Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · at UMBC · Conference game
Closing line
UMBC -7.5✓ ME covered by 0.5
UMBC -7.5✓ ME covered by 0.5Closing total133.5Under by 2.5
 ME | This season | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| 1-14 | Record | 5-6 |
| 5-10 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 5-10 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ME 63–72 UMBC · ✓ UMBC (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ME | 20 | 42 | 62 |
| UMBC | 32 | 37 | 69 |
1st half: ME 20, UMBC 32 (UMBC by 12). The model had UMBC by 5.0 and a total of 63.4 (actual 52).
Team stats
| ME | UMBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-59 44% | Field goals | 24-56 43% |
| 4-18 22% | 3-pointers | 4-10 40% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 32 8 off | Rebounds | 38 10 off |
| 6 | Assists | 7 |
| 4 | Steals | 2 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| ME | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Biel F | 36 | 27 | 10 | 0 | 11-18 | 2-6 |
| Ace Flagg F | 35 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Ryan Mabrey G | 34 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Logan Carey G | 28 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Amare Allen G | 18 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Crawford G | 24 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bashir N'Galang G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Yanis Bamba F | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Bonilla G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mekhi Gray, Joshua Ojuri, Emmitt Byther, Darius Lopes, Killian Gribben, Keelan Steele, John Shea
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jah'Likai King G | 36 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 4-13 | 2-4 |
| Ace Valentine G | 34 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 33 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 28 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 24 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 23 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Paul Greene F | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Daylon Dickerson F | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Cougar Downing G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Saahil Thakkar, Jake Stout, Tim Eze, Jose Roberto Tanchyn, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -8.5
1 → ME
CloseUMBC -7.5
1 pt toward ME
Total
Open133.5
no move
Close133.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ME +310 · UMBC -395
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -8.5 · closed UMBC -7.5 · moved 1 toward MEmodel UMBC -8.5
model UMBC -8.5
Opened 133.5 · unchangedmodel 135
model 135
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UMBC -7.5 | UMBC -8.6 | UMBC +1.1 | L ME covered |
| Total | 133.5 | 135.2 | Over 1.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ME 63.3 · UMBC 71.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UMBC -5.0 | UMBC -12.0 |
| 1H total | 63.4 | 52 |
| 1H projected score | ME 29.2 · UMBC 34.2 | ME 20 · UMBC 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ME | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
| UMBC | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
ME 4–4 UMBCSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · ME has won the last 3 meetings · ME 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | UMBC 50 @ ME 73 | ME -6.5 | ME W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | ME 87 @ UMBC 62 | UMBC -2.5 | ME W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | UMBC 56 @ ME 62 | ME -4.5 | ME W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | ME 65 @ UMBC 70 | UMBC +2.5 | UMBC W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | UMBC 49 @ ME 84 | ME +4.5 | ME W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Maine
15 games played
Straight up
1-14
7% wins
Against the spread
5-10
33% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-10
33% overs · avg −5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GW | L 47-67 | +20.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 8 | @ STBK | L 60-71 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 131.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 10 | @ RUTG | L 60-72 | +18.5 | W +6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 16 | vs QUIN | L 64-70 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ MRMK | L 65-72 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs BRWN | L 53-58 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 127.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 28 | @ AMER | L 61-74 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs LONG | L 61-65 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 30 | vs SIE | L 60-64 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 3 | @ OHIO | L 57-79 | +12.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ M-OH | L 61-93 | +17.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ BU | W 69-59 | +8.5 | W +18.5 | 128.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs CAN | L 43-70 | -6.5 | L −33.5 | 127.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 21 | @ DREX | L 56-74 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 129.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 3 | vs BRY | L 51-56 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 125.5 | U 107 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GW
GWL 47-67
+0.5
8
@STBK
STBKL 60-71
−7.5
10
@RUTG
RUTGL 60-72
+6.5
16
vsQUIN
QUINL 64-70
−2.5
19
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-72
−0.5
23
vsBRWN
BRWNL 53-58
−3.5
28
@AMER
AMERL 61-74
−5.5
29
vsLONG
LONGL 61-65
+1.5
30
vsSIE
SIEL 60-64
+5.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 57-79
−9.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-93
−14.5
10
@BU
BUW 69-59
+18.5
13
vsCAN
CANL 43-70
−33.5
21
@DREX
DREXL 56-74
−7.5
3
vsBRY
BRYL 51-56
−3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 10avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GW
GWL 47-67
−29.5
8
@STBK
STBKL 60-71
−0.5
10
@RUTG
RUTGL 60-72
+1.5
16
vsQUIN
QUINL 64-70
−3.5
19
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-72
+6.5
23
vsBRWN
BRWNL 53-58
−16.5
28
@AMER
AMERL 61-74
+1.5
29
vsLONG
LONGL 61-65
−12.5
30
vsSIE
SIEL 60-64
−3.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 57-79
−2.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-93
+14.5
10
@BU
BUW 69-59
−0.5
13
vsCAN
CANL 43-70
−14.5
21
@DREX
DREXL 56-74
+0.5
3
vsBRY
BRYL 51-56
−18.5
over 5under 10avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMBC
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
over 5under 6avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Maine
1-14 overall · 0-1 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Bryant51–56
- L@ Drexel56–74
- Lvs Canisius43–70
- W@ Boston U69–59
- L@ Miami OH61–93
5 days since their last game.
UMBC
5-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Coppin St93–59
- L@ South Florida69–94
- Lvs Army60–63
- Lvs Buffalo79–83
- W@ Bucknell73–66
A week or more of rest.