Convocation Center (OH) · at Ohio
Closing line
OHIO -12.5✓ OHIO covered by 9.5
OHIO -12.5✓ OHIO covered by 9.5Closing total138.5Under by 2.5
 ME | This season | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| 0-9 | Record | 1-6 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 2-5 |
| 3-6 | O/U | 4-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ME 65–76 OHIO · ✓ OHIO (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ME | 23 | 34 | 57 |
| OHIO | 38 | 41 | 79 |
1st half: ME 23, OHIO 38 (OHIO by 15). The model had OHIO by 6.0 and a total of 66.0 (actual 61).
Team stats
| ME | OHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-55 42% | Field goals | 33-71 46% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 6-22 27% |
| 7-10 70% | Free throws | 7-7 100% |
| 28 10 off | Rebounds | 44 20 off |
| 8 | Assists | 18 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| ME | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Biel F | 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Mabrey G | 28 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Logan Carey G | 22 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Mekhi Gray G | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Keelan Steele F | 18 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ace Flagg F | 20 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Caleb Crawford G | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bashir N'Galang G | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Bonilla G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Yanis Bamba F | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Amare Allen G | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Emmitt Byther F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Darius Lopes, Joshua Ojuri, Killian Gribben, John Shea
| OHIO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hadaway F | 35 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Jackson Paveletzke G | 30 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Javan Simmons F | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| JJ Kelly G | 23 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 6-13 | 1-3 |
| Ajay Sheldon G | 23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Elliott G | 20 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Jalen Breath F | 15 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Jesse Burris G | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Dior Conners G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Kiir Kuany F | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Fisher F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Ayden Evans F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chase Boals, Zay Mosley, Carter Reese
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOHIO -12.5
ModelOHIO -10.2
Model edgeME +2.3
L OHIO covered
Total
Market138.5
Model140.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
L Under
Projected score
ME 65.3 · OHIO 75.5
ME 57 · OHIO 79
Win probability
OHIO 81%
1st half
Spread
OHIO -6.0
OHIO -15.0
Total
66.0
61 points
Projected score
ME 30 · OHIO 36
ME 23 · OHIO 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOHIO -11.5
1 → OHIO
CloseOHIO -12.5
1 pt toward OHIO
Total
Open137.5
▲ 1
Close138.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ME +625 · OHIO -950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OHIO -11.5 · closed OHIO -12.5 · moved 1 toward OHIOmodel OHIO -10
model OHIO -10
Opened 137.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 upmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MElast 9 | 0-9 0% | 4-5 44% | 3-6 33% |
| OHIOlast 7 | 1-6 14% | 2-5 29% | 4-3 57% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Maine
9 games played
Straight up
0-9
0% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GW | L 47-67 | +20.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 8 | @ STBK | L 60-71 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 131.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 10 | @ RUTG | L 60-72 | +18.5 | W +6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 16 | vs QUIN | L 64-70 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ MRMK | L 65-72 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs BRWN | L 53-58 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 127.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 28 | @ AMER | L 61-74 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs LONG | L 61-65 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 30 | vs SIE | L 60-64 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GW
GWL 47-67
+0.5
8
@STBK
STBKL 60-71
−7.5
10
@RUTG
RUTGL 60-72
+6.5
16
vsQUIN
QUINL 64-70
−2.5
19
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-72
−0.5
23
vsBRWN
BRWNL 53-58
−3.5
28
@AMER
AMERL 61-74
−5.5
29
vsLONG
LONGL 61-65
+1.5
30
vsSIE
SIEL 60-64
+5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GW
GWL 47-67
−29.5
8
@STBK
STBKL 60-71
−0.5
10
@RUTG
RUTGL 60-72
+1.5
16
vsQUIN
QUINL 64-70
−3.5
19
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-72
+6.5
23
vsBRWN
BRWNL 53-58
−16.5
28
@AMER
AMERL 61-74
+1.5
29
vsLONG
LONGL 61-65
−12.5
30
vsSIE
SIEL 60-64
−3.5
over 3under 6avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio
7 games played
Straight up
1-6
14% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −6.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
ARST
ARSTL 85-89
−7.5
6
vs
ILST
ILSTW 72-68
+2.5
11
@
SMC
SMCL 60-90
−12.5
15
@
LOU
LOUL 81-106
+6.5
19
vs
BCU
BCUL 73-76
−9.5
24
vs
GMU
GMUL 69-92
−15.5
25
vs
LMU
LMUL 58-70
−8.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
+14.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
−21.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
+5.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+12.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−8.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
+18.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−16.5
over 4under 3avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Maine
0-9 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Siena60–64
- Lvs Longwood61–65
- L@ American61–74
- Lvs Brown53–58
- L@ Merrimack65–72
3 days since their last game.
Ohio
1-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs LMU58–70
- Lvs George Mason69–92
- Lvs Bethune73–76
- L@ Louisville81–106
- L@ Saint Mary's60–90
A week or more of rest.