Bramlage Coliseum · at Kansas St · Conference game
Closing line
KSU -10.5✓ UTAH covered by 7.5
KSU -10.5✓ UTAH covered by 7.5Closing total168.5Under by 9.5
 UTAH | This season | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-9 | Record | 9-9 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 7-11 |
| 14-4 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTAH 81–87 KSU · ✓ KSU (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 43 | 35 | 78 |
| KSU | 46 | 35 | 81 |
1st half: UTAH 43, KSU 46 (KSU by 3). The model had KSU by 3.5 and a total of 78.2 (actual 89).
Team stats
| UTAH | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-65 49% | Field goals | 31-62 50% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 12-23 52% |
| 6-10 60% | Free throws | 7-10 70% |
| 34 10 off | Rebounds | 29 7 off |
| 10 | Assists | 17 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| UTAH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Brown G | 32 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 14-24 | 4-7 |
| Don McHenry G | 32 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 5-12 | 3-8 |
| Keanu Dawes F | 31 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Seydou Traore G | 30 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 7-12 | 1-4 |
| James Okonkwo F | 24 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kendyl Sanders F | 19 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Josh Hayes F | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Obomate Abbey G | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alvin Jackson III, Colin McHaney, Jacob Patrick, Lucas Langarita, Ibrahima Traore, Jerry Huang, Elijah Moore, Babacar Faye
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty G | 39 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 15-29 | 1-4 |
| Nate Johnson G | 35 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Taj Manning F | 35 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| David Castillo G | 33 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 7-12 | 6-9 |
| Dorin Buca C | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| CJ Jones G | 31 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Andrej Kostic G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Stephen Osei, Exavier Wilson, Elias Rapieque, Marcus Johnson, Mobi Ikegwuruka, Abdi Bashir Jr., Khamari McGriff
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKSU -10.5
ModelKSU -6.0
Model edgeUTAH +4.5
W UTAH covered
Total
Market168.5
Model167.0
Model edgeUnder 1.5
W Under
Projected score
UTAH 80.5 · KSU 86.5
UTAH 78 · KSU 81
Win probability
KSU 70%
1st half
Spread
KSU -3.5
KSU -3.0
Total
78.2
89 points
Projected score
UTAH 37.4 · KSU 40.8
UTAH 43 · KSU 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKSU -8.5
2 → KSU
CloseKSU -10.5
2 pts toward KSU
Total
Open168.5
no move
Close168.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UTAH +410 · KSU -550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KSU -8.5 · closed KSU -10.5 · moved 2 toward KSUmodel KSU -6
model KSU -6
Opened 168.5 · unchangedmodel 167
model 167
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| KSU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UTAH 1–0 KSUUTAH leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UTAH 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024-25 | KSU 69 @ UTAH 74 | UTAH -2.5 | UTAH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah
18 games played
Straight up
9-9
50% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-4
78% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SJSU | W 84-75 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 8 | vs WEB | W 92-89 | -15.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 10 | vs HC | W 87-69 | -21.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs SHSU | W 85-79 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 18 | vs PFW | W 85-77 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 20 | vs CP | L 85-92 | -14.5 | L −21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 25 | vs GCU | L 58-68 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 26 | vs MISS | W 75-74 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | @ CAL | L 72-79 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs CBU | W 91-85 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSST | L 74-82 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs EWU | W 101-77 | -10.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | @ WASH | L 65-74 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vs ARIZ | L 78-97 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 7 | @ COLO | L 73-85 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs BYU | L 84-89 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 168.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 14 | @ TTU | L 74-88 | +17.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 17 | vs TCU | W 82-79 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 84-75
−2.5
8
vsWEB
WEBW 92-89
−12.5
10
vsHC
HCW 87-69
−3.5
15
vsSHSU
SHSUW 85-79
−6.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 85-77
−5.5
20
vsCP
CPL 85-92
−21.5
25
vsGCU
GCUL 58-68
−4.5
26
vsMISS
MISSW 75-74
+11.5
2
@CAL
CALL 72-79
+0.5
6
vsCBU
CBUW 91-85
+0.5
13
vsMSST
MSSTL 74-82
−6.5
20
vsEWU
EWUW 101-77
+13.5
29
@WASH
WASHL 65-74
+3.5
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 78-97
−1.5
7
@COLO
COLOL 73-85
−2.5
10
vsBYU
BYUL 84-89
+9.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 74-88
+3.5
17
vsTCU
TCUW 82-79
+7.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 84-75
+12.5
8
vsWEB
WEBW 92-89
+32.5
10
vsHC
HCW 87-69
+0.5
15
vsSHSU
SHSUW 85-79
+4.5
18
vsPFW
PFWW 85-77
+0.5
20
vsCP
CPL 85-92
+9.5
25
vsGCU
GCUL 58-68
−27.5
26
vsMISS
MISSW 75-74
+4.5
2
@CAL
CALL 72-79
−1.5
6
vsCBU
CBUW 91-85
+30.5
13
vsMSST
MSSTL 74-82
+2.5
20
vsEWU
EWUW 101-77
+17.5
29
@WASH
WASHL 65-74
−18.5
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 78-97
+12.5
7
@COLO
COLOL 73-85
−4.5
10
vsBYU
BYUL 84-89
+4.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 74-88
+2.5
17
vsTCU
TCUW 82-79
+6.5
over 14under 4avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas St
18 games played
Straight up
9-9
50% wins
Against the spread
7-11
39% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UNCG | W 93-64 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs BELL | W 98-71 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 13 | vsCAL | W 99-96 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 17 | vs TLSA | W 84-83 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | vsMSST | W 98-77 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs NEB | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | @ IU | L 69-86 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs BGSU | L 66-82 | -12.5 | L −28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs HALL | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 8 | vs MVSU | W 108-49 | -38.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | @ CREI | W 83-76 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDAK | W 106-76 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 28 | vs ULM | W 94-85 | -32.5 | L −23.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vsBYU | L 73-83 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ARIZ | L 76-101 | +17.5 | L −7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ ASU | L 84-87 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vs UCF | L 73-82 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | @ OKST | L 83-84 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | U 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+10.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
−1.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
−3.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
−11.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+23.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+0.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−6.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−28.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−13.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
+20.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
+11.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+8.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
−23.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−2.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
−7.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
−1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−11.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
+1.5
covered 7didn’t cover 11avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+8.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
+0.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
+30.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
+6.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+10.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+2.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−9.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−11.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−3.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
−3.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
−0.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+5.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
+9.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−18.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
+5.5
10
@ASU
ASUL 84-87
+1.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 73-82
−15.5
17
@OKST
OKSTL 83-84
−8.5
over 10under 8avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah
9-9 overall · 1-4 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs TCU82–79
- L@ Texas Tech74–88
- Lvs BYU84–89
- L@ Colorado73–85
- Lvs Arizona78–97
3 days since their last game.
Kansas St
9-9 overall · 0-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oklahoma St83–84
- Lvs UCF73–82
- L@ Arizona St84–87
- L@ Arizona76–101
- Lvs BYU73–83
3 days since their last game.