Atlantic Union Bank Center · at James Madison
Closing line
JMU -14.5✓ NCCU covered by 9.5
JMU -14.5✓ NCCU covered by 9.5Closing total143.5Under by 14.5
 NCCU | This season | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-6 | Record | 4-4 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 3-5 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 7-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NCCU 68–82 JMU · ✓ JMU (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCU | 24 | 38 | 62 |
| JMU | 35 | 32 | 67 |
1st half: NCCU 24, JMU 35 (JMU by 11). The model had JMU by 7.9 and a total of 70.3 (actual 59).
Team stats
| NCCU | JMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-53 42% | Field goals | 18-52 35% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 22-32 69% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 11 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| NCCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Lattimore G | 40 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 10-24 | 5-13 |
| Dionte Johnson G | 37 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Tekao Carpenter G | 31 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Jonathan Dunn F | 24 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Khouri Carvey F | 17 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kelechi Okworogwo F | 35 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Kyric Davis G | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jae Slack F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Archey G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ramondo Battle II, Camren Daniels, Justin Edwards, Gbenga Olubi, Caleb Ellison, Khalil Arnold
| JMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin McBride F | 34 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Eddie Ricks III F | 34 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Cliff Davis G | 33 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 4-8 |
| Paul Lewis G | 25 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Gabe Newhof F | 17 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Wilborn F | 16 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Paul Jones III G | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Preston Fowler F | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Christian Brown F | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-1 |
| Kose Egbule G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ike Cornish, Chance Lundy, Josh Stephen, Bradley Douglas, Justin Taylor
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJMU -15.5
1 → NCCU
CloseJMU -14.5
1 pt toward NCCU
Total
Open149.5
▼ 6
Close143.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
NCCU +900 · JMU -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JMU -15.5 · closed JMU -14.5 · moved 1 toward NCCUmodel JMU -13.5
model JMU -13.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 6 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | JMU -14.5 | JMU -13.4 | NCCU +1.1 | W NCCU covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 150.0 | Over 6.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | NCCU 68.3 · JMU 81.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | JMU -7.9 | JMU -11.0 |
| 1H total | 70.3 | 59 |
| 1H projected score | NCCU 31.2 · JMU 39.1 | NCCU 24 · JMU 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCUlast 6 | 0-6 0% | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% |
| JMUlast 8 | 4-4 50% | 3-5 38% | 7-1 88% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NC Central
6 games played
Straight up
0-6
0% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
−16.5
7
@
UVA
UVAL 62-81
+15.5
9
@
APP
APPL 54-76
−11.5
14
@
UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@
DAY
DAYL 55-74
+10.5
25
@
UPST
UPSTL 67-82
−7.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
+34.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
−8.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−6.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
−17.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
+0.5
over 2under 4avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
James Madison
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-1
88% overs · avg +8.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ AKR | L 71-85 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 9 | vs COPP | W 84-70 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ LONG | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | @ LIU | L 79-88 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 18 | vs TOW | W 81-75 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ FIU | W 80-72 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs OMA | W 88-77 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 29 | @ GMU | L 66-82 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
−5.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
−4.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
−11.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
−5.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+9.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
+10.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+9.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
−3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
+12.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
+4.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
+19.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+15.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
−3.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+12.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
+6.5
over 7under 1avg +8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NC Central
0-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ SC Upstate67–82
- L@ Dayton55–74
- L@ North Carolina53–97
- L@ App State54–76
- L@ Virginia62–81
A week or more of rest.
James Madison
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ George Mason66–82
- Wvs Omaha88–77
- W@ FIU80–72
- Wvs Towson81–75
- L@ Long Island79–88
4 days since their last game.