Atlantic Union Bank Center · at James Madison · Conference game
Closing line
JMU -5.5✓ JMU covered by 19.5
JMU -5.5✓ JMU covered by 19.5Closing total143.5Under by 4.5
 TXST | This season | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-10 | Record | 8-11 |
| 7-12 | ATS | 5-14 |
| 12-7 | O/U | 11-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TXST 72–75 JMU · ✓ JMU (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | 28 | 29 | 57 |
| JMU | 47 | 35 | 82 |
1st half: TXST 28, JMU 47 (JMU by 19). The model had JMU by 1.8 and a total of 68.6 (actual 75).
Team stats
| TXST | JMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-57 33% | Field goals | 30-57 53% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 14-32 44% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 8-11 73% |
| 28 11 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 9 | Assists | 20 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| TXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs G | 40 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| Mark Drone G | 38 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 5-19 | 1-6 |
| DJ Hall F | 34 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 6-12 | 0-0 |
| Kyndall Davis G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tay Knox C | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Robert Fields C | 25 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Bolden G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Franck Emmou G | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jaelyn Lee G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Makai Willis C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cameron Simpson, Isaiah Barganier, Ky Pernell, Dimp Pernell, Deke Thompson
| JMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Fowler F | 29 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Cliff Davis G | 25 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 6-9 | 6-9 |
| Justin McBride F | 24 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 7-9 | 3-3 |
| Gabe Newhof F | 18 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Kose Egbule G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bradley Douglas G | 26 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 4-12 | 2-8 |
| Eddie Ricks III F | 21 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Christian Brown F | 17 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Ike Cornish G | 15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Elijah Wilborn F | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Justin Taylor G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Paul Jones III G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Chance Lundy, Josh Stephen, Paul Lewis
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJMU -4.5
1 → JMU
CloseJMU -5.5
1 pt toward JMU
Total
Open144.5
▼ 1
Close143.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
TXST +180 · JMU -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JMU -4.5 · closed JMU -5.5 · moved 1 toward JMUmodel JMU -3
model JMU -3
Opened 144.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 downmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | JMU -5.5 | JMU -3.2 | TXST +2.3 | L JMU covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 146.5 | Over 3.0 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | TXST 71.6 · JMU 74.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | JMU -1.8 | JMU -19.0 |
| 1H total | 68.6 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | TXST 33.4 · JMU 35.2 | TXST 28 · JMU 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% | 8-2 80% |
| JMU | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TXST 2–2 JMUSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · TXST 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024-25 | JMU 93 @ TXST 102 | TXST +1.5 | TXST W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | TXST 68 vs JMU 73 | JMU -12.5 | TXST W |
| Dec 30, 2023-24 | TXST 65 @ JMU 82 | JMU -11.5 | JMU W |
| Jan 5, 2022-23 | TXST 63 @ JMU 62 | JMU -11.5 | TXST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas St
19 games played
Straight up
9-10
47% wins
Against the spread
7-12
37% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-7
63% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BGSU | L 48-83 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 8 | @ TULN | L 71-79 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTSA | W 80-69 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | vs TXSO | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 18 | vs ACU | W 63-49 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | U 112 |
| Nov 21 | vs LR | W 65-56 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs SEA | L 52-66 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs LEH | L 74-78 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ RICE | L 72-77 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 133.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs SOU | W 86-83 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 17 | vs ARST | L 70-89 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs USA | W 67-65 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @ TROY | L 80-100 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ ULM | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ USM | L 70-80 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ARST | L 82-83 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 14 | vs UL | W 59-54 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 17 | vsUSM | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 22 | @ CCU | L 70-72 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−29.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+4.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+8.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
+5.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
+12.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
+3.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−6.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
−10.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
−1.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
−0.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
−14.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−1.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
−11.5
3
@ULM
ULMW 84-79
−5.5
8
@USM
USML 70-80
−7.5
10
@ARST
ARSTL 82-83
+10.5
14
vsUL
ULW 59-54
−3.5
17
vsUSM
USMW 74-67
+4.5
22
@CCU
CCUL 70-72
−0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 12avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−15.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+3.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+1.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
−0.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
−26.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
−10.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−18.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
+16.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
+15.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
+26.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
+7.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−4.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
+34.5
3
@ULM
ULMW 84-79
+12.5
8
@USM
USML 70-80
+5.5
10
@ARST
ARSTL 82-83
+8.5
14
vsUL
ULW 59-54
−20.5
17
vsUSM
USMW 74-67
+0.5
22
@CCU
CCUL 70-72
+1.5
over 12under 7avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
James Madison
19 games played
Straight up
8-11
42% wins
Against the spread
5-14
26% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg +5.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ AKR | L 71-85 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 9 | vs COPP | W 84-70 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ LONG | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | @ LIU | L 79-88 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 18 | vs TOW | W 81-75 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ FIU | W 80-72 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs OMA | W 88-77 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 29 | @ GMU | L 66-82 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCCU | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vs NORF | W 68-67 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 17 | @ ODU | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | @ GASO | L 92-96 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 29 | @ ARK | L 74-103 | +23.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | @ARST | W 78-74 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vs MRSH | L 64-66 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsODU | W 70-69 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 15 | @ APP | L 65-80 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | @MRSH | L 72-77 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 22 | vsUSA | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
−5.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
−4.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
−11.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
−5.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+9.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
+10.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+9.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
−3.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−9.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−9.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−11.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
−1.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
−5.5
3
@ARST
ARSTW 78-74
+14.5
7
vsMRSH
MRSHL 64-66
−3.5
10
vsODU
ODUW 70-69
−5.5
15
@APP
APPL 65-80
−12.5
17
@MRSH
MRSHL 72-77
+1.5
22
vsUSA
USAL 83-90
−11.5
covered 5didn’t cover 14avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
+12.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
+4.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
+19.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+15.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
−3.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+12.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
+6.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−14.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−3.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−3.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
+34.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
+17.5
3
@ARST
ARSTW 78-74
−6.5
7
vsMRSH
MRSHL 64-66
−22.5
10
vsODU
ODUW 70-69
−8.5
15
@APP
APPL 65-80
+11.5
17
@MRSH
MRSHL 72-77
−0.5
22
vsUSA
USAL 83-90
+34.5
over 11under 8avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas St
9-10 overall · 4-5 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Coastal70–72
- Wvs Southern Miss74–67
- Wvs Louisiana59–54
- L@ Arkansas St82–83
- L@ Southern Miss70–80
2 days since their last game.
James Madison
8-11 overall · 2-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs South Alabama83–90
- L@ Marshall72–77
- L@ App State65–80
- Wvs Old Dominion70–69
- Lvs Marshall64–66
2 days since their last game.