University Arena (MI) · at W Michigan
Closing line
WMU -5.5✓ WMU covered by 8.5
WMU -5.5✓ WMU covered by 8.5Closing total150.5Over by 11.5
 USI | This season | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 3-4 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USI 72–79 WMU · ✓ WMU (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USI | 27 | 47 | 74 |
| WMU | 47 | 41 | 88 |
1st half: USI 27, WMU 47 (WMU by 20). The model had WMU by 3.6 and a total of 70.5 (actual 74).
Team stats
| USI | WMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-55 42% | Field goals | 35-64 55% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 18-36 50% | Free throws | 8-12 67% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 41 5 off |
| 8 | Assists | 18 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 24 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| USI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Brown G | 37 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-9 | 2-6 |
| Ismail Habib G | 35 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 8-19 | 4-6 |
| Tolu Samuels F | 28 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ola Ajiboye F | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Steven Clay G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cardell Bailey G | 31 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 9-15 | 3-7 |
| Sheridan Sharp G | 17 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Devin Curtis F | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Ben Ezeagu F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alem Fejzic G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Braxton Jones, Trey Thomas, Cayden Gehlhausen, Josiah Dunham, Amaree Brown
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Brewer G | 31 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 10-14 | 3-4 |
| EJ Ryans G | 30 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Max Burton F | 29 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Brady Swartz G | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Griffith G | 21 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey Lewis G | 23 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Hudson Ward F | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Carson Vis G | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Declan Peterson C | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nicholas Errica G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Michael Sulaka F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Junior Sileu, Sharod Barnes, Camden Thompson, Justice Williams
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWMU -6.5
1 → USI
CloseWMU -5.5
1 pt toward USI
Total
Open154.5
▼ 4
Close150.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
USI +195 · WMU -238
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WMU -6.5 · closed WMU -5.5 · moved 1 toward USImodel WMU -6.5
model WMU -6.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 4 downmodel 150.5 matches the line
model 150.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WMU -5.5 | WMU -6.3 | WMU +0.8 | W WMU covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 150.7 | Over 0.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | USI 72.2 · WMU 78.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WMU -3.6 | WMU -20.0 |
| 1H total | 70.5 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | USI 33.5 · WMU 37.1 | USI 27 · WMU 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USIlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% |
| WMUlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
@
BTLR
BTLRL 58-88
−7.5
7
vs
VMI
VMIL 74-78
−1.5
12
@
SDAK
SDAKL 74-89
−7.5
20
vs
UIW
UIWL 81-87
+3.5
22
vs
UIC
UICL 73-84
+0.5
26
@
VAL
VALW 64-56
+17.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
@BTLR
BTLRL 58-88
−10.5
7
vsVMI
VMIL 74-78
−1.5
12
@SDAK
SDAKL 74-89
−1.5
20
vsUIW
UIWL 81-87
+22.5
22
vsUIC
UICL 73-84
+3.5
26
@VAL
VALW 64-56
−30.5
over 2under 4avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Michigan
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@
CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vs
PFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@
OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
23
vs
MSM
MSMW 83-60
+21.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−24.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
−7.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−7.5
over 2under 5avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
1-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Valparaiso64–56
- Lvs UIC73–84
- Lvs Incarnate Word81–87
- L@ South Dakota74–89
- Lvs VMI74–78
A week or more of rest.
W Michigan
3-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Valparaiso55–84
- Wvs Mount St Marys83–60
- L@ Ohio State58–91
- L@ South Dakota78–83
- Wvs Purdue FW83–71
4 days since their last game.