Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · at UMBC
Closing line
UMBC -7.5✓ ARMY covered by 10.5
UMBC -7.5✓ ARMY covered by 10.5Closing total146.5Under by 23.5
 ARMY | This season | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 4-4 |
| 6-3 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 6-3 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARMY 73–81 UMBC · ✗ UMBC (75%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARMY | 36 | 27 | 63 |
| UMBC | 30 | 30 | 60 |
1st half: ARMY 36, UMBC 30 (ARMY by 6). The model had UMBC by 4.5 and a total of 72.0 (actual 66).
Team stats
| ARMY | UMBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-57 35% | Field goals | 23-58 40% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 16-20 80% | Free throws | 6-16 38% |
| 43 10 off | Rebounds | 37 8 off |
| 8 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| ARMY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Curry G | 35 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Jacen Holloway F | 33 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Tate Laczkowski F | 24 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Kevin McCarthy G | 22 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jorn Everson F | 19 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaxson Bell G | 30 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| Jackson Furman G | 24 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-6 |
| Joshua Eli F | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jahaan Green, Dillon Watt, Dylan Benner, Nnaemeka Ikechi, Dylan Murans, Dayon Polk, Alex Engro, Brendon O'Keefe, Jackson Mayo, Chanse Perkins
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jah'Likai King G | 37 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5-14 | 1-3 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 35 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5-15 | 4-13 |
| Ace Valentine G | 33 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-4 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 27 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 24 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Daylon Dickerson F | 17 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cougar Downing G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Saahil Thakkar, Paul Greene, Jake Stout, Tim Eze, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUMBC -7.5
ModelUMBC -7.6
Model edgeUMBC +0.1
L ARMY covered
Total
Market146.5
Model153.8
Model edgeOver 7.3
L Under
Projected score
ARMY 73.1 · UMBC 80.7
ARMY 63 · UMBC 60
Win probability
UMBC 75%
1st half
Spread
UMBC -4.5
ARMY -6.0
Total
72.0
66 points
Projected score
ARMY 33.8 · UMBC 38.2
ARMY 36 · UMBC 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -7.5
no move
CloseUMBC -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 1
Close146.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ARMY +295 · UMBC -375
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -7.5 · unchangedmodel UMBC -7.5 matches the line
model UMBC -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 145.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARMYlast 9 | 2-7 22% | 6-3 67% | 6-3 67% |
| UMBClast 8 | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% | 3-5 38% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Army
9 games played
Straight up
2-7
22% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ STMN | L 76-83 | +18.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs DUKE | L 59-114 | +33.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs HARV | L 52-75 | +6.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 18 | @ COR | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 21 | @ MRST | L 65-76 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs ETAM | L 67-84 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 26 | @ FDU | W 81-73 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MAN | W 81-78 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs GW | L 70-84 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@STMN
STMNL 76-83
+11.5
11
vsDUKE
DUKEL 59-114
−21.5
15
vsHARV
HARVL 52-75
−16.5
18
@COR
CORL 73-86
+4.5
21
@MRST
MRSTL 65-76
+1.5
25
vsETAM
ETAML 67-84
−14.5
26
@FDU
FDUW 81-73
+12.5
29
vsMAN
MANW 81-78
+4.5
2
vsGW
GWL 70-84
+5.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@STMN
STMNL 76-83
+7.5
11
vsDUKE
DUKEL 59-114
+20.5
15
vsHARV
HARVL 52-75
−19.5
18
@COR
CORL 73-86
−5.5
21
@MRST
MRSTL 65-76
+8.5
25
vsETAM
ETAML 67-84
+7.5
26
@FDU
FDUW 81-73
+1.5
29
vsMAN
MANW 81-78
+6.5
2
vsGW
GWL 70-84
−2.5
over 6under 3avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMBC
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
over 3under 5avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Army
2-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs G Washington70–84
- Wvs Manhattan81–78
- W@ FDU81–73
- Lvs East Texas A&M67–84
- L@ Marist65–76
A week or more of rest.
UMBC
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Buffalo79–83
- W@ Bucknell73–66
- L@ Georgetown81–90
- Wvs Delaware St71–57
- L@ G Washington52–89
3 days since their last game.