KFC Yum! Center · at Louisville
Closing line
LOU -30.5✓ LOU covered by 9.5
LOU -30.5✓ LOU covered by 9.5Closing total166.5Under by 18.5
 MONT | This season | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 9-2 |
| 3-5 | ATS | 7-4 |
| 5-3 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MONT 68–96 LOU · ✓ LOU (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONT | 20 | 34 | 54 |
| LOU | 42 | 52 | 94 |
1st half: MONT 20, LOU 42 (LOU by 22). The model had LOU by 16.7 and a total of 76.8 (actual 62).
Team stats
| MONT | LOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-53 32% | Field goals | 34-65 52% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 12-34 35% |
| 13-15 87% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 25 4 off | Rebounds | 48 14 off |
| 7 | Assists | 24 |
| 9 | Steals | 13 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MONT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Thompson G | 28 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-11 | 4-11 |
| Money Williams G | 24 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer F | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Kenyon Aguino F | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Isaak G | 19 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Grant Kepley G | 25 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-3 |
| Connor Dick G | 20 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Brooklyn Hicks G | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Trae Taylor F | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Kadyn Betts F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Amari Jedkins F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chase Henderson G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Luke Moxon, Courtney Anderson Jr.
| LOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely G | 33 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 5-7 | 4-6 |
| Ryan Conwell G | 31 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5-15 | 3-11 |
| J'Vonne Hadley G | 28 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Adrian Wooley G | 25 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Sananda Fru F | 23 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 9-11 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khani Rooths F | 22 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Aly Khalifa C | 16 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Kasean Pryor F | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Vangelis Zougris F | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Will Hanke G | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cole Sherman G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Spencer Legg G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mouhamed Camara, Kobe Rodgers, Mikel Brown Jr.
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLOU -29.5
1 → LOU
CloseLOU -30.5
1 pt toward LOU
Total
Open167.5
▼ 1
Close166.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MONT +3500 · LOU -20000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LOU -29.5 · closed LOU -30.5 · moved 1 toward LOUmodel LOU -28
model LOU -28
Opened 167.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 1 downmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LOU -30.5 | LOU -28.0 | MONT +2.5 | L LOU covered |
| Total | 166.5 | 164.2 | Under 2.3 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | MONT 68.1 · LOU 96.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LOU -16.7 | LOU -22.0 |
| 1H total | 76.8 | 62 |
| 1H projected score | MONT 30.1 · LOU 46.8 | MONT 20 · LOU 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONTlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 3-5 38% | 5-3 63% |
| LOU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Montana
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ STAN | L 68-91 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNLV | W 102-93 | +10.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 14 | vs CP | W 90-82 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | @ TA&M | L 81-86 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs LAM | L 63-68 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 25 | vs OAK | L 87-95 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 162.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 3 | vs NDSU | L 72-81 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UND | W 79-75 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@STAN
STANL 68-91
−10.5
11
@UNLV
UNLVW 102-93
+19.5
14
vsCP
CPW 90-82
+0.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 81-86
+12.5
23
vsLAM
LAML 63-68
−9.5
25
vsOAK
OAKL 87-95
−12.5
3
vsNDSU
NDSUL 72-81
−12.5
6
@UND
UNDW 79-75
−1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@STAN
STANL 68-91
+8.5
11
@UNLV
UNLVW 102-93
+37.5
14
vsCP
CPW 90-82
+3.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 81-86
+2.5
23
vsLAM
LAML 63-68
−17.5
25
vsOAK
OAKL 87-95
+19.5
3
vsNDSU
NDSUL 72-81
−0.5
6
@UND
UNDW 79-75
−0.5
over 5under 3avg +6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisville
11 games played
Straight up
9-2
82% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SCST | W 104-45 | -35.5 | W +23.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 6 | vs JKST | W 106-70 | -38.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 11 | vs UK | W 96-88 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 15 | vs OHIO | W 106-81 | -31.5 | L −6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 21 | vs CIN | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs EMU | W 87-46 | -33.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | vs NJIT | W 104-47 | -44.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ ARK | L 80-89 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs IU | W 87-78 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs MEM | W 99-73 | -16.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | @ TENN | L 62-83 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
+23.5
6
vsJKST
JKSTW 106-70
−2.5
11
vsUK
UKW 96-88
+2.5
15
vsOHIO
OHIOW 106-81
−6.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 74-64
+1.5
24
vsEMU
EMUW 87-46
+7.5
26
vsNJIT
NJITW 104-47
+12.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 80-89
−10.5
6
vsIU
IUW 87-78
+5.5
13
vsMEM
MEMW 99-73
+9.5
16
@TENN
TENNL 62-83
−16.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
−10.5
6
vsJKST
JKSTW 106-70
+10.5
11
vsUK
UKW 96-88
+10.5
15
vsOHIO
OHIOW 106-81
+12.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 74-64
−25.5
24
vsEMU
EMUW 87-46
−29.5
26
vsNJIT
NJITW 104-47
−7.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 80-89
+2.5
6
vsIU
IUW 87-78
+2.5
13
vsMEM
MEMW 99-73
+9.5
16
@TENN
TENNL 62-83
−11.5
over 6under 5avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Montana
3-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ North Dakota79–75
- Lvs N Dakota St72–81
- Lvs Oakland87–95
- Lvs Lamar63–68
- L@ Texas A&M81–86
A week or more of rest.
Louisville
9-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tennessee62–83
- Wvs Memphis99–73
- Wvs Indiana87–78
- L@ Arkansas80–89
- Wvs NJIT104–47
4 days since their last game.