Convocation Center (OH) · at Ohio · Conference game
Closing line
OHIO -11.5✓ NIU covered by 8.5
OHIO -11.5✓ NIU covered by 8.5Closing total154.5Over by 2.5
 NIU | This season | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| 4-11 | Record | 8-9 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 7-10 |
| 4-11 | O/U | 9-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NIU 71–83 OHIO · ✓ OHIO (86%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 30 | 47 | 77 |
| OHIO | 32 | 48 | 80 |
1st half: NIU 30, OHIO 32 (OHIO by 2). The model had OHIO by 7.4 and a total of 72.1 (actual 62).
Team stats
| NIU | OHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-53 45% | Field goals | 27-54 50% |
| 9-20 45% | 3-pointers | 8-19 42% |
| 20-27 74% | Free throws | 18-25 72% |
| 32 10 off | Rebounds | 28 7 off |
| 8 | Assists | 12 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 23 | Fouls | 22 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| NIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhai Valentine G | 37 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-12 | 2-5 |
| Taj Walters G | 33 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Dylan Ducommun G | 31 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 8-14 | 4-6 |
| Gianni Cobb G | 31 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Gustav Winther F | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hassan Washington F | 24 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Daemar Kelly G | 22 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Jaylen Wharton F | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Carlos Coronado G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jao Ituka G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Washington, Ladji Kante, Isaiah Stewart, Max Laskey, Lataevyon Taylor, JJ Taylor
| OHIO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke G | 38 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 7-12 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Hadaway F | 36 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 6-15 | 2-6 |
| JJ Kelly G | 32 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8-15 | 1-3 |
| Ajay Sheldon G | 32 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jalen Breath F | 27 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dior Conners G | 12 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Ayden Evans F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jesse Burris G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kiir Kuany F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chase Boals, Elijah Elliott, Javan Simmons, Zay Mosley, Carter Reese, Jordan Fisher
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOHIO -12.5
1 → NIU
CloseOHIO -11.5
1 pt toward NIU
Total
Open149.5
▲ 5
Close154.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
NIU +550 · OHIO -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OHIO -12.5 · closed OHIO -11.5 · moved 1 toward NIUmodel OHIO -12.5
model OHIO -12.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 5 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | OHIO -11.5 | OHIO -12.6 | OHIO +1.1 | L NIU covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 153.9 | Under 0.6 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | NIU 70.6 · OHIO 83.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | OHIO -7.4 | OHIO -2.0 |
| 1H total | 72.1 | 62 |
| 1H projected score | NIU 32.3 · OHIO 39.7 | NIU 30 · OHIO 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% |
| OHIO | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
NIU 1–6 OHIOOHIO leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · OHIO has won the last 5 meetings · NIU 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | NIU 70 @ OHIO 108 | OHIO -19.5 | OHIO W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | OHIO 80 @ NIU 59 | NIU +7 | OHIO W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | NIU 66 @ OHIO 78 | OHIO -5.5 | OHIO W |
| Feb 21, 2022-23 | NIU 68 @ OHIO 77 | OHIO -11.5 | NIU W |
| Feb 7, 2022-23 | OHIO 82 @ NIU 76 | NIU +4.5 | OHIO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Illinois
15 games played
Straight up
4-11
27% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-11
27% overs · avg −4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ULM | W 102-82 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ WIS | L 72-97 | +28.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 10 | @ GCU | L 59-88 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNI | L 57-70 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ LUC | W 76-59 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | @ APSU | L 59-77 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs LIN | L 64-99 | -3.5 | L −38.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @ BRAD | L 55-84 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ ELON | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 20 | vs CMU | W 74-73 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 31 | vs BUF | L 67-81 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | @ KENT | L 73-77 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs TOL | L 61-75 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 13 | @ EMU | L 59-77 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vs MASS | W 70-68 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+12.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+3.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−6.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
+6.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
+30.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
−38.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−10.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+5.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−1.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−7.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
+12.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−6.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−10.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
+10.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+36.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+11.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−16.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
−19.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
−13.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
+15.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−7.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+7.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−2.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−4.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
−7.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−25.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−5.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
−19.5
over 4under 11avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio
17 games played
Straight up
8-9
47% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARST | L 85-89 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 6 | vs ILST | W 72-68 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMC | L 60-90 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ LOU | L 81-106 | +31.5 | W +6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 19 | vs BCU | L 73-76 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs GMU | L 69-92 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs LMU | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | vs ME | W 79-57 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs MRSH | W 88-81 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 13 | vs SBU | W 88-83 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs BGSU | L 58-68 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @CMU | W 80-64 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | @EMU | W 68-67 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | vsMASS | W 86-83 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsBUF | W 91-80 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | @TOL | L 85-101 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 161.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 16 | @ BALL | L 71-76 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
−7.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
+2.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
−12.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+6.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−9.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
−15.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−8.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
+9.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+3.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+11.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 58-68
−8.5
30
@CMU
CMUW 80-64
+9.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 68-67
−1.5
6
vsMASS
MASSW 86-83
−1.5
10
vsBUF
BUFW 91-80
+6.5
13
@TOL
TOLL 85-101
−13.5
16
@BALL
BALLL 71-76
−10.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
+14.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
−21.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
+5.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+12.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−8.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
+18.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−16.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
−2.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+11.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+20.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 58-68
−27.5
30
@CMU
CMUW 80-64
−7.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 68-67
−15.5
6
vsMASS
MASSW 86-83
+8.5
10
vsBUF
BUFW 91-80
+14.5
13
@TOL
TOLL 85-101
+24.5
16
@BALL
BALLL 71-76
−0.5
over 9under 8avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Illinois
4-11 overall · 2-4 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UMass70–68
- L@ E Michigan59–77
- Lvs Toledo61–75
- L@ Kent State73–77
- Lvs Buffalo67–81
3 days since their last game.
Ohio
8-9 overall · 4-3 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Ball State71–76
- L@ Toledo85–101
- Wvs Buffalo91–80
- Wvs UMass86–83
- W@ E Michigan68–67
4 days since their last game.