BYU Cougars at Utah Utes: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Jan 10, 10:10 PM ETJon M. Huntsman Center · at Utah · Conference game

#24BYUBYU AP #989▲ winner

Final

#73UTAHUtah84final

Closing lineBYU -14.5✓ UTAH covered by 9.5

Closing total168.5Over by 4.5

Season records: BYU and Utah
BYU	This season	UTAH
14-1	Record	8-7
9-6	ATS	5-10
7-8	O/U	11-4

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: BYU 89–74 UTAH · ✓ BYU (90%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
BYU	45	44	89
UTAH	43	41	84

1st half: BYU 45, UTAH 43 (BYU by 2). The model had BYU by 8.7 and a total of 76.3 (actual 88).

Team stats

BYU		UTAH
32-64 50%	Field goals	30-65 46%
6-26 23%	3-pointers	6-22 27%
19-29 66%	Free throws	18-21 86%
41 16 off	Rebounds	33 10 off
16	Assists	14
4	Steals	6
4	Blocks	3
11	Turnovers	9
15	Fouls	22
46	Points in paint	34
16	Fast-break points	8

Players

BYU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Robert Wright III G	38	23	1	6	9-19	2-6
AJ Dybantsa F	37	20	6	4	6-11	0-3
Richie Saunders G	35	24	14	3	9-16	2-7
Kennard Davis Jr. G	33	8	3	1	2-7	2-7
Keba Keita F	21	11	7	0	5-6	0-0
Bench
Abdullah Ahmed C	17	1	6	0	0-1	0-0
Mihailo Boskovic F	9	2	1	1	1-3	0-2
Tyler Mrus F	7	0	0	1	0-1	0-1
Khadim Mboup F	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Dominique Diomande, Dawson Baker, KJ Perry, Aleksej Kostic, Brody Kozlowski, Jared McGregor, Nate Pickens, Xavion Staton

UTAH	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Terrence Brown G	35	25	3	5	10-21	0-2
Don McHenry G	33	21	2	2	6-17	2-8
James Okonkwo F	29	4	13	2	2-2	0-0
Keanu Dawes F	26	7	5	1	2-6	0-1
Seydou Traore G	22	9	2	1	3-7	0-3
Bench
Kendyl Sanders F	24	9	1	0	3-4	3-4
Obomate Abbey G	14	4	1	2	2-5	0-2
Josh Hayes F	12	2	3	1	1-1	0-0
Lucas Langarita G	5	3	0	0	1-2	1-2

Did not play: Colin McHaney, Jahki Howard, Alvin Jackson III, Babacar Faye, Jacob Patrick, Jerry Huang, Elijah Moore, Ibrahima Traore

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	BYU -14.5	BYU -14.4	UTAH +0.1	W UTAH covered
Total	168.5	163.1	Under 5.4	L Over
Projected score	—	BYU 88.8 · UTAH 74.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	BYU -8.7	BYU -2.0
1H total	76.3	88
1H projected score	BYU 42.5 · UTAH 33.8	BYU 45 · UTAH 43

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BYU WLLWW	9-6	60%	1-0	8-6
UTAH LWWLL	5-10	33%	2-7	3-4

Venue/role: BYU away, as favorite; UTAH home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
BYU OOOUO	7-8	47%	14-1
UTAH OOUOU	11-4	73%	8-7

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BYU	10-0 100%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
UTAH	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

BYU 3–2 UTAHBYU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · BYU 2-3 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Mar 8, 2024-25	UTAH 74 @ BYU 85	BYU -11.5	UTAH W
Jan 18, 2024-25	BYU 72 @ UTAH 73	UTAH +1.5	UTAH W
Dec 9, 2023-24	BYU 69 @ UTAH 73	UTAH +2.5	UTAH W
Dec 17, 2022-23	UTAH 66 @ BYU 75	BYU +2.5	BYU W
Nov 27, 2021-22	BYU 75 @ UTAH 64	UTAH +1	BYU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

