Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · at UMBC · Conference game
Closing line
UMBC -6.5✓ UMBC covered by 6.5
Closing total143.5Over by 17.5
| This season | UMBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-11 | Record | 8-7 |
| 11-8 | ATS | 6-9 |
| 9-10 | O/U | 7-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NJIT 69–76 UMBC · ✓ UMBC (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NJIT | 28 | 46 | 74 |
| UMBC | 47 | 40 | 87 |
1st half: NJIT 28, UMBC 47 (UMBC by 19). The model had UMBC by 4.1 and a total of 68.0 (actual 75).
Team stats
| NJIT | UMBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-64 44% | Field goals | 29-56 52% |
| 6-20 30% | 3-pointers | 6-20 30% |
| 12-23 52% | Free throws | 23-30 77% |
| 40 15 off | Rebounds | 34 6 off |
| 7 | Assists | 9 |
| 2 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| NJIT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Robinson G | 32 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 8-17 | 1-2 |
| David Bolden G | 32 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Ari Fulton G | 30 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Melvyn Ebonkoli F | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Rogers F | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Kelly F | 27 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Rocco Awad G | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Quentin Duncan G | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Malachi Arrington F | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jeffrey Akintolu F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Piggee G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeremy Clayville, Stefan Jimenez-Vojnic, AJ Altobelli, Zack Scherler
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine G | 36 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 7-10 | 1-3 |
| Jah'Likai King G | 35 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 34 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 26 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 24 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6-12 | 0-2 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 11 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Daylon Dickerson F | 11 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Cougar Downing G | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Paul Greene F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tim Eze, Jake Stout, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser, Saahil Thakkar
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -8.5
2 → NJIT
CloseUMBC -6.5
2 pts toward NJIT
Total
Open141.5
▲ 2
Close143.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
NJIT +240 · UMBC -298
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -8.5 · closed UMBC -6.5 · moved 2 toward NJITmodel UMBC -7
model UMBC -7
Opened 141.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 2 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UMBC -6.5 | UMBC -7.0 | UMBC +0.5 | W UMBC covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 145.1 | Over 1.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NJIT 69 · UMBC 76.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UMBC -4.1 | UMBC -19.0 |
| 1H total | 68.0 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | NJIT 32 · UMBC 36 | NJIT 28 · UMBC 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | |
| 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
NJIT 2–6 UMBCUMBC leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UMBC has won the last 3 meetings · NJIT 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | NJIT 91 @ UMBC 95 | UMBC -7.5 | NJIT W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | UMBC 87 @ NJIT 64 | NJIT +8.5 | UMBC W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | UMBC 79 @ NJIT 60 | NJIT +2.5 | UMBC W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | NJIT 75 @ UMBC 74 | UMBC -5.5 | NJIT W |
| Feb 8, 2022-23 | NJIT 63 @ UMBC 72 | UMBC -9.5 | NJIT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NJIT
19 games played
Straight up
8-11
42% wins
Against the spread
11-8
58% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | W 72-61 | +14.5 | W +25.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | vs | L 53-74 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 66-64 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 93-81 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 43-75 | +13.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 22 | @ | L 70-86 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ | L 67-94 | +34.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | @ | L 47-104 | +44.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 28 | @ | L 55-73 | +14.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 5 | @ | L 72-89 | +28.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 70-64 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | O 134 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 49-65 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 52-101 | +32.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 31 | @ | L 61-80 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 80-76 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 130.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 15 | @ | W 73-64 | +8.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 19 | vs | W 79-55 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 132.5 | O 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
FOR
W 72-61
+25.5
8
vs
FAIR
L 53-74
−14.5
11
@
L-MD
W 66-64
+12.5
15
vs
FDU
W 93-81
+9.5
18
@
DREX
L 43-75
−18.5
22
@
NAVY
L 70-86
+1.5
24
@
CIN
L 67-94
+7.5
26
@
LOU
L 47-104
−12.5
28
@
EMU
L 55-73
−3.5
5
@
HPU
L 72-89
+11.5
10
vs
NHVN
W 70-64
+8.5
13
vs
SHU
L 49-65
−9.5
22
@
BTLR
L 52-101
−16.5
31
@
PENN
L 61-80
−4.5
3
@
BING
W 73-65
+11.5
8
vs
UNH
W 80-76
+6.5
10
vs
ME
L 70-74
−5.5
15
@
UML
W 73-64
+17.5
19
vs
BRY
W 79-55
+22.5
covered 11didn’t cover 8avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
FOR
W 72-61
−14.5
8
vs
FAIR
L 53-74
−18.5
11
@
L-MD
W 66-64
−9.5
15
vs
FDU
W 93-81
+27.5
18
@
DREX
L 43-75
−20.5
22
@
NAVY
L 70-86
+15.5
24
@
CIN
L 67-94
+19.5
26
@
LOU
L 47-104
−7.5
28
@
EMU
L 55-73
−13.5
5
@
HPU
L 72-89
+5.5
10
vs
NHVN
W 70-64
+3.5
13
vs
SHU
L 49-65
−37.5
22
@
BTLR
L 52-101
+3.5
31
@
PENN
L 61-80
−10.5
3
@
BING
W 73-65
−2.5
8
vs
UNH
W 80-76
+18.5
10
vs
ME
L 70-74
+13.5
15
@
UML
W 73-64
−8.5
19
vs
BRY
W 79-55
+1.5
over 9under 10avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMBC
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 75-74 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 19 | @ | W 78-60 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
DAY
L 71-77
+19.5
11
@
MORG
W 81-79
−2.5
16
vs
WAG
W 71-70
−5.5
19
@
GW
L 52-89
−14.5
29
vs
DSU
W 71-57
+0.5
3
@
GTWN
L 81-90
+10.5
6
@
BUCK
W 73-66
+8.5
9
vs
BUF
L 79-83
−0.5
12
vs
ARMY
L 60-63
−10.5
21
@
USF
L 69-94
−2.5
29
@
COPP
W 93-59
+23.5
8
vs
ME
W 69-62
−0.5
10
vs
UNH
W 75-74
−5.5
15
@
BRY
L 74-79
−6.5
19
@
BING
W 78-60
+13.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
DAY
L 71-77
−6.5
11
@
MORG
W 81-79
−2.5
16
vs
WAG
W 71-70
+0.5
19
@
GW
L 52-89
−19.5
29
vs
DSU
W 71-57
−10.5
3
@
GTWN
L 81-90
+21.5
6
@
BUCK
W 73-66
−4.5
9
vs
BUF
L 79-83
+16.5
12
vs
ARMY
L 60-63
−23.5
21
@
USF
L 69-94
+2.5
29
@
COPP
W 93-59
+3.5
8
vs
ME
W 69-62
−2.5
10
vs
UNH
W 75-74
+5.5
15
@
BRY
L 74-79
+17.5
19
@
BING
W 78-60
−2.5
over 7under 8avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NJIT
8-11 overall · 4-1 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bryant79–55
- W@ UMass Lowell73–64
- Lvs Maine70–74
- Wvs New Hampshire80–76
- W@ Binghamton73–65
3 days since their last game.
UMBC
8-7 overall · 3-1 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Binghamton78–60
- L@ Bryant74–79
- Wvs New Hampshire75–74
- Wvs Maine69–62
- W@ Coppin St93–59
3 days since their last game.