Bramlage Coliseum · at Kansas St · Conference game
Closing line
KU -4.5✓ KU covered by 19.5
KU -4.5✓ KU covered by 19.5Closing total158.5Under by 10.5
| KU | This season | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| 14-5 | Record | 10-9 |
| 12-7 | ATS | 7-12 |
| 6-13 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KU 83–76 KSU · ✓ KU (72%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KU | 37 | 49 | 86 |
| KSU | 35 | 27 | 62 |
1st half: KU 37, KSU 35 (KU by 2). The model had KU by 4.2 and a total of 74.1 (actual 72).
Team stats
| KU | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-58 53% | Field goals | 21-61 34% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 10-29 34% |
| 20-24 83% | Free throws | 10-14 71% |
| 39 12 off | Rebounds | 28 13 off |
| 19 | Assists | 12 |
| 2 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| KU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. G | 38 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 7-16 | 1-4 |
| Tre White G | 37 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Flory Bidunga F | 33 | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10-13 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Tiller F | 27 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Jamari McDowell G | 23 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elmarko Jackson G | 27 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Jayden Dawson G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Wilder Evers, Darryn Peterson, Corbin Allen, Nginyu Ngala, Kohl Rosario, Paul Mbiya, Samis Calderon, Will Thengvall, Justin Cross
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty G | 39 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 6-17 | 1-2 |
| David Castillo G | 37 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-11 | 2-5 |
| Nate Johnson G | 35 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Dorin Buca C | 26 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Taj Manning F | 23 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrej Kostic G | 23 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| CJ Jones G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Marcus Johnson F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Khamari McGriff, Stephen Osei, Exavier Wilson, Elias Rapieque, Mobi Ikegwuruka, Abdi Bashir Jr.
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKU -7.5
3 → KSU
CloseKU -4.5
3 pts toward KSU
Total
Open157.5
▲ 1
Close158.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
KU -205 · KSU +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KU -7.5 · closed KU -4.5 · moved 3 toward KSUmodel KU -7
model KU -7
Opened 157.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 1 upmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | KU -4.5 | KU -6.8 | KU +2.3 | W KU covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 158.2 | Under 0.3 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | KU 82.5 · KSU 75.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | KU -4.2 | KU -2.0 |
| 1H total | 74.1 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | KU 39.1 · KSU 35 | KU 37 · KSU 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KU | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| KSU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
KU 5–3 KSUKU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · KU 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | KU 73 @ KSU 81 | KSU +4.5 | KSU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | KSU 74 @ KU 84 | KU -14.5 | KSU W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | KSU 68 @ KU 90 | KU -12.5 | KU W |
| Feb 5, 2023-24 | KU 70 @ KSU 75 | KSU +3.5 | KSU W |
| Jan 31, 2022-23 | KSU 78 @ KU 90 | KU -8.5 | KU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kansas
19 games played
Straight up
14-5
74% wins
Against the spread
12-7
63% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-13
32% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GB | W 94-51 | -30.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ UNC | L 74-87 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs AMCC | W 77-46 | -25.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 15 | vs PRIN | W 76-57 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs DUKE | L 66-78 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 24 | vs ND | W 71-61 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs SYR | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs TENN | W 81-76 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | vs CONN | L 56-61 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 7 | vs MIZ | W 80-60 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ NCSU | W 77-76 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOW | W 73-49 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | vs DAV | W 90-61 | -14.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | @ UCF | L 75-81 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | vs TCU | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | @ WVU | L 75-86 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 13 | vs ISU | W 84-63 | +3.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 16 | vs BAY | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | @ COLO | W 75-69 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
+12.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
−10.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
+5.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−3.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−1.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
+4.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
+6.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+12.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−1.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
+14.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+2.5
16
vsTOW
TOWW 73-49
+9.5
22
vsDAV
DAVW 90-61
+14.5
3
@UCF
UCFL 75-81
−10.5
6
vsTCU
TCUW 104-100
−2.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 75-86
−13.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 84-63
+24.5
16
vsBAY
BAYW 80-62
+10.5
20
@COLO
COLOW 75-69
+1.5
covered 12didn’t cover 7avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
−7.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
+1.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
−22.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−11.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−5.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
−11.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
−13.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+16.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−24.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
−10.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+4.5
16
vsTOW
TOWW 73-49
−15.5
22
vsDAV
DAVW 90-61
+11.5
3
@UCF
UCFL 75-81
−1.5
6
vsTCU
TCUW 104-100
+60.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 75-86
+21.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 84-63
−5.5
16
vsBAY
BAYW 80-62
−14.5
20
@COLO
COLOW 75-69
−11.5
over 6under 13avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas St
19 games played
Straight up
10-9
53% wins
Against the spread
7-12
37% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UNCG | W 93-64 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs BELL | W 98-71 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 13 | vs CAL | W 99-96 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 17 | vs TLSA | W 84-83 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | vs MSST | W 98-77 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs NEB | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | @ IU | L 69-86 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs BGSU | L 66-82 | -12.5 | L −28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs HALL | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 8 | vs MVSU | W 108-49 | -38.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | @ CREI | W 83-76 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDAK | W 106-76 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 28 | vs ULM | W 94-85 | -32.5 | L −23.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs BYU | L 73-83 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ ARIZ | L 76-101 | +17.5 | L −7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ ASU | L 84-87 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vsUCF | L 73-82 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | @ OKST | L 83-84 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | U 167 |
| Jan 20 | vs UTAH | W 81-78 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+10.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
−1.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
−3.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
−11.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+23.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+0.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−6.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−28.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−13.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
+20.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
+11.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+8.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
−23.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−2.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
−7.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
−1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−11.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
+1.5
20
vsUTAH
UTAHW 81-78
−7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 12avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+8.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
+0.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
+30.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
+6.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+10.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+2.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−9.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−11.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−3.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
−3.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
−0.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+5.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
+9.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−18.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
+5.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
+1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−15.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
−8.5
20
vsUTAH
UTAHW 81-78
−9.5
over 10under 9avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kansas
14-5 overall · 4-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Colorado75–69
- Wvs Baylor80–62
- Wvs Iowa State84–63
- L@ West Virginia75–86
- Wvs TCU104–100
4 days since their last game.
Kansas St
10-9 overall · 1-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Utah81–78
- L@ Oklahoma St83–84
- Lvs UCF73–82
- L@ Arizona St84–87
- L@ Arizona76–101
4 days since their last game.