Worthen Arena · at Ball State · Conference game
Closing line
OHIO -5.5✓ BALL covered by 10.5
OHIO -5.5✓ BALL covered by 10.5Closing total147.5Under by 0.5
| OHIO | This season | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| 8-8 | Record | 2-13 |
| 7-9 | ATS | 6-9 |
| 9-7 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OHIO 76–72 BALL · ✗ OHIO (66%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO | 31 | 40 | 71 |
| BALL | 44 | 32 | 76 |
1st half: OHIO 31, BALL 44 (BALL by 13). The model had OHIO by 2.9 and a total of 69.4 (actual 75).
Team stats
| OHIO | BALL | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-54 48% | Field goals | 22-51 43% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 7-19 37% |
| 15-19 79% | Free throws | 25-31 81% |
| 31 8 off | Rebounds | 30 9 off |
| 7 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| OHIO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke G | 39 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 9-18 | 2-5 |
| Aidan Hadaway F | 38 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 9-14 | 0-2 |
| Ajay Sheldon G | 36 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| JJ Kelly G | 34 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Javan Simmons F | 31 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Breath F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jesse Burris G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Dior Conners G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kiir Kuany F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ayden Evans, Elijah Elliott, Chase Boals, Zay Mosley, Carter Reese, Jordan Fisher
| BALL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler G | 38 | 28 | 7 | 4 | 7-14 | 2-3 |
| Mason Jones F | 37 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Preston Copeland F | 30 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Devon Barnes G | 29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-7 |
| Elmore James IV G | 28 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davion Hill G | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 7-10 | 1-2 |
| Cam Denson F | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jai Anthoni Bearden, Kody Clancy, Juwan Maxey, Zane Doughty, Easton Foster, Kayden Fish, Alex Farley, Joey Hart
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOHIO -3.5
2 → OHIO
CloseOHIO -5.5
2 pts toward OHIO
Total
Open145.5
▲ 2
Close147.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
OHIO -230 · BALL +190
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OHIO -3.5 · closed OHIO -5.5 · moved 2 toward OHIOmodel OHIO -4.5
model OHIO -4.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | OHIO -5.5 | OHIO -4.6 | BALL +0.9 | W BALL covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 148.1 | Over 0.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | OHIO 76.3 · BALL 71.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | OHIO -2.9 | BALL -13.0 |
| 1H total | 69.4 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | OHIO 36.1 · BALL 33.2 | OHIO 31 · BALL 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| BALL | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
OHIO 6–0 BALLOHIO leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · OHIO has won the last 6 meetings · OHIO 6-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | BALL 71 @ OHIO 86 | OHIO -8.5 | OHIO W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | OHIO 84 @ BALL 79 | BALL +2 | OHIO W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | OHIO 90 vs BALL 70 | BALL -1.5 | OHIO W |
| Jan 10, 2022-23 | BALL 71 @ OHIO 76 | OHIO -1.5 | OHIO W |
| Mar 10, 2021-22 | BALL 67 vs OHIO 77 | OHIO -8 | OHIO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ohio
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARST | L 85-89 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 6 | vs ILST | W 72-68 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMC | L 60-90 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ LOU | L 81-106 | +31.5 | W +6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 19 | vs BCU | L 73-76 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs GMU | L 69-92 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs LMU | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | vs ME | W 79-57 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs MRSH | W 88-81 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 13 | vs SBU | W 88-83 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs BGSU | L 58-68 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ CMU | W 80-64 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | @ EMU | W 68-67 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | vs MASS | W 86-83 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs BUF | W 91-80 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | @ TOL | L 85-101 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 161.5 | O 186 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
−7.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
+2.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
−12.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+6.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−9.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
−15.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−8.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
+9.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+3.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+11.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 58-68
−8.5
30
@CMU
CMUW 80-64
+9.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 68-67
−1.5
6
vsMASS
MASSW 86-83
−1.5
10
vsBUF
BUFW 91-80
+6.5
13
@TOL
TOLL 85-101
−13.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
+14.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
−21.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
+5.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+12.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−8.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
+18.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−16.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
−2.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+11.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+20.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 58-68
−27.5
30
@CMU
CMUW 80-64
−7.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 68-67
−15.5
6
vsMASS
MASSW 86-83
+8.5
10
vsBUF
BUFW 91-80
+14.5
13
@TOL
TOLL 85-101
+24.5
over 9under 7avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ball State
15 games played
Straight up
2-13
13% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UL | W 75-64 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 11 | @ WIS | L 55-86 | +26.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | vs LR | L 62-68 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 22 | @ INST | L 52-70 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 28 | vs MONM | L 73-80 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 29 | @ LAF | L 37-55 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs LEM | W 96-85 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 3 | @ EVAN | L 52-64 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 9 | vs SDST | L 64-68 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ CAM | L 64-69 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | vs M-OH | L 77-86 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @BUF | L 72-85 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 6 | vsEMU | L 52-74 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 137.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | @MASS | L 71-79 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 13 | @ AKR | L 77-87 | +20.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
+6.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−4.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−8.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−10.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
−4.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−19.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+12.5
3
@EVAN
EVANL 52-64
−5.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTL 64-68
+1.5
14
@CAM
CAML 64-69
+3.5
20
vsM-OH
M-OHL 77-86
−1.5
3
@BUF
BUFL 72-85
−6.5
6
vsEMU
EMUL 52-74
−23.5
10
@MASS
MASSL 71-79
+2.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 77-87
+10.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
−2.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−15.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−16.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−32.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
+16.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−48.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+40.5
3
@EVAN
EVANL 52-64
−20.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTL 64-68
−10.5
14
@CAM
CAML 64-69
−12.5
20
vsM-OH
M-OHL 77-86
+15.5
3
@BUF
BUFL 72-85
+11.5
6
vsEMU
EMUL 52-74
−11.5
10
@MASS
MASSL 71-79
+2.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 77-87
+11.5
over 6under 9avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ohio
8-8 overall · 4-2 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Toledo85–101
- Wvs Buffalo91–80
- Wvs UMass86–83
- W@ E Michigan68–67
- W@ C Michigan80–64
3 days since their last game.
Ball State
2-13 overall · 0-5 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Akron77–87
- L@ UMass71–79
- Lvs E Michigan52–74
- L@ Buffalo72–85
- Lvs Miami OH77–86
3 days since their last game.