Bramlage Coliseum · at Kansas St
Closing line
KSU -21.5✓ KSU covered by 8.5
Closing total176.5Over by 5.5
| This season | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-6 | Record | 7-4 |
| 6-5 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 4-7 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDAK 77–97 KSU · ✓ KSU (95%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDAK | 34 | 42 | 76 |
| KSU | 57 | 49 | 106 |
1st half: SDAK 34, KSU 57 (KSU by 23). The model had KSU by 11.5 and a total of 81.4 (actual 91).
Team stats
| SDAK | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-67 42% | Field goals | 41-66 62% |
| 9-19 47% | 3-pointers | 12-24 50% |
| 11-20 55% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 28 12 off | Rebounds | 44 11 off |
| 18 | Assists | 23 |
| 10 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 9 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 56 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 27 |
Players
| SDAK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uzziah Buntyn G | 32 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Bruns G | 31 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 7-17 | 3-5 |
| Jordan Crawford G | 22 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-3 |
| Cameron Fens C | 21 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Evan Anderson G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jesse McIntosh G | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 6-13 | 3-6 |
| Vince Buzelis G | 24 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Ethan Kizer F | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Caleb Kizer F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Bruns, Ashton Smith, Jonah Funk, Porter Ihnen, Jalen Hayes, Jake Brack, Shey Eberwein, Josiah Dotzler
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty G | 26 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 10-12 | 1-2 |
| Nate Johnson G | 23 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. G | 20 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Khamari McGriff F | 19 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Elias Rapieque F | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Castillo G | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| CJ Jones G | 22 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Taj Manning F | 20 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Andrej Kostic G | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Dorin Buca C | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Johnson F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Stephen Osei, Exavier Wilson, Mobi Ikegwuruka
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKSU -20.5
1 → KSU
CloseKSU -21.5
1 pt toward KSU
Total
Open170.5
▲ 6
Close176.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
SDAK +1800 · KSU -5000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KSU -20.5 · closed KSU -21.5 · moved 1 toward KSUmodel KSU -19.5
model KSU -19.5
Opened 170.5 · closed 176.5 · moved 6 upmodel 174
model 174
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | KSU -21.5 | KSU -19.3 | SDAK +2.2 | L KSU covered |
| Total | 176.5 | 174.0 | Under 2.5 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | SDAK 77.3 · KSU 96.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | KSU -11.5 | KSU -23.0 |
| 1H total | 81.4 | 91 |
| 1H projected score | SDAK 34.9 · KSU 46.4 | SDAK 34 · KSU 57 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | |
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Dakota
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | L 79-81 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 5 | @ | L 76-92 | +29.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 89-74 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs | W 83-78 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 68-102 | +24.5 | L −9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 82-81 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 80-63 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs | L 71-77 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 87-89 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 9 | @ | L 79-106 | +14.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 97-85 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 168.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UTU
L 79-81
−3.5
5
@
CREI
L 76-92
+13.5
12
vs
USI
W 89-74
+7.5
16
vs
WMU
W 83-78
+1.5
20
@
MIZ
L 68-102
−9.5
23
vs
SCST
W 82-81
−14.5
29
vs
AF
W 80-63
+13.5
3
vs
PRST
L 71-77
−3.5
6
@
UNCO
L 87-89
+6.5
9
@
WYO
L 79-106
−12.5
13
vs
PV
W 97-85
+5.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
UTU
L 79-81
−4.5
5
@
CREI
L 76-92
−1.5
12
vs
USI
W 89-74
−1.5
16
vs
WMU
W 83-78
−11.5
20
@
MIZ
L 68-102
−1.5
23
vs
SCST
W 82-81
+2.5
29
vs
AF
W 80-63
−4.5
3
vs
PRST
L 71-77
−10.5
6
@
UNCO
L 87-89
+13.5
9
@
WYO
L 79-106
+23.5
13
vs
PV
W 97-85
+13.5
over 4under 7avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas St
11 games played
Straight up
7-4
64% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 93-64 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 98-71 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 13 | vs | W 99-96 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 84-83 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 98-77 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | @ | L 69-86 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs | L 66-82 | -12.5 | L −28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 8 | vs | W 108-49 | -38.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 83-76 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
UNCG
W 93-64
+10.5
8
vs
BELL
W 98-71
−1.5
13
vs
CAL
W 99-96
−3.5
17
vs
TLSA
W 84-83
−11.5
20
vs
MSST
W 98-77
+23.5
21
vs
NEB
L 85-86
+0.5
25
@
IU
L 69-86
−6.5
1
vs
BGSU
L 66-82
−28.5
6
vs
HALL
L 67-78
−13.5
8
vs
MVSU
W 108-49
+20.5
13
@
CREI
W 83-76
+11.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
UNCG
W 93-64
+8.5
8
vs
BELL
W 98-71
+0.5
13
vs
CAL
W 99-96
+30.5
17
vs
TLSA
W 84-83
+6.5
20
vs
MSST
W 98-77
+10.5
21
vs
NEB
L 85-86
+2.5
25
@
IU
L 69-86
−9.5
1
vs
BGSU
L 66-82
−11.5
6
vs
HALL
L 67-78
−3.5
8
vs
MVSU
W 108-49
−3.5
13
@
CREI
W 83-76
−0.5
over 6under 5avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Dakota
5-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Prairie View97–85
- L@ Wyoming79–106
- L@ N Colorado87–89
- Lvs Portland St71–77
- Wvs Air Force80–63
A week or more of rest.
Kansas St
7-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Creighton83–76
- Wvs Miss Valley St108–49
- Lvs Seton Hall67–78
- Lvs Bowling Green66–82
- L@ Indiana69–86
A week or more of rest.