Marriott Center · at BYU · Conference game
Closing line
BYU -17.5✓ BYU covered by 10.5
BYU -17.5✓ BYU covered by 10.5Closing total168.5Over by 11.5
 ASU | This season | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-5 | Record | 13-1 |
| 8-6 | ATS | 8-6 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 6-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ASU 72–89 BYU · ✓ BYU (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | 30 | 46 | 76 |
| BYU | 45 | 59 | 104 |
1st half: ASU 30, BYU 45 (BYU by 15). The model had BYU by 9.6 and a total of 75.4 (actual 75).
Team stats
| ASU | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-74 38% | Field goals | 35-61 57% |
| 7-25 28% | 3-pointers | 14-31 45% |
| 13-18 72% | Free throws | 20-25 80% |
| 38 20 off | Rebounds | 40 11 off |
| 18 | Assists | 19 |
| 10 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 10 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 31 |
Players
| ASU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Johnson G | 37 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 7-21 | 3-9 |
| Massamba Diop C | 36 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 8-13 | 0-0 |
| Maurice Odum G | 34 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Allen Mukeba F | 20 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Santiago Trouet F | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Noah Meeusen G | 26 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1-8 | 0-5 |
| Andrija Grbovic F | 26 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Trevor Best G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jovan Icitovic, Dame Salane, Vijay Wallace, Marcus Adams Jr., Quentin McCoy, Adante' Holiman, Bryce Ford, Kash Polk
| BYU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Wright III G | 37 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 9-15 | 3-6 |
| Richie Saunders G | 32 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 10-13 | 6-8 |
| AJ Dybantsa F | 30 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 7-13 | 2-5 |
| Kennard Davis Jr. G | 24 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Abdullah Ahmed C | 17 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Mrus F | 17 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Mihailo Boskovic F | 16 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Khadim Mboup F | 14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Dominique Diomande F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Aleksej Kostic G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brody Kozlowski, KJ Perry, Dawson Baker, Jared McGregor, Keba Keita, Xavion Staton, Nate Pickens
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBYU -17.5
ModelBYU -16.2
Model edgeASU +1.3
L BYU covered
Total
Market168.5
Model161.1
Model edgeUnder 7.4
L Over
Projected score
ASU 72.4 · BYU 88.6
ASU 76 · BYU 104
Win probability
BYU 92%
1st half
Spread
BYU -9.6
BYU -15.0
Total
75.4
75 points
Projected score
ASU 32.9 · BYU 42.5
ASU 30 · BYU 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBYU -17.5
no move
CloseBYU -17.5
No change since the open
Total
Open166.5
▲ 2
Close168.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
ASU +1000 · BYU -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BYU -17.5 · unchangedmodel BYU -16
model BYU -16
Opened 166.5 · closed 168.5 · moved 2 upmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
| BYU | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ASU 0–3 BYUBYU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · BYU has won the last 3 meetings · ASU 0-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | BYU 91 @ ASU 81 | ASU +7.5 | BYU W |
| Dec 31, 2024-25 | ASU 56 @ BYU 76 | BYU -9.5 | BYU W |
| Nov 23, 2023-24 | BYU 77 vs ASU 49 | ASU +9.5 | BYU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arizona St
14 games played
Straight up
9-5
64% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs SUU | W 81-64 | -17.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 9 | vs UTU | W 81-66 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs GONZ | L 65-77 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs GAST | W 75-62 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | @ HAW | W 83-76 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEX | W 87-86 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs WSU | W 100-94 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 26 | vs USC | L 75-88 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs OU | W 86-70 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 9 | vs NAU | W 73-48 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs SCU | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCLA | L 77-90 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 21 | vs ORST | L 75-78 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vs COLO | L 89-95 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−0.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
+2.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
+1.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−5.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+8.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+7.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+1.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
−8.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
+21.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
+8.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+4.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
−3.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
−15.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
−7.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−6.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
−5.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
−16.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−8.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+15.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+19.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+36.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
+1.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
−1.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
−33.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+6.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
+24.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
+5.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
+27.5
over 8under 6avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
BYU
14 games played
Straight up
13-1
93% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs VILL | W 71-66 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs HC | W 98-53 | -38.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs DEL | W 85-68 | -35.5 | L −18.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 15 | vs CONN | L 84-86 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | vs WIS | W 98-70 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs MIA | W 72-62 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs DAY | W 83-79 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs CBU | W 91-60 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 9 | vs CLEM | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCR | W 100-53 | -33.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs PAC | W 93-57 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs ACU | W 85-67 | -33.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs EWU | W 109-81 | -34.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 3 | @ KSU | W 83-73 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−4.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
+6.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−18.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+4.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+23.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
+2.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
−5.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
+12.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−1.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
+13.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+12.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
−15.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
−6.5
3
@KSU
KSUW 83-73
+2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−16.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
−14.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−11.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+13.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+2.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
−31.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
+11.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
−2.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−21.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
−2.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+0.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
+5.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
+21.5
3
@KSU
KSUW 83-73
−18.5
over 6under 8avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arizona St
9-5 overall · 0-1 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Colorado89–95
- Lvs Oregon St75–78
- L@ UCLA77–90
- Wvs Santa Clara82–79
- Wvs N Arizona73–48
4 days since their last game.
BYU
13-1 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kansas St83–73
- Wvs E Washington109–81
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn85–67
- Wvs Pacific93–57
- Wvs UC Riverside100–53
4 days since their last game.