BYU

15 games played

Straight up

14-1

93% wins

Against the spread

9-6

60% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

7-8

47% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

14-193%

W W W L W W W W W W W W W W W

11 straight wins4 of last 4 won

Against the spread

9-660%

L W L W W W L W L W W L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

7-847%

U U U O O U O U U U O O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsVILL	W 71-66	-9.5	L −4.5	153.5	U 137
Nov 8	vsHC	W 98-53	-38.5	W +6.5	165.5	U 151
Nov 11	vsDEL	W 85-68	-35.5	L −18.5	164.5	U 153
Nov 15	vsCONN	L 84-86	+6.5	W +4.5	156.5	O 170
Nov 21	vsWIS	W 98-70	-4.5	W +23.5	165.5	O 168
Nov 27	vsMIA	W 72-62	-7.5	W +2.5	165.5	U 134
Nov 28	vsDAY	W 83-79	-9.5	L −5.5	150.5	O 162
Dec 3	vsCBU	W 91-60	-18.5	W +12.5	153.5	U 151
Dec 9	vsCLEM	W 67-64	-4.5	L −1.5	152.5	U 131
Dec 13	vsUCR	W 100-53	-33.5	W +13.5	155.5	U 153
Dec 16	vsPAC	W 93-57	-23.5	W +12.5	149.5	O 150
Dec 19	vsACU	W 85-67	-33.5	L −15.5	146.5	O 152
Dec 22	vsEWU	W 109-81	-34.5	L −6.5	168.5	O 190
Jan 3	@KSU	W 83-73	-7.5	W +2.5	174.5	U 156
Jan 7	vsASU	W 104-76	-17.5	W +10.5	168.5	O 180

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

VILL

W 71-66

−4.5

W 98-53

+6.5

DEL

W 85-68

−18.5

CONN

L 84-86

+4.5

WIS

W 98-70

+23.5

MIA

W 72-62

+2.5

DAY

W 83-79

−5.5

CBU

W 91-60

+12.5

CLEM

W 67-64

−1.5

UCR

W 100-53

+13.5

PAC

W 93-57

+12.5

ACU

W 85-67

−15.5

EWU

W 109-81

−6.5

KSU

W 83-73

+2.5

ASU

W 104-76

+10.5

covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

VILL

W 71-66

−16.5

W 98-53

−14.5

DEL

W 85-68

−11.5

CONN

L 84-86

+13.5

WIS

W 98-70

+2.5

MIA

W 72-62

−31.5

DAY

W 83-79

+11.5

CBU

W 91-60

−2.5

CLEM

W 67-64

−21.5

UCR

W 100-53

−2.5

PAC

W 93-57

+0.5

ACU

W 85-67

+5.5

EWU

W 109-81

+21.5

KSU

W 83-73

−18.5

ASU

W 104-76

+11.5

over 7under 8avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Utah

15 games played

Straight up

8-7

53% wins

Against the spread

5-10

33% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

11-4

73% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total

Straight up

8-753%

W W W W W L L W L W L W L L L

3 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

5-1033%

L L L L L L L W W W L W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

11-473%

O O O O O O U O U O O O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsSJSU	W 84-75	-11.5	L −2.5	146.5	O 159
Nov 8	vsWEB	W 92-89	-15.5	L −12.5	148.5	O 181
Nov 10	vsHC	W 87-69	-21.5	L −3.5	155.5	O 156
Nov 15	vsSHSU	W 85-79	-12.5	L −6.5	159.5	O 164
Nov 18	vsPFW	W 85-77	-13.5	L −5.5	161.5	O 162
Nov 20	vsCP	L 85-92	-14.5	L −21.5	167.5	O 177
Nov 25	vsGCU	L 58-68	+5.5	L −4.5	153.5	U 126
Nov 26	vsMISS	W 75-74	+10.5	W +11.5	144.5	O 149
Dec 2	@CAL	L 72-79	+7.5	W +0.5	152.5	U 151
Dec 6	vsCBU	W 91-85	-5.5	W +0.5	145.5	O 176
Dec 13	vsMSST	L 74-82	+1.5	L −6.5	153.5	O 156
Dec 20	vsEWU	W 101-77	-10.5	W +13.5	160.5	O 178
Dec 29	@WASH	L 65-74	+12.5	W +3.5	157.5	U 139
Jan 3	vsARIZ	L 78-97	+17.5	L −1.5	162.5	O 175
Jan 7	@COLO	L 73-85	+9.5	L −2.5	162.5	U 158

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SJSU

W 84-75

−2.5

WEB

W 92-89

−12.5

W 87-69

−3.5

SHSU

W 85-79

−6.5

PFW

W 85-77

−5.5

L 85-92

−21.5

GCU

L 58-68

−4.5

MISS

W 75-74

+11.5

CAL

L 72-79

+0.5

CBU

W 91-85

+0.5

MSST

L 74-82

−6.5

EWU

W 101-77

+13.5

WASH

L 65-74

+3.5

ARIZ

L 78-97

−1.5

COLO

L 73-85

−2.5

covered 5didn’t cover 10avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SJSU

W 84-75

+12.5

WEB

W 92-89

+32.5

W 87-69

+0.5

SHSU

W 85-79

+4.5

PFW

W 85-77

+0.5

L 85-92

+9.5

GCU

L 58-68

−27.5

MISS

W 75-74

+4.5

CAL

L 72-79

−1.5

CBU

W 91-85

+30.5

MSST

L 74-82

+2.5

EWU

W 101-77

+17.5

WASH

L 65-74

−18.5

ARIZ

L 78-97

+12.5

COLO

L 73-85

−4.5

over 11under 4avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

BYU Cougars at Utah Utes

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

BYU

Utah

BYU

Utah