Hope Coliseum · at West Virginia · Conference game
Closing line
WVU -7.5✓ KSU covered by 2.5
WVU -7.5✓ KSU covered by 2.5Closing total146.5Under by 33.5
 KSU | This season | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-10 | Record | 13-7 |
| 7-13 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 10-10 | O/U | 7-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KSU 71–77 WVU · ✓ WVU (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSU | 22 | 32 | 54 |
| WVU | 28 | 31 | 59 |
1st half: KSU 22, WVU 28 (WVU by 6). The model had WVU by 3.3 and a total of 69.1 (actual 50).
Team stats
| KSU | WVU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-56 38% | Field goals | 23-55 42% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 7-24 29% |
| 4-4 100% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 31 7 off | Rebounds | 38 10 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty G | 40 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 6-19 | 2-6 |
| Nate Johnson G | 39 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| David Castillo G | 38 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 6-11 | 1-4 |
| Taj Manning F | 27 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Dorin Buca C | 22 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrej Kostic G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| CJ Jones G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
Did not play: Stephen Osei, Exavier Wilson, Elias Rapieque, Marcus Johnson, Mobi Ikegwuruka, Abdi Bashir Jr., Khamari McGriff
| WVU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honor Huff G | 38 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 5-15 | 5-12 |
| Treysen Eaglestaff G | 34 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 5-12 | 1-6 |
| Jasper Floyd G | 31 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Brenen Lorient F | 23 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Harlan Obioha C | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chance Moore G | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| DJ Thomas F | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Amir Jenkins G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Morris Ugusuk G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: MJ Feenane, Evans Barning Jr., Niyol Hauet, Abraham Oyeadier, Jayden Forsythe, Jackson Fields
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWVU -7.5
ModelWVU -5.7
Model edgeKSU +1.8
W KSU covered
Total
Market146.5
Model147.6
Model edgeOver 1.1
L Under
Projected score
KSU 71 · WVU 76.7
KSU 54 · WVU 59
Win probability
WVU 69%
1st half
Spread
WVU -3.3
WVU -6.0
Total
69.1
50 points
Projected score
KSU 32.9 · WVU 36.2
KSU 22 · WVU 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWVU -6.5
1 → WVU
CloseWVU -7.5
1 pt toward WVU
Total
Open145.5
▲ 1
Close146.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
KSU +280 · WVU -355
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WVU -6.5 · closed WVU -7.5 · moved 1 toward WVUmodel WVU -5.5
model WVU -5.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 upmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSU | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| WVU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
KSU 5–3 WVUKSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · KSU has won the last 3 meetings · KSU 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | WVU 60 @ KSU 73 | KSU -2.5 | KSU W |
| Feb 26, 2023-24 | WVU 90 @ KSU 94 | KSU -9.5 | WVU W |
| Jan 9, 2023-24 | KSU 81 @ WVU 67 | WVU +1.5 | KSU W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | KSU 81 @ WVU 89 | WVU -5.5 | WVU W |
| Dec 31, 2022-23 | WVU 76 @ KSU 82 | KSU -1.5 | KSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kansas St
20 games played
Straight up
10-10
50% wins
Against the spread
7-13
35% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UNCG | W 93-64 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs BELL | W 98-71 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 13 | vs CAL | W 99-96 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 17 | vs TLSA | W 84-83 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | vs MSST | W 98-77 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs NEB | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | @ IU | L 69-86 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs BGSU | L 66-82 | -12.5 | L −28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs HALL | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 8 | vs MVSU | W 108-49 | -38.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | @ CREI | W 83-76 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDAK | W 106-76 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 28 | vs ULM | W 94-85 | -32.5 | L −23.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs BYU | L 73-83 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ ARIZ | L 76-101 | +17.5 | L −7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ ASU | L 84-87 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vs UCF | L 73-82 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | @ OKST | L 83-84 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | U 167 |
| Jan 20 | vs UTAH | W 81-78 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 24 | vs KU | L 62-86 | +4.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+10.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
−1.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
−3.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
