Mullins Center · at UMass · Conference game
Closing line
MASS -10.5✓ BALL covered by 2.5
Closing total147.5Over by 2.5
| This season | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-11 | Record | 8-7 |
| 4-9 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 4-9 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BALL 69–79 MASS · ✓ MASS (82%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 25 | 46 | 71 |
| MASS | 28 | 51 | 79 |
1st half: BALL 25, MASS 28 (MASS by 3). The model had MASS by 6.1 and a total of 69.3 (actual 53).
Team stats
| BALL | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-56 45% | Field goals | 25-52 48% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 13-18 72% | Free throws | 20-29 69% |
| 28 6 off | Rebounds | 36 9 off |
| 15 | Assists | 19 |
| 10 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| BALL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler G | 39 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 3-14 | 0-3 |
| Mason Jones F | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Elmore James IV G | 32 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Preston Copeland F | 27 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Devon Barnes G | 18 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davion Hill G | 28 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 9-13 | 4-7 |
| Cam Denson F | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Kody Clancy G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jai Anthoni Bearden, Juwan Maxey, Zane Doughty, Easton Foster, Joey Hart, Alex Farley, Kayden Fish
| MASS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonardo Bettiol F | 34 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Hankins-Sanford F | 33 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Marcus Banks Jr. G | 30 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5-12 | 5-10 |
| Jayden Ndjigue G | 27 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Danny Carbuccia G | 27 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| K'Jei Parker G | 20 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Isaiah Placide G | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luka Damjanac F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Donovan Brown G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Dimitri Clerc F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Engel, Rollie Castineyra, Bilal Osman, CJ Outlaw
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMASS -10.5
no move
CloseMASS -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
no move
Close147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
BALL +470 · MASS -650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MASS -10.5 · unchangedmodel MASS -10.5 matches the line
model MASS -10.5 = line ✓
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MASS -10.5 | MASS -10.4 | BALL +0.1 | W BALL covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 148.1 | Over 0.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | BALL 68.8 · MASS 79.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MASS -6.1 | MASS -3.0 |
| 1H total | 69.3 | 53 |
| 1H projected score | BALL 31.6 · MASS 37.7 | BALL 25 · MASS 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | |
| 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BALL 1–0 MASSBALL leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · BALL 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021-22 | BALL 89 vs MASS 86 | MASS -7.5 | BALL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ball State
13 games played
Straight up
2-11
15% wins
Against the spread
4-9
31% covers · avg −4.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-9
31% overs · avg −6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 75-64 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 55-86 | +26.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 62-68 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 22 | @ | L 52-70 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 73-80 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 29 | @ | L 37-55 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs | W 96-85 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 52-64 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 9 | vs | L 64-68 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ | L 64-69 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 77-86 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 72-85 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 6 | vs | L 52-74 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 137.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UL
W 75-64
+6.5
11
@
WIS
L 55-86
−4.5
15
vs
LR
L 62-68
−8.5
22
@
INST
L 52-70
−10.5
28
vs
MONM
L 73-80
−4.5
29
@
LAF
L 37-55
−19.5
30
vs
LEM
W 96-85
+12.5
3
@
EVAN
L 52-64
−5.5
9
vs
SDST
L 64-68
+1.5
14
@
CAM
L 64-69
+3.5
20
vs
M-OH
L 77-86
−1.5
3
@
BUF
L 72-85
−6.5
6
vs
EMU
L 52-74
−23.5
covered 4didn’t cover 9avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
UL
W 75-64
−2.5
11
@
WIS
L 55-86
−15.5
15
vs
LR
L 62-68
−16.5
22
@
INST
L 52-70
−32.5
28
vs
MONM
L 73-80
+16.5
29
@
LAF
L 37-55
−48.5
30
vs
LEM
W 96-85
+40.5
3
@
EVAN
L 52-64
−20.5
9
vs
SDST
L 64-68
−10.5
14
@
CAM
L 64-69
−12.5
20
vs
M-OH
L 77-86
+15.5
3
@
BUF
L 72-85
+11.5
6
vs
EMU
L 52-74
−11.5
over 4under 9avg −6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMass
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | L 72-78 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 83-62 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 13 | vs | W 94-80 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 16 | vs | W 84-77 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 65-69 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 75-79 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 78-71 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 80-60 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 103-95 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 59-69 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 30 | @ | L 74-80 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 100-101 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 6 | @ | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MRSH
L 72-78
−10.5
8
vs
UALB
W 83-62
+11.5
13
vs
LEM
W 94-80
−2.5
16
vs
CCSU
W 84-77
−5.5
21
vs
COFC
L 65-69
−0.5
22
vs
GB
L 75-79
−9.5
24
vs
ORST
W 73-65
+11.5
3
vs
HARV
W 78-71
+1.5
6
vs
UML
W 80-60
+8.5
10
vs
BC
W 76-74
+3.5
13
vs
FSU
W 103-95
+20.5
20
vs
KENT
L 59-69
−8.5
30
@
EMU
L 74-80
−8.5
3
vs
BGSU
L 100-101
+0.5
6
@
OHIO
L 83-86
+1.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
MRSH
L 72-78
−2.5
8
vs
UALB
W 83-62
−10.5
13
vs
LEM
W 94-80
+20.5
16
vs
CCSU
W 84-77
+16.5
21
vs
COFC
L 65-69
−27.5
22
vs
GB
L 75-79
+7.5
24
vs
ORST
W 73-65
−11.5
3
vs
HARV
W 78-71
+5.5
6
vs
UML
W 80-60
−15.5
10
vs
BC
W 76-74
+6.5
13
vs
FSU
W 103-95
+32.5
20
vs
KENT
L 59-69
−35.5
30
@
EMU
L 74-80
+5.5
3
vs
BGSU
L 100-101
+48.5
6
@
OHIO
L 83-86
+8.5
over 9under 6avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ball State
2-11 overall · 0-3 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs E Michigan52–74
- L@ Buffalo72–85
- Lvs Miami OH77–86
- L@ Campbell64–69
- Lvs S Dakota St64–68
4 days since their last game.
UMass
8-7 overall · 0-4 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Ohio83–86
- Lvs Bowling Green100–101
- L@ E Michigan74–80
- Lvs Kent State59–69
- Wvs Florida St103–95
4 days since their last game.