64 50% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 15-30 50% |
| 22-27 81% | Free throws | 6-10 60% |
| 32 15 off | Rebounds | 38 17 off |
| 11 | Assists | 19 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Williams G | 32 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| EJ Ryans G | 30 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Max Burton F | 28 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Brady Swartz G | 28 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Jayden Brewer G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Griffith G | 18 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Trey Lewis G | 16 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Michael Sulaka F | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Carson Vis G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Declan Peterson C | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Junior Sileu, Camden Thompson, Nicholas Errica, Hudson Ward
| NIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhai Valentine G | 37 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 6-11 | 4-8 |
| Dylan Ducommun G | 35 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 7-15 | 7-12 |
| Gianni Cobb G | 35 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Taj Walters G | 30 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7-12 | 2-5 |
| Hassan Washington F | 22 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gustav Winther F | 19 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Daemar Kelly G | 14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Isaiah Washington G | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Wharton F | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Stewart G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ladji Kante F | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Laskey, Carlos Coronado, Lataevyon Taylor, JJ Taylor, Jao Ituka
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWMU -1.5
3 → NIU
CloseNIU -1.5
3 pts toward NIU
Total
Open147.5
▼ 1
Close146.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
WMU -108 · NIU -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WMU -1.5 · closed NIU -1.5 · moved 3 toward NIUmodel WMU -1.5
model WMU -1.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 downmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NIU -1.5 | WMU -1.7 | WMU +3.2 | L NIU covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 149.7 | Over 3.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | WMU 75.7 · NIU 74 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WMU -1.1 | NIU -5.0 |
| 1H total | 70.1 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | WMU 35.6 · NIU 34.5 | WMU 30 · NIU 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| NIU | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
WMU 3–3 NIUSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · WMU has won the last 3 meetings · WMU 1-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | WMU 74 @ NIU 70 | NIU +4.5 | NIU W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | NIU 70 @ WMU 72 | WMU -10.5 | NIU W |
| Jan 9, 2023-24 | NIU 90 @ WMU 95 | WMU -2.5 | WMU W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | WMU 53 @ NIU 81 | NIU -4.5 | NIU W |
| Jan 31, 2022-23 | NIU 73 @ WMU 59 | WMU -3.5 | NIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Michigan
18 games played
Straight up
7-11
39% wins
Against the spread
12-6
67% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CCU | W 76-71 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 9 | @ CAM | L 82-91 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | vs PFW | W 83-71 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ SDAK | L 78-83 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ OSU | L 58-91 | +26.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs MSM | W 83-60 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 29 | @ VAL | L 55-84 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs USI | W 88-74 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ SIUE | W 83-73 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | @ IOWA | L 51-91 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUF | L 71-88 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 30 | @ TOL | L 79-84 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | @ M-OH | L 76-87 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vs EMU | W 79-62 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vs MASS | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @ AKR | L 89-104 | +21.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | vs BGSU | L 54-72 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | vs CMU | W 77-65 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
+21.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−24.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+8.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+15.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
−14.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
−14.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+5.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
+18.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+2.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+6.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−11.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 77-65
+6.5
covered 12didn’t cover 6avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
−7.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−7.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+11.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+16.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
+4.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
+8.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+2.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
−4.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+9.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+29.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−26.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 77-65
−6.5
over 10under 8avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Illinois
17 games played
Straight up
4-13
24% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-12
29% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ULM | W 102-82 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ WIS | L 72-97 | +28.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 10 | @ GCU | L 59-88 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNI | L 57-70 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ LUC | W 76-59 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | @ APSU | L 59-77 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs LIN | L 64-99 | -3.5 | L −38.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @ BRAD | L 55-84 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ ELON | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 20 | vsCMU | W 74-73 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 31 | vsBUF | L 67-81 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | @ KENT | L 73-77 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vsTOL | L 61-75 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 13 | @EMU | L 59-77 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vsMASS | W 70-68 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ OHIO | L 77-80 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | @ BALL | L 53-58 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 111 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+12.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+3.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−6.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
+6.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
+30.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
−38.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−10.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+5.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−1.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−7.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
+12.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−6.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−10.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
+10.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOL 77-80
+8.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 53-58
+0.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+36.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+11.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−16.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
−19.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
−13.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
+15.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−7.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+7.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−2.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−4.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
−7.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−25.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−5.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
−19.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOL 77-80
+2.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 53-58
−30.5
over 5under 12avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Michigan
7-11 overall · 2-6 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Michigan77–65
- Lvs Bowling Green54–72
- L@ Akron89–104
- Lvs UMass82–85
- Wvs E Michigan79–62
3 days since their last game.
N Illinois
4-13 overall · 2-6 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Ball State53–58
- L@ Ohio77–80
- Wvs UMass70–68
- L@ E Michigan59–77
- Lvs Toledo61–75
3 days since their last game.