Convocation Center (OH) · at Ohio · Conference game
Closing line
OHIO -4.5✓ MASS covered by 1.5
OHIO -4.5✓ MASS covered by 1.5Closing total160.5Over by 8.5
 MASS | This season | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| 8-6 | Record | 6-7 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 6-7 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 6-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MASS 78–82 OHIO · ✓ OHIO (65%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 41 | 42 | 83 |
| OHIO | 48 | 38 | 86 |
1st half: MASS 41, OHIO 48 (OHIO by 7). The model had OHIO by 2.4 and a total of 75.2 (actual 89).
Team stats
| MASS | OHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-65 48% | Field goals | 30-58 52% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 12-28 43% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 37 11 off | Rebounds | 32 6 off |
| 14 | Assists | 19 |
| 7 | Steals | 11 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| MASS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Banks Jr. G | 36 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6-16 | 2-8 |
| Daniel Hankins-Sanford F | 35 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 6-13 | 2-3 |
| Danny Carbuccia G | 29 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Ndjigue G | 21 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Leonardo Bettiol F | 19 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| K'Jei Parker G | 22 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Dimitri Clerc F | 14 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Isaiah Placide G | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Luka Damjanac F | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: CJ Outlaw, Bilal Osman, Donovan Brown, Josh Engel, Rollie Castineyra
| OHIO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke G | 37 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Aidan Hadaway F | 35 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3-12 | 1-5 |
| Javan Simmons F | 31 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 9-13 | 0-1 |
| Ajay Sheldon G | 31 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| JJ Kelly G | 26 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-6 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jesse Burris G | 17 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Jalen Breath F | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dior Conners G | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Kiir Kuany F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jordan Fisher, Zay Mosley, Carter Reese, Ayden Evans, Chase Boals, Elijah Elliott
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOHIO -3.5
1 → OHIO
CloseOHIO -4.5
1 pt toward OHIO
Total
Open155.5
▲ 5
Close160.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
MASS +160 · OHIO -192
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OHIO -3.5 · closed OHIO -4.5 · moved 1 toward OHIOmodel OHIO -4.5 matches the line
model OHIO -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 155.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 5 upmodel 160.5 matches the line
model 160.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | OHIO -4.5 | OHIO -4.3 | MASS +0.2 | W MASS covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 160.5 | — | Over |
| Projected score | — | MASS 78.1 · OHIO 82.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | OHIO -2.4 | OHIO -7.0 |
| 1H total | 75.2 | 89 |
| 1H projected score | MASS 36.4 · OHIO 38.8 | MASS 41 · OHIO 48 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| OHIO | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMass
14 games played
Straight up
8-6
57% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRSH | L 72-78 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs UALB | W 83-62 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 13 | vs LEM | W 94-80 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 16 | vs CCSU | W 84-77 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | vs COFC | L 65-69 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs GB | L 75-79 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORST | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 3 | vs HARV | W 78-71 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | vs UML | W 80-60 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs BC | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs FSU | W 103-95 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | vs KENT | L 59-69 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 30 | @ EMU | L 74-80 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vs BGSU | L 100-101 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−10.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
+11.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
−2.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
−5.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−0.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
−9.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
+11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+1.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
+8.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+3.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+20.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−8.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
−8.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−2.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
−10.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
+20.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
+16.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−27.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
+7.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
−11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+5.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
−15.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+6.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+32.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−35.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
+5.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+48.5
over 8under 6avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARST | L 85-89 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 6 | vs ILST | W 72-68 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMC | L 60-90 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ LOU | L 81-106 | +31.5 | W +6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 19 | vs BCU | L 73-76 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs GMU | L 69-92 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs LMU | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | vs ME | W 79-57 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vsMRSH | W 88-81 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 13 | vs SBU | W 88-83 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vsBGSU | L 58-68 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ CMU | W 80-64 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | @EMU | W 68-67 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
−7.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
+2.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
−12.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+6.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−9.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
−15.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−8.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
+9.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+3.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+11.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 58-68
−8.5
30
@CMU
CMUW 80-64
+9.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 68-67
−1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
+14.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
−21.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
+5.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+12.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−8.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
+18.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−16.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
−2.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+11.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+20.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 58-68
−27.5
30
@CMU
CMUW 80-64
−7.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 68-67
−15.5
over 6under 7avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMass
8-6 overall · 0-3 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Bowling Green100–101
- L@ E Michigan74–80
- Lvs Kent State59–69
- Wvs Florida St103–95
- Wvs Boston College76–74
3 days since their last game.
Ohio
6-7 overall · 2-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ E Michigan68–67
- W@ C Michigan80–64
- Lvs Bowling Green58–68
- Wvs St Bonaventure88–83
- Wvs Marshall88–81
3 days since their last game.