Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · at UMBC · Conference game
Closing line
UMBC -2.5✓ UMBC covered by 20.5
UMBC -2.5✓ UMBC covered by 20.5Closing total151.5Under by 16.5
 UML | This season | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| 5-12 | Record | 9-7 |
| 8-9 | ATS | 7-9 |
| 8-9 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UML 74–79 UMBC · ✓ UMBC (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UML | 35 | 21 | 56 |
| UMBC | 46 | 33 | 79 |
1st half: UML 35, UMBC 46 (UMBC by 11). The model had UMBC by 2.7 and a total of 71.9 (actual 81).
Team stats
| UML | UMBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-62 37% | Field goals | 27-55 49% |
| 4-24 17% | 3-pointers | 6-16 38% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 19-20 95% |
| 31 10 off | Rebounds | 35 6 off |
| 6 | Assists | 7 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| UML | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Spencer G | 36 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-11 | 1-5 |
| Darrel Yepdo G | 31 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Shawn Simmons II F | 27 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Austin Green F | 25 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Angel Montas Jr. G | 23 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khalil Farmer G | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Victor Okojie F | 15 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| JJ Massaquoi F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Jared Frey G | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Keenan Bey F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Walter G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kris Johnson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jerrell Roberson II
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jah'Likai King G | 34 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 34 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 7-12 | 5-8 |
| Ace Valentine G | 33 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 21 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Daylon Dickerson F | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Cougar Downing G | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Paul Greene F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jake Stout F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tim Eze F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Saahil Thakkar, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -3.5
1 → UML
CloseUMBC -2.5
1 pt toward UML
Total
Open149.5
▲ 2
Close151.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UML +120 · UMBC -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -3.5 · closed UMBC -2.5 · moved 1 toward UMLmodel UMBC -5
model UMBC -5
Opened 149.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 2 upmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UMBC -2.5 | UMBC -4.8 | UMBC +2.3 | W UMBC covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 153.5 | Over 2.0 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UML 74.4 · UMBC 79.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UMBC -2.7 | UMBC -11.0 |
| 1H total | 71.9 | 81 |
| 1H projected score | UML 34.6 · UMBC 37.3 | UML 35 · UMBC 46 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UML | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| UMBC | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UML 9–1 UMBCUML leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UML has won the last 7 meetings · UML 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | UMBC 79 @ UML 98 | UML -5.5 | UML W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | UML 83 @ UMBC 67 | UMBC +2.5 | UML W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | UMBC 89 @ UML 94 | UML -7.5 | UMBC W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | UML 93 @ UMBC 80 | UMBC +7.5 | UML W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | UMBC 82 @ UML 86 | UML -14.5 | UMBC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMass Lowell
17 games played
Straight up
5-12
29% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-9
47% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ CONN | L 47-110 | +36.5 | L −26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs NHVN | L 67-73 | -10.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 13 | @ COLU | L 72-86 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | @ WAKE | L 75-109 | +30.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 19 | @ BRAD | L 77-87 | +21.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | @ SPU | L 66-68 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 26 | @ STO | W 75-64 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ MASS | L 60-80 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ QUIN | L 71-75 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs SHU | W 87-82 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | @ BU | L 76-88 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @ IOWA | L 62-90 | +33.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs UALB | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 8 | @ BRY | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | @ BING | W 73-68 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 15 | vs NJIT | L 64-73 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 22 | vs UVM | L 68-77 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
−26.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−16.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
−0.5
16
@WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
−3.5
19
@BRAD
BRADL 77-87
+11.5
22
@SPU
SPUL 66-68
+6.5
26
@STO
STOW 75-64
+13.5
6
@MASS
MASSL 60-80
−8.5
13
@QUIN
QUINL 71-75
+8.5
16
vsSHU
SHUW 87-82
+7.5
21
@BU
BUL 76-88
−6.5
29
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-90
+5.5
3
vsUALB
UALBW 83-71
+9.5
8
@BRY
BRYW 77-63
+16.5
10
@BING
BINGW 73-68
−1.5
15
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-73
−17.5
22
vsUVM
UVML 68-77
−4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
+5.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−2.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
+1.5
16
@WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
+18.5
19
@BRAD
BRADL 77-87
+14.5
22
@SPU
SPUL 66-68
−13.5
26
@STO
STOW 75-64
−9.5
6
@MASS
MASSL 60-80
−15.5
13
@QUIN
QUINL 71-75
−7.5
16
vsSHU
SHUW 87-82
+17.5
21
@BU
BUL 76-88
+18.5
29
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-90
+6.5
3
vsUALB
UALBW 83-71
+3.5
8
@BRY
BRYW 77-63
−3.5
10
@BING
BINGW 73-68
−5.5
15
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-73
−8.5
22
vsUVM
UVML 68-77
−0.5
over 8under 9avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMBC
16 games played
Straight up
9-7
56% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vs ME | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNH | W 75-74 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 15 | @BRY | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 19 | @BING | W 78-60 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 22 | vsNJIT | W 87-74 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−0.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
−5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
−6.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
+13.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−2.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
+5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
+17.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
−2.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+17.5
over 8under 8avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMass Lowell
5-12 overall · 3-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Vermont68–77
- Lvs NJIT64–73
- W@ Binghamton73–68
- W@ Bryant77–63
- Wvs UAlbany83–71
2 days since their last game.
UMBC
9-7 overall · 4-1 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NJIT87–74
- W@ Binghamton78–60
- L@ Bryant74–79
- Wvs New Hampshire75–74
- Wvs Maine69–62
2 days since their last game.