Arizona State Sun Devils at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: Model Line and Edge

Thu, Nov 20, 11:59 PM ETStan Sheriff Center · at Hawai'i

#60ASUArizona St83▲ winner

Final

#140HAWHawai'i76final

Closing lineHAW -1.5✓ ASU covered by 8.5

Closing total143.5Over by 15.5

Season records: Arizona St and Hawai'i
ASU	This season	HAW
3-1	Record	4-1
2-2	ATS	3-2
0-4	O/U	1-4

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: ASU 73–73 HAW · ✗ HAW (50%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
ASU	34	49	83
HAW	35	41	76

1st half: ASU 34, HAW 35 (HAW by 1). The model had ASU by 0.1 and a total of 68.3 (actual 69).

Team stats

ASU		HAW
26-62 42%	Field goals	25-54 46%
7-19 37%	3-pointers	6-23 26%
24-37 65%	Free throws	20-26 77%
33 12 off	Rebounds	33 8 off
9	Assists	10
11	Steals	4
1	Blocks	3
8	Turnovers	17
20	Fouls	22
26	Points in paint	38
17	Fast-break points	5

Players

ASU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Maurice Odum G	34	15	4	6	5-14	1-6
Bryce Ford G	32	20	1	0	7-11	3-5
Santiago Trouet F	28	6	6	0	1-7	0-2
Massamba Diop C	24	10	5	0	3-6	0-0
Andrija Grbovic F	14	0	5	0	0-2	0-0
Bench
Anthony Johnson G	25	16	3	1	4-10	1-3
Allen Mukeba F	16	8	5	0	3-7	0-0
Noah Meeusen G	14	3	1	2	1-2	1-2
Marcus Adams Jr. F	10	2	2	0	1-2	0-0
Trevor Best G	3	3	0	0	1-1	1-1

Did not play: Jovan Icitovic, Dame Salane, Vijay Wallace, Adante' Holiman, Quentin McCoy, Kash Polk

HAW	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Aaron Hunkin-Claytor G	37	18	4	3	7-10	2-3
Dre Bullock G	34	9	9	2	3-10	0-4
Isaac Johnson C	31	23	7	1	6-11	2-4
Gytis Nemeiksa F	31	11	3	1	5-11	1-6
Hunter Erickson G	29	6	1	1	1-6	0-3
Bench
Isaac Finlinson F	15	7	3	0	2-4	1-2
Jalen Myers F	9	0	0	2	0-1	0-1
Yacine Toumi F	9	2	1	0	1-1	0-0
AJ Economou G	5	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Harry Rouhliadeff, Hunter Carter, Tanner Cuff, Isaiah Kerr

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	HAW -1.5	HAW -0.1	ASU +1.4	W ASU covered
Total	143.5	145.8	Over 2.3	W Over
Projected score	—	ASU 72.9 · HAW 73

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	ASU -0.1	HAW -1.0
1H total	68.3	69
1H projected score	ASU 34.2 · HAW 34.1	ASU 34 · HAW 35

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ASU LWWL	2-2	50%	—	1-0
HAW WWLWL	3-2	60%	2-2	2-2

Venue/role: ASU away, as underdog; HAW home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
ASU UUUU	0-4	0%	3-1
HAW UOUUU	1-4	20%	4-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ASUlast 4	3-1 75%	2-2 50%	0-4 0%
HAWlast 5	4-1 80%	3-2 60%	1-4 20%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Arizona St

4 games played

Straight up

3-1

75% wins

Against the spread

2-2

50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

0-4

0% overs · avg −9.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-175%

W W L W

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-250%

L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

0-40%

U U U U

4 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsSUU	W 81-64	-17.5	L −0.5	151.5	U 145
Nov 9	vsUTU	W 81-66	-12.5	W +2.5	152.5	U 147
Nov 14	vsGONZ	L 65-77	+13.5	W +1.5	158.5	U 142
Nov 17	vsGAST	W 75-62	-18.5	L −5.5	145.5	U 137

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SUU

W 81-64

−0.5

UTU

W 81-66

+2.5

GONZ

L 65-77

+1.5

GAST

W 75-62

−5.5

covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SUU

W 81-64

−6.5

UTU

W 81-66

−5.5

GONZ

L 65-77

−16.5

GAST

W 75-62

−8.5

over 0under 4avg −9.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Hawai'i

5 games played

Straight up

4-1

80% wins

Against the spread

3-2

60% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-4

20% overs · avg −7.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-180%

L W W W W

4 straight wins4 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-260%

W W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

1-420%

U O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@ORE	L 59-60	+11.5	W +10.5	144.5	U 119
Nov 10	vsETAM	W 100-74	-18.5	W +7.5	145.5	O 174
Nov 12	vsMVSU	W 88-56	-41.5	L −9.5	151.5	U 144
Nov 14	vsMAN	W 86-56	-15.5	W +14.5	156.5	U 142
Nov 15	vsUTU	W 68-62	-16.5	L −10.5	149.5	U 130

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

ORE

L 59-60

+10.5

ETAM

W 100-74

+7.5

MVSU

W 88-56

−9.5

MAN

W 86-56

+14.5

UTU

W 68-62

−10.5

covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

ORE

L 59-60

−25.5

ETAM

W 100-74

+28.5

MVSU

W 88-56

−7.5

MAN

W 86-56

−14.5

UTU

W 68-62

−19.5

over 1under 4avg −7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Arizona St

Hawai'i

Arizona St

Hawai'i