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Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 74.4
Projected
33–42
✓ QUC won
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 69.8
Projected
30–40
✓ XAV won
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 63.5
Projected
30–34
✗ NCAT lost
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 66.4
Projected
35–32
✗ ETSU lost
Half finalConference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 65.7
Projected
28–38
✓ MCN won
Half finalNon-conference
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 72.0
Projected
38–35
✓ CBU won
| Status | Matchup | Spread | Total | Model line | Spread edge | Model total | Total edge | Win prob | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half final |  2-7 · #288  4-4 · #264 |
— | — | UMBC -4.5 | — | 72.0 | — | 69% UMBC | › | |
| Half final |  0-10 · #353  3-5 · #175 |
— | — | QUC -9.0 | — | 74.4 | — | 84% QUC | › | |
| Half final |  1-4 · #250  7-3 · #49 |
— | — | XAV -10.7 | — | 69.8 | — | 88% XAV | › | |
| Half final |  2-9 · #364  3-4 · #275 |
— | — | NCAT -4.5 | — | 63.5 | — | 69% NCAT | › | |
| Half final |  6-3 · #11  9-1 · #6 |
— | — | CONN -7.1 | — | 71.1 | — | 78% CONN | › | |
| Half final |  6-2 · #173  3-5 · #210 |
— | — | ETSU -2.5 | — | 66.4 | — | 61% ETSU | › | |
| Half final |  3-4 · #342  6-2 · #127 |
— | — | MCN -10.8 | — | 65.7 | — | 88% MCN | › | |
| Half final |  7-3 · #203  1-7 · #254 |
— | — | CBU -3.1 | — | 72.0 | — | 63% CBU | › |
The model’s 1st half is fitted from its full-game numbers and past halves; ESPN posts no 1st-half lines for college games. The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record