Gervin GameAbove Center · at E Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
MASS -2.5✓ EMU covered by 8.5
MASS -2.5✓ EMU covered by 8.5Closing total148.5Over by 5.5
| MASS | This season | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-4 | Record | 5-7 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 8-4 |
| 6-6 | O/U | 3-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MASS 73–74 EMU · ✓ EMU (51%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 41 | 33 | 74 |
| EMU | 38 | 42 | 80 |
1st half: MASS 41, EMU 38 (MASS by 3). The model had EMU by 0.0 and a total of 68.9 (actual 79).
Team stats
| MASS | EMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-70 40% | Field goals | 25-55 45% |
| 6-25 24% | 3-pointers | 3-12 25% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 27-39 69% |
| 39 12 off | Rebounds | 46 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 8 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 27 | Fouls | 22 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| MASS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Banks Jr. G | 37 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 4-16 | 2-10 |
| Daniel Hankins-Sanford F | 34 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7-15 | 0-5 |
| Danny Carbuccia G | 28 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Ndjigue G | 24 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Leonardo Bettiol F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| K'Jei Parker G | 20 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5-12 | 4-8 |
| Dimitri Clerc F | 15 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Luka Damjanac F | 14 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Placide G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Engel, Donovan Brown, Bilal Osman, CJ Outlaw, Rollie Castineyra
| EMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Habhab F | 39 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 6-17 | 0-0 |
| Addison Patterson F | 35 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Carlos Hart G | 35 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 6-14 | 1-5 |
| Braelon Green G | 31 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Godslove Nwabude F | 15 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jon Sanders II G | 23 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Mak Manciel G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| John Shanu II C | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Mehki Ellison G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Rubio G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mbaye N'Diaye, Merritt Alderink, Gregory Lawson II, Cooper Smith
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenEMU -1.5
4 → MASS
CloseMASS -2.5
4 pts toward MASS
Total
Open148.5
no move
Close148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MASS -142 · EMU +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened EMU -1.5 · closed MASS -2.5 · moved 4 toward MASSmodel EMU -0.5
model EMU -0.5
Opened 148.5 · unchangedmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MASS -2.5 | EMU -0.3 | EMU +2.8 | W EMU covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 147.2 | Under 1.3 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | MASS 73.4 · EMU 73.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | EMU -0.0 | MASS -3.0 |
| 1H total | 68.9 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | MASS 34.4 · EMU 34.5 | MASS 41 · EMU 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| EMU | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMass
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRSH | L 72-78 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs UALB | W 83-62 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 13 | vs LEM | W 94-80 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 16 | vs CCSU | W 84-77 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | vs COFC | L 65-69 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs GB | L 75-79 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORST | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 3 | vs HARV | W 78-71 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | vs UML | W 80-60 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs BC | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs FSU | W 103-95 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | vs KENT | L 59-69 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−10.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
+11.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
−2.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
−5.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−0.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
−9.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
+11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+1.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
+8.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+3.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+20.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−2.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
−10.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
+20.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
+16.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−27.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
+7.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
−11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+5.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
−15.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+6.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+32.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−35.5
over 6under 6avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
E Michigan
12 games played
Straight up
5-7
42% wins
Against the spread
8-4
67% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-9
25% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GAST | W 71-49 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 10 | @ PITT | L 66-78 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs IUIN | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 186.5 | U 173 |
| Nov 18 | @ DETM | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | vs OAK | W 97-91 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | @ LOU | L 46-87 | +33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | @ CIN | W 64-56 | +22.5 | W +30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 28 | vs NJIT | W 73-55 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 2 | @ BTLR | L 68-84 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 10 | @ PFW | L 65-80 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 19 | @ AKR | L 72-93 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ WRST | L 64-70 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
+18.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+3.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−11.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
+11.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+7.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−7.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
+30.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
+3.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
+1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−11.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
−5.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
+4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 4avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
−29.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+2.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−13.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
−23.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+34.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−29.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
−26.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
−13.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
−1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−2.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
+9.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
−8.5
over 3under 9avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMass
8-4 overall · 0-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Kent State59–69
- Wvs Florida St103–95
- Wvs Boston College76–74
- Wvs UMass Lowell80–60
- Wvs Harvard78–71
A week or more of rest.
E Michigan
5-7 overall · 0-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wright St64–70
- L@ Akron72–93
- L@ Purdue FW65–80
- L@ Butler68–84
- Wvs NJIT73–55
A week or more of rest.