−11.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+23.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+0.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−6.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−28.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−13.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
+20.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
+11.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+8.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
−23.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−2.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
−7.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
−1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−11.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
+1.5
20
vsUTAH
UTAHW 81-78
−7.5
24
vsKU
KUL 62-86
−19.5
covered 7didn’t cover 13avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+8.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
+0.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
+30.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
+6.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+10.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+2.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−9.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−11.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−3.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
−3.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
−0.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+5.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
+9.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−18.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
+5.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
+1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−15.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
−8.5
20
vsUTAH
UTAHW 81-78
−9.5
24
vsKU
KUL 62-86
−10.5
over 10under 10avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
West Virginia
20 games played
Straight up
13-7
65% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-13
35% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs MSM | W 70-54 | -19.5 | L −3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 6 | vs CAM | W 73-65 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 9 | vs LEH | W 69-47 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 13 | vs PITT | W 71-49 | -5.5 | W +16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs LAF | W 81-59 | -24.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLEM | L 67-70 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs XAV | L 68-78 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 30 | vs MERC | W 70-38 | -21.5 | W +10.5 | 127.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 3 | vs COPP | W 91-49 | -31.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 6 | vs WAKE | L 66-75 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 9 | vs LR | W 90-58 | -27.5 | W +4.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs OSU | L 88-89 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 22 | vsMVSU | W 86-51 | -42.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @ ISU | L 59-80 | +16.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 6 | vs CIN | W 62-60 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 10 | vsKU | W 86-75 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 13 | @ HOU | L 48-77 | +13.5 | L −15.5 | 127.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 17 | vs COLO | W 72-61 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 21 | @ASU | W 75-63 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 24 | @ARIZ | L 53-88 | +17.5 | L −17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsMSM
MSMW 70-54
−3.5
6
vsCAM
CAMW 73-65
−7.5
9
vsLEH
LEHW 69-47
+4.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 71-49
+16.5
17
vsLAF
LAFW 81-59
−2.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 67-70
+1.5
23
vsXAV
XAVL 68-78
−15.5
30
vsMERC
MERCW 70-38
+10.5
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 91-49
+10.5
6
vsWAKE
WAKEL 66-75
−11.5
9
vsLR
LRW 90-58
+4.5
13
vsOSU
OSUL 88-89
+2.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-51
−7.5
2
@ISU
ISUL 59-80
−4.5
6
vsCIN
CINW 62-60
+3.5
10
vsKU
KUW 86-75
+13.5
13
@HOU
HOUL 48-77
−15.5
17
vsCOLO
COLOW 72-61
+4.5
21
@ASU
ASUW 75-63
+13.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 53-88
−17.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsMSM
MSMW 70-54
−12.5
6
vsCAM
CAMW 73-65
−0.5
9
vsLEH
LEHW 69-47
−23.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 71-49
−14.5
17
vsLAF
LAFW 81-59
+4.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 67-70
+4.5
23
vsXAV
XAVL 68-78
+5.5
30
vsMERC
MERCW 70-38
−19.5
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 91-49
+5.5
6
vsWAKE
WAKEL 66-75
−2.5
9
vsLR
LRW 90-58
+15.5
13
vsOSU
OSUL 88-89
+31.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-51
−0.5
2
@ISU
ISUL 59-80
−3.5
6
vsCIN
CINW 62-60
−10.5
10
vsKU
KUW 86-75
+21.5
13
@HOU
HOUL 48-77
−2.5
17
vsCOLO
COLOW 72-61
−8.5
21
@ASU
ASUW 75-63
−7.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 53-88
−2.5
over 7under 13avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kansas St
10-10 overall · 1-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Kansas62–86
- Wvs Utah81–78
- L@ Oklahoma St83–84
- Lvs UCF73–82
- L@ Arizona St84–87
3 days since their last game.
West Virginia
13-7 overall · 4-3 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arizona53–88
- W@ Arizona St75–63
- Wvs Colorado72–61
- L@ Houston48–77
- Wvs Kansas86–75
3 days since their last game.