New Haven Chargers at NJIT Highlanders: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Dec 10, 7:00 PM ETJoel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center · at NJIT

#355NHVNNew Haven64final

Final

#316NJITNJIT70▲ winner

Closing lineNHVN -2.5✓ NJIT covered by 8.5

Closing total130.5Over by 3.5

Season records: New Haven and NJIT
NHVN	This season	NJIT
2-5	Record	3-7
5-2	ATS	6-4
1-6	O/U	4-6

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: NHVN 67–66 NJIT · ✗ NHVN (54%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
NHVN	33	31	64
NJIT	36	34	70

1st half: NHVN 33, NJIT 36 (NJIT by 3). The model had NHVN by 0.8 and a total of 62.4 (actual 69).

Team stats

NHVN		NJIT
25-65 38%	Field goals	21-47 45%
3-17 18%	3-pointers	6-24 25%
11-19 58%	Free throws	22-31 71%
41 15 off	Rebounds	35 6 off
8	Assists	11
8	Steals	2
1	Blocks	4
7	Turnovers	11
20	Fouls	17
42	Points in paint	24
6	Fast-break points	8

Players

NHVN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jabri Fitzpatrick G	38	20	10	1	7-20	1-7
Stefano Faloppa F	37	13	4	1	5-10	0-1
Najimi George G	36	12	5	0	5-14	2-6
Kheni Briggs G	21	0	4	4	0-1	0-1
Andre Pasha F	10	6	2	0	3-6	0-0
Bench
Tristan Burth C	24	5	4	0	1-3	0-0
Maison Adeleye G	12	2	3	1	1-5	0-1
Teshaun Steele F	10	4	4	1	2-3	0-0
Vere Anthony G	8	2	1	0	1-2	0-1
Zoumana Traore F	4	0	2	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Kyle Kearson, Matiss Ogle, John Oladipo, Timothy Coleman, Nathan Narcisse, Owen Hotaling, Dior Kennedy, Justice Hanna, Dominick LaDuca, Aidan Losiewicz, Jagger Bascombe

NJIT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ari Fulton G	34	13	10	0	4-8	1-5
David Bolden G	29	11	4	5	3-8	0-4
Jeremy Clayville G	28	12	0	3	5-10	2-6
Malachi Arrington F	24	6	3	0	3-3	0-0
Jordan Rogers F	23	9	3	2	2-3	1-2
Bench
John Kelly F	21	7	2	0	2-3	2-3
Quentin Duncan G	16	0	3	0	0-2	0-1
Sebastian Robinson G	16	12	2	1	2-6	0-1
Rocco Awad G	9	0	3	0	0-4	0-2

Did not play: Melvyn Ebonkoli, Zack Scherler, AJ Altobelli, Stefan Jimenez-Vojnic, Jeffrey Akintolu, Cameron Piggee

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	NHVN -2.5	NHVN -1.2	NJIT +1.3	W NJIT covered
Total	130.5	133.0	Over 2.5	W Over
Projected score	—	NHVN 67.1 · NJIT 65.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	NHVN -0.8	NJIT -3.0
1H total	62.4	69
1H projected score	NHVN 31.6 · NJIT 30.8	NHVN 33 · NJIT 36

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NHVN LWWWW	5-2	71%	4-0	1-0
NJIT WWLLW	6-4	60%	1-1	5-4

Venue/role: NHVN away, as favorite; NJIT home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
NHVN UUUUO	1-6	14%	2-5
NJIT OOUUO	4-6	40%	3-7

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NHVNlast 7	2-5 29%	5-2 71%	1-6 14%
NJIT	3-7 30%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

New Haven

7 games played

Straight up

2-5

29% wins

Against the spread

5-2

71% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-6

14% overs · avg −11.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-529%

L L L W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

5-271%

W L L W W W W

4 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

1-614%

U U U U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@CONN	L 55-79	+42.5	W +18.5	145.5	U 134
Nov 7	vsCOLU	L 53-71	+7.5	L −10.5	148.5	U 124
Nov 8	vsPSU	L 43-87	+18.5	L −25.5	143.5	U 130
Nov 10	@UML	W 73-67	+10.5	W +16.5	142.5	U 140
Nov 15	vsDSU	W 65-52	-1.5	W +11.5	130.5	U 117
Nov 18	@HALL	L 45-68	+25.5	W +2.5	129.5	U 113
Dec 6	@BC	L 63-67	+17.5	W +13.5	126.5	O 130

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

CONN

L 55-79

+18.5

COLU

L 53-71

−10.5

PSU

L 43-87

−25.5

UML

W 73-67

+16.5

DSU

W 65-52

+11.5

HALL

L 45-68

+2.5

L 63-67

+13.5

covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

CONN

L 55-79

−11.5

COLU

L 53-71

−24.5

PSU

L 43-87

−13.5

UML

W 73-67

−2.5

DSU

W 65-52

−13.5

HALL

L 45-68

−16.5

L 63-67

+3.5

over 1under 6avg −11.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

NJIT

10 games played

Straight up

3-7

30% wins

Against the spread

6-4

60% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-6

40% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-730%

W L W W L L L L L L

6 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

6-460%

W L W W L W W L L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

4-640%

U U U O U O O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@FOR	W 72-61	+14.5	W +25.5	147.5	U 133
Nov 8	vsFAIR	L 53-74	+6.5	L −14.5	145.5	U 127
Nov 11	@L-MD	W 66-64	+10.5	W +12.5	139.5	U 130
Nov 15	vsFDU	W 93-81	-2.5	W +9.5	146.5	O 174
Nov 18	@DREX	L 43-75	+13.5	L −18.5	138.5	U 118
Nov 22	@NAVY	L 70-86	+17.5	W +1.5	140.5	O 156
Nov 24	@CIN	L 67-94	+34.5	W +7.5	141.5	O 161
Nov 26	@LOU	L 47-104	+44.5	L −12.5	158.5	U 151
Nov 28	@EMU	L 55-73	+14.5	L −3.5	141.5	U 128
Dec 5	@HPU	L 72-89	+28.5	W +11.5	155.5	O 161

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

FOR

W 72-61

+25.5

FAIR

L 53-74

−14.5

L-MD

W 66-64

+12.5

FDU

W 93-81

+9.5

DREX

L 43-75

−18.5

NAVY

L 70-86

+1.5

CIN

L 67-94

+7.5

LOU

L 47-104

−12.5

EMU

L 55-73

−3.5

HPU

L 72-89

+11.5

covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

FOR

W 72-61

−14.5

FAIR

L 53-74

−18.5

L-MD

W 66-64

−9.5

FDU

W 93-81

+27.5

DREX

L 43-75

−20.5

NAVY

L 70-86

+15.5

CIN

L 67-94

+19.5

LOU

L 47-104

−7.5

EMU

L 55-73

−13.5

HPU

L 72-89

+5.5

over 4under 6avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

New Haven Chargers at NJIT Highlanders

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

New Haven

NJIT

New Haven

NJIT