Mizzou Arena · at Missouri · Conference game
Closing line
MIZ -1.5✓ UGA covered by 3.5
MIZ -1.5✓ UGA covered by 3.5Closing total163.5Under by 17.5
 UGA | This season | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 15-3 | Record | 13-5 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 8-10 |
| 10-8 | O/U | 7-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UGA 86–82 MIZ · ✓ UGA (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UGA | 29 | 45 | 74 |
| MIZ | 26 | 46 | 72 |
1st half: UGA 29, MIZ 26 (UGA by 3). The model had UGA by 2.3 and a total of 78.8 (actual 55).
Team stats
| UGA | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-65 37% | Field goals | 27-67 40% |
| 8-29 28% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 18-21 86% | Free throws | 11-12 92% |
| 44 19 off | Rebounds | 39 15 off |
| 8 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| UGA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Cain G | 33 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 4-16 | 0-5 |
| Jeremiah Wilkinson G | 33 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 4-11 | 3-7 |
| Somto Cyril C | 28 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kanon Catchings F | 24 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-7 |
| Jordan Ross G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Millender G | 26 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-4 |
| Justin Abson F | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Dylan James F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jake Wilkins F | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Justin Bailey G | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Kareem Stagg F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson McVey, Markel Jennings, Jaden Newell, Brandon Klatsky
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 36 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 7-15 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Stone G | 36 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 5-14 | 2-6 |
| Jacob Crews G | 29 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Anthony Robinson II G | 26 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| T.O. Barrett F | 28 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Trent Pierce G | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Sebastian Mack G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Luke Northweather F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aaron Rowe, Nicholas Randall, Trent Burns, Annor Boateng, Jevon Porter
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMIZ -1.5
ModelUGA -3.7
Model edgeUGA +5.2
W UGA covered
Total
Market163.5
Model168.3
Model edgeOver 4.8
L Under
Projected score
UGA 86 · MIZ 82.3
UGA 74 · MIZ 72
Win probability
UGA 63%
1st half
Spread
UGA -2.3
UGA -3.0
Total
78.8
55 points
Projected score
UGA 40.5 · MIZ 38.2
UGA 29 · MIZ 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIZ -1.5
no move
CloseMIZ -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open166.5
▼ 3
Close163.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
UGA +105 · MIZ -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIZ -1.5 · unchangedmodel UGA -3.5
model UGA -3.5
Opened 166.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 3 downmodel 168.5
model 168.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UGA | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| MIZ | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UGA 2–3 MIZMIZ leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · UGA 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | MIZ 87 @ UGA 74 | UGA +2.5 | MIZ W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | MIZ 59 vs UGA 64 | UGA -2.5 | UGA W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | UGA 75 @ MIZ 68 | MIZ -5.5 | UGA W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | MIZ 85 @ UGA 63 | UGA +3.5 | MIZ W |
| Mar 5, 2021-22 | UGA 69 @ MIZ 79 | MIZ -7 | MIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Georgia
18 games played
Straight up
15-3
83% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BELL | W 104-59 | -23.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 5 | vs UMES | W 94-29 | -33.5 | W +31.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 9 | vs MORE | W 120-81 | -28.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 14 | vs GT | W 92-87 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs FAMU | W 87-57 | -40.5 | L −10.5 | 170.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs XAV | W 78-77 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs CLEM | L 94-97 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs TNTC | W 123-81 | -34.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 2 | @ FSU | W 107-73 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 13 | vs CIN | W 84-65 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 18 | vs WCU | W 112-82 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 22 | vs WGA | W 103-74 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIU | W 89-74 | -30.5 | L −15.5 | 179.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 3 | vs AUB | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | @ FLA | L 77-92 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | @ SC | W 75-70 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs MISS | L 95-97 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | vs ARK | W 90-76 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+21.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
+31.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+10.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
−10.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−10.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−9.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
−1.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+7.5
2
@FSU
FSUW 107-73
+35.5
13
vsCIN
CINW 84-65
+13.5
18
vsWCU
WCUW 112-82
−2.5
22
vsWGA
WGAW 103-74
−7.5
29
vsLIU
LIUW 89-74
−15.5
3
vsAUB
AUBW 104-100
−2.5
6
@FLA
FLAL 77-92
−5.5
10
@SC
SCW 75-70
+0.5
14
vsMISS
MISSL 95-97
−12.5
17
vsARK
ARKW 90-76
+11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+12.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
−19.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+50.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
+23.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−26.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−10.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
+38.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+43.5
2
@FSU
FSUW 107-73
+3.5
13
vsCIN
CINW 84-65
−8.5
18
vsWCU
WCUW 112-82
+26.5
22
vsWGA
WGAW 103-74
+3.5
29
vsLIU
LIUW 89-74
−16.5
3
vsAUB
AUBW 104-100
+30.5
6
@FLA
FLAL 77-92
−3.5
10
@SC
SCW 75-70
−18.5
14
vsMISS
MISSL 95-97
+33.5
17
vsARK
ARKW 90-76
−15.5
over 10under 8avg +8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri
18 games played
Straight up
13-5
72% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs KU | L 60-80 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 11 | vs ALST | W 85-77 | -26.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vs BCU | W 82-60 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs ILL | L 48-91 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vsFLA | W 76-74 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ UK | W 73-68 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @MISS | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | vsAUB | W 84-74 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | @ LSU | L 70-78 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−14.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
−18.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
+1.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−34.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
+9.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
+17.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
−5.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+11.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−10.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
+6.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
−4.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−14.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
−4.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
−9.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
+1.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+4.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−0.5
over 7under 11avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgia
15-3 overall · 3-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Arkansas90–76
- Lvs Ole Miss95–97
- W@ South Carolina75–70
- L@ Florida77–92
- Wvs Auburn104–100
3 days since their last game.
Missouri
13-5 overall · 3-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ LSU70–78
- Wvs Auburn84–74
- L@ Ole Miss69–76
- W@ Kentucky73–68
- Wvs Florida76–74
3 days since their last